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UFC Fight Night 33 Plays

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Captain
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Posted: #1
YTD Record:
Overall: 203-206-4, +71.05 Units 
UFC: 142-157-2, +39.00 Units 
Strikeforce: 4-3, +0.05 Units 
Bellator: 53-43, +30.00 Units 
WSOF: 4-3-2, +2.00 Units 
Final 2012 Record: 158-174-2, -76.20 Units 
Final 2011 Record: 148-132-3, +123.55 Units 
Final 2010 Record: 115-119-3, +11.25 Units 
Final 2009 Record: 80-82-1, +23.75 Units 
 
Captain
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Posted: #2
Tail cautiously as I am finding this to be one of the more difficult cards to cap.  A lot of the fights could really go either way...

1.  Parlay of Ryan Bader over Anthony Perosh, Alex Garcia over Ben Wall and Takeya Mizugaki over Nam Phan.  Risking 10 units to win 8.7 units.

2.  Mark Hunt (+125) over Bigfoot Silva.  Risking 4 units to win 5 units.

3.  Bethe Correira (+187.5) over Julie Kedzie.  Risking 4 units to win 7.5 units.

4. James Te Huna (-123) over Shogun Hua.  Risking 3.7 units to win 3 units.

5.  Mark Hunt - Big Foot Silva under 1.5 rounds (-130).  Risking 2.6 units to win 2 units.

6.  Dylan Andrews (-145) over Clint Hester.  Risking 2.9 units to win 2 units.

7.  Parlay of Takeya Mizugaki - Nam Phan over 2.5 rounds with Bruno Santos - Krzysztof Jotko over 2.5 rounds.  Risking 2 units to win 2.15 units.

8.  Parlay of Nick Ring over Caio Magalhaes and Ryan Bader - Anthony Perosh under 1.5 rounds.  Risking 2 units to win 2.6 units.

9.  Alex Garcia - Ben Wall under 1.5 rounds (-105).  Risking 1.05 units to win 1 unit.

I am still watching the line movements on the other 3 fights.  I will update when/if I lock in on anything else.
 
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Posted: #3
What's your reasoning for hunt over bigfoot? Or do you just like the dog in the fight despite who it was? Coinflip but with + odds?
 
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Posted: #4
pat berry a fave over any guy with a pulse...
 
Captain
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Posted: #5
How,

I don't think Big Foot's grappling is good enough to get this fight to the ground. Even if it is, I think there is a good chance he gets KO'd trying to close the distance. He is far too hit-able, his jaw is a huge target, and he gets rocked in practically every fight.
 
Captain
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Posted: #6
The line in the Berry fight is probably where it should be.
 
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Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by MR219:

The line in the Berry fight is probably where it should be.


will definatly get action both way s
 
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Posted: #8
I like the plays. Good luck
 
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Posted: #9
 
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Posted: #10
Looks awesome, I hope you carry forward your momentum from last week! 
 
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Posted: #11
Thanks mr gl !
 
Prospect
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Posted: #12
MR219 GL! I've still been following you. Let's hope your picks help my system! Thanks!
 
Captain
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Posted: #13
Bet365 still has Te Huna at -125, so I am going to risk another 2.5 units to win 2 to my existing bet.  So my updated play is risking 6.2 units to win 5 units. 

 
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Posted: #14
Nice.  I feel like Te Huna has got this as long as he doesn't give Shogun too much respect in there.
 
Captain
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Posted: #15
Adding:

10.  Soa Palelei (+155) over Pat Barry. Risking 2 units to win 3.1 units. 

11.  Krzysztof Jotko (+195) over Bruno Santos. Risking 1 unit to win 1.95 units. 

12.  Justin Vaculik (+290) over Justin Scoggins. Risking 1 unit to win 2.9 units.   I can't recall the last time there has been so much one way action on one fighter in such a short period of time!  When everyone and their mother-in-law is betting on a certain fighter, it is normally wise to auto fade that pick!  

BOL to everyone with your plays!!!  
 
Captain
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by sawman:

I like the plays. Good luck

Thanks Sawman!  
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by sharpstick:


 
Captain
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by ctm1985:

Looks awesome, I hope you carry forward your momentum from last week! 

Me too...
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Howdoiplayxx:

Thanks mr gl !

 
Captain
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by Mellowguy024:

MR219 GL! I've still been following you. Let's hope your picks help my system! Thanks!

Hopefully one day you will share the system with the board! Have a profitable night!!! 
 
Captain
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Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by ctm1985:

Nice.  I feel like Te Huna has got this as long as he doesn't give Shogun too much respect in there.

I agree. Hopefully he can get off to a fast start for  us tonight!
 
Captain
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Posted: #22
The Betche wins!!! 
 
Veteran
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by MR219:

The Betche wins!!! 

Showoff!!

LOL…would have never ever had that one without you. Thank you MR219…gl with the rest of then night
 
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Posted: #24
Thx too!
 
 
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Posted: #25
It hurt my soul but the parlays I have left open have Te Huna thanks to you MR219, go Te Huna!?
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