it's not for 2 weeks, but i can do 1 or 2 a day until then.
Gravely vs. Munoz JR. - Both fighters have a strong wrestling background. Tony Gravely is the much better striker, he's more technical and throws with bad intentions. Even though wrestling is his base, Gravely doesn't mind getting into a striking battle, especially because it opens his opponent up and he can get in the pocket to attempt takedowns. Tony is a gifted grappler and has an array of judo throws and trips he can use to get it to the mat, although if/when it gets to the mat i think i give the edge to Johnny Munoz Jr.. Munoz is a very impressive wrestler who has shown to be dominate on the mat by using great technique and patience in his transitions. Munoz's glaring weakness in his young career has been his striking as he doesn't showcase much power and just doesn't look comfortable there at all. He wants to look for takedown's and then work his BJJ and try to find a submission. Munoz had a tough test in his UFC debut, Nate Maness, and while he dominated the first round and could have even earned a ground n pound stoppage until the bell saved Maness, he ultimately gassed and Maness controlled the rest of the fight. Gravely also faced Maness not too long ago and had a similar result, dominated the 1st round and even almost had a finish but the bell saved Maness, then Gravely ate a straight right and got finished in the 2nd. Early Lean - Munoz ML... I think this fight ends up on the ground and i trust Munoz there more, he is just more technical in the BJJ. Gravely is great in the clinch and getting the fight to the mat, but he tends to get outworked and lose the transitions battles to bigger opponents, Gravely looks the same on weigh-in day than when he enters the cage. Might look at Munoz by sub in later rounds
Menifield-Mozharov tomorrow
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
it's not for 2 weeks, but i can do 1 or 2 a day until then.
Gravely vs. Munoz JR. - Both fighters have a strong wrestling background. Tony Gravely is the much better striker, he's more technical and throws with bad intentions. Even though wrestling is his base, Gravely doesn't mind getting into a striking battle, especially because it opens his opponent up and he can get in the pocket to attempt takedowns. Tony is a gifted grappler and has an array of judo throws and trips he can use to get it to the mat, although if/when it gets to the mat i think i give the edge to Johnny Munoz Jr.. Munoz is a very impressive wrestler who has shown to be dominate on the mat by using great technique and patience in his transitions. Munoz's glaring weakness in his young career has been his striking as he doesn't showcase much power and just doesn't look comfortable there at all. He wants to look for takedown's and then work his BJJ and try to find a submission. Munoz had a tough test in his UFC debut, Nate Maness, and while he dominated the first round and could have even earned a ground n pound stoppage until the bell saved Maness, he ultimately gassed and Maness controlled the rest of the fight. Gravely also faced Maness not too long ago and had a similar result, dominated the 1st round and even almost had a finish but the bell saved Maness, then Gravely ate a straight right and got finished in the 2nd. Early Lean - Munoz ML... I think this fight ends up on the ground and i trust Munoz there more, he is just more technical in the BJJ. Gravely is great in the clinch and getting the fight to the mat, but he tends to get outworked and lose the transitions battles to bigger opponents, Gravely looks the same on weigh-in day than when he enters the cage. Might look at Munoz by sub in later rounds
Menefield vs. Mozharov - I really went down a rabbit hole on Askar Mozharov simply because he's making his UFC debut here against a decent opponent and i've never heard of him. Mozharov is a hulking fighter who has had fights at middleweight, Light-heavyweight and Heavyweight, but i'd say LHW is where he belongs. To say he's explosive would be an understatement. Just about every fight, Mozharov comes out and begins throwing spinning roundhouse kicks with the intention of kicking his opponent over the octagon fence like it's a Home Run Derby. If it's not a spinning kick, he is attacking the lead leg with calf kicks and trying to snap it in two. His other go-to move is a jumping knee attack which almost never works as his timing isn't really great when he attempts it. All of this is really intriguing and exciting to watch for about 2 minutes and then the guy is toast because he's shot his wad and has tired himself out. If his opponent doesn't just stand in front of him and let's him tee off....then they usually get the upper hand halfway through the first round and the fight is over from there. If the fight gets to the mat, Mozharov has no clue what to do and gets dominated. He fought Cristhian Torres a few years ago at Titan FC 58 which is an event i watched for the main event, but didn't remember Mozharov's fight, but he ended up on bottom in that fight and literally quit for no reason. He looked at the ref and said 'No Mas' and then ate an elbow to the face because he stopped defending himself so he could quit. His last fight however was a bare-knuckle boxing match, over a year ago, that he won by KO in 8 seconds. He's quite the enigma and i can't wait to see what happens here.....Oh yeah his opponent Alonzo Menefield makes his return after a tough loss to William Knight about 6 months ago. Menefield, at least in his early days, reminds me a lot of Mozharov in that he would come out the gate swinging for the big KO. As his career has progressed, Menefield has really began to pick his spots when he punches, moves his feet and feints before throwing power punches. He still isn't very technical with his boxing, but has gotten better. Menefield isn't the most talented grappler technique-wise, but is very strong in the clinch and is a great overall athlete. Early Lean - Menefield ML.... the odds are about a pick 'em, Menefield slightly favored but Mozharov by first round TKO/KO has to be considered since it's the only thing he knows how to do. I wouldn't be shocked to see Menefield withstand the storm in the 1st round and then clinch and grind the fight out for a decision either.
sorry for the long post, but this fight will be interesting to say the least. Will have a more solid idea what to play here when the prop prices come out
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i'll do one more because....
Menefield vs. Mozharov - I really went down a rabbit hole on Askar Mozharov simply because he's making his UFC debut here against a decent opponent and i've never heard of him. Mozharov is a hulking fighter who has had fights at middleweight, Light-heavyweight and Heavyweight, but i'd say LHW is where he belongs. To say he's explosive would be an understatement. Just about every fight, Mozharov comes out and begins throwing spinning roundhouse kicks with the intention of kicking his opponent over the octagon fence like it's a Home Run Derby. If it's not a spinning kick, he is attacking the lead leg with calf kicks and trying to snap it in two. His other go-to move is a jumping knee attack which almost never works as his timing isn't really great when he attempts it. All of this is really intriguing and exciting to watch for about 2 minutes and then the guy is toast because he's shot his wad and has tired himself out. If his opponent doesn't just stand in front of him and let's him tee off....then they usually get the upper hand halfway through the first round and the fight is over from there. If the fight gets to the mat, Mozharov has no clue what to do and gets dominated. He fought Cristhian Torres a few years ago at Titan FC 58 which is an event i watched for the main event, but didn't remember Mozharov's fight, but he ended up on bottom in that fight and literally quit for no reason. He looked at the ref and said 'No Mas' and then ate an elbow to the face because he stopped defending himself so he could quit. His last fight however was a bare-knuckle boxing match, over a year ago, that he won by KO in 8 seconds. He's quite the enigma and i can't wait to see what happens here.....Oh yeah his opponent Alonzo Menefield makes his return after a tough loss to William Knight about 6 months ago. Menefield, at least in his early days, reminds me a lot of Mozharov in that he would come out the gate swinging for the big KO. As his career has progressed, Menefield has really began to pick his spots when he punches, moves his feet and feints before throwing power punches. He still isn't very technical with his boxing, but has gotten better. Menefield isn't the most talented grappler technique-wise, but is very strong in the clinch and is a great overall athlete. Early Lean - Menefield ML.... the odds are about a pick 'em, Menefield slightly favored but Mozharov by first round TKO/KO has to be considered since it's the only thing he knows how to do. I wouldn't be shocked to see Menefield withstand the storm in the 1st round and then clinch and grind the fight out for a decision either.
sorry for the long post, but this fight will be interesting to say the least. Will have a more solid idea what to play here when the prop prices come out
Solecki vs. Da Silva - Good matchmaking here. Solecki is a very well-rounded fighter. Very technical on the feet with underrated power. Adept boxing skills and will attack with calf kicks. One thing i don't like about his stand-up is that he never utilizes any head movement or protects his chin when exchanging hands in the pocket, against a decent counter-puncher he is begging to get sat down. Solecki is a solid grappler and submission artist, and although he doesn't have the best entries, he has a knack for getting the upper-hand in those battles for grappling position. Alex Da Silva comes in an impressive 21-3, but is 1-2 in the UFC. I remember him from his fight with Brad Riddell during 'fight island' and he dominated Riddell in the 1st round only to tire out during the 2nd round and lose a decision. No shame in that as riddell is a tough dude. Da Silva is very heavy handed and dangerous on the feet with great counter-punching. He also has solid grappling as well, but from what i've seen his endurance is his biggest detriment. He is one of these guys who carries a bit of muscle on his frame and he tends to come out with a fast pace in the first round and drains himself, not to mention the grappling doesn't help either. Early Lean - Joe Solecki ML.....Solecki is -170 which i think is about right. I will be interested in Da Silva by TKO/KO in the 1st round and also Solecki by sub in rounds 2 or 3. If this fight makes it out of the 1st round then it's likely Solecki will be home free unless Da Silva has really worked on his conditioning.
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Solecki vs. Da Silva - Good matchmaking here. Solecki is a very well-rounded fighter. Very technical on the feet with underrated power. Adept boxing skills and will attack with calf kicks. One thing i don't like about his stand-up is that he never utilizes any head movement or protects his chin when exchanging hands in the pocket, against a decent counter-puncher he is begging to get sat down. Solecki is a solid grappler and submission artist, and although he doesn't have the best entries, he has a knack for getting the upper-hand in those battles for grappling position. Alex Da Silva comes in an impressive 21-3, but is 1-2 in the UFC. I remember him from his fight with Brad Riddell during 'fight island' and he dominated Riddell in the 1st round only to tire out during the 2nd round and lose a decision. No shame in that as riddell is a tough dude. Da Silva is very heavy handed and dangerous on the feet with great counter-punching. He also has solid grappling as well, but from what i've seen his endurance is his biggest detriment. He is one of these guys who carries a bit of muscle on his frame and he tends to come out with a fast pace in the first round and drains himself, not to mention the grappling doesn't help either. Early Lean - Joe Solecki ML.....Solecki is -170 which i think is about right. I will be interested in Da Silva by TKO/KO in the 1st round and also Solecki by sub in rounds 2 or 3. If this fight makes it out of the 1st round then it's likely Solecki will be home free unless Da Silva has really worked on his conditioning.
Stolze vs. Saint Denis - Striker vs. Grappler in this one. Saint Denis made his debut back last fall and took a beating, but showed a lot of heart and resiliency in a fight that should have been stopped multiple times. BSD has a grappling background and he is very comfortable on the mat whether on top or bottom. He does a great job attacking and defending BJJ transitions and 5 of his 8 victories have come from submissions. His major weakness is on the feet, his footwork is very sloppy and his striking leaves a lot to be desired. His chin is there to be caught as he never moves it off the center-line and his punches are always loopy. If he wants to win this fight he needs to get it to the ground or at least control it in the clinch. Niklas Stolze began as a kickboxer, but has really developed his ground game as he's gotten more experience in mma. He is 0-2 in his UFC career and got starched in his last fight vs. Jared gooden in 1 minute. You can see his kickboxing skills, but just like his opponent he leaves himself open for counter-strikes way too often. Fortunately, i don't see Saint Denis being the one to capitalize on this. Early Lean - Benoit Saint Denis ML....... Stolze is another fighter who seems to tire very quickly even going back to when he was strictly fighting in Germany against easier competition. Saint Denis got pieced up in his debut, but the guy never stopped fighting and showed tremendous heart. This could be a really close fight and whoever has the better gas tank in the 3rd takes it. Even though i favor BSD, this is likely a fight i won't play unless i like something in the props
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Stolze vs. Saint Denis - Striker vs. Grappler in this one. Saint Denis made his debut back last fall and took a beating, but showed a lot of heart and resiliency in a fight that should have been stopped multiple times. BSD has a grappling background and he is very comfortable on the mat whether on top or bottom. He does a great job attacking and defending BJJ transitions and 5 of his 8 victories have come from submissions. His major weakness is on the feet, his footwork is very sloppy and his striking leaves a lot to be desired. His chin is there to be caught as he never moves it off the center-line and his punches are always loopy. If he wants to win this fight he needs to get it to the ground or at least control it in the clinch. Niklas Stolze began as a kickboxer, but has really developed his ground game as he's gotten more experience in mma. He is 0-2 in his UFC career and got starched in his last fight vs. Jared gooden in 1 minute. You can see his kickboxing skills, but just like his opponent he leaves himself open for counter-strikes way too often. Fortunately, i don't see Saint Denis being the one to capitalize on this. Early Lean - Benoit Saint Denis ML....... Stolze is another fighter who seems to tire very quickly even going back to when he was strictly fighting in Germany against easier competition. Saint Denis got pieced up in his debut, but the guy never stopped fighting and showed tremendous heart. This could be a really close fight and whoever has the better gas tank in the 3rd takes it. Even though i favor BSD, this is likely a fight i won't play unless i like something in the props
Trizano vs. Almeida - Mike Trizano is a kickboxer and TUF winner who has gone 2-2 in official UFC bouts. Trizano likes to come forward and pressure his opponents, but is very selective with his strikes and looks to just touch-up his opponent not finish them. This strategy helps Trizano the longer a fight goes on since he isn't wasting much energy and he is also making the other guy fight of his back foot which gets tiring. He has very technical hands and utilizes his kicks to cut off angles of his opponent's movement. The most underrated aspect of his fight game is his BJJ and overall grappling. He can be taken down, but has great defense off his back and uses his long powerful legs to complete sweeps and reverse positions, i'd almost like to see him use his grappling more often but he doesn't seem interested. Lucas Almeida is a fighter who doesn't mind getting into a slugfest. I've seen multiple fights of his and there are many exchanges where he just kinda swings wildly with no fear of what's coming back at him and so far it's worked, his only loss being a decision when he was invited to DWCS about 8 months ago. I really don't know what to make of him, he doesn't have great technique on the feet or with his grappling, but he seems to never get tired or slow down. Both fighters have the same height and reach and love to come forward, but their plan of attack is polar opposite. Early Lean - Mike Trizano ML..... he's a solid -200 or greater favorite and i think he should be due to the fact he has better technique and should use this opportunity to insert his advantage in the grappling.
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Trizano vs. Almeida - Mike Trizano is a kickboxer and TUF winner who has gone 2-2 in official UFC bouts. Trizano likes to come forward and pressure his opponents, but is very selective with his strikes and looks to just touch-up his opponent not finish them. This strategy helps Trizano the longer a fight goes on since he isn't wasting much energy and he is also making the other guy fight of his back foot which gets tiring. He has very technical hands and utilizes his kicks to cut off angles of his opponent's movement. The most underrated aspect of his fight game is his BJJ and overall grappling. He can be taken down, but has great defense off his back and uses his long powerful legs to complete sweeps and reverse positions, i'd almost like to see him use his grappling more often but he doesn't seem interested. Lucas Almeida is a fighter who doesn't mind getting into a slugfest. I've seen multiple fights of his and there are many exchanges where he just kinda swings wildly with no fear of what's coming back at him and so far it's worked, his only loss being a decision when he was invited to DWCS about 8 months ago. I really don't know what to make of him, he doesn't have great technique on the feet or with his grappling, but he seems to never get tired or slow down. Both fighters have the same height and reach and love to come forward, but their plan of attack is polar opposite. Early Lean - Mike Trizano ML..... he's a solid -200 or greater favorite and i think he should be due to the fact he has better technique and should use this opportunity to insert his advantage in the grappling.
Argueta vs. Jackson - Darrick Minner suffered a concussion, so Daniel Argueta will make his UFC debut in his place. Argueta's domain is his grappling, he looks for takedowns and has decent technique in mat transitions to maintain control of his opponent. 4 of his 8 wins have come by submission, but his bread n' butter is the ground n' pound as he likes to maul his downed opponents with punches and vicious elbows. I have seen little of his striking skills, but from what i've seen he is very undisciplined and non-chalant, almost begging to be countered. Damon Jackson likely won't be the man to oblige him in that regard. Jackson is also well-known for his strong grappling/wrestling background, nicknamed "The Leech" for good reason as he has a knack of staying on top of his opponents and controlling them on the mat. Although both men make their living on the ground, Jackson is much more prone to finish his opponents by submission (15 of his 20 wins by sub) and his go-to move is working onto the back and sinking in a rear-naked choke. Jackson's stand-up skills are more technical's than Argueta's, but that isn't a ringing endorsement. He has actually had trouble with short stocky strikers and while Argueta is short and stocky, his lazy stand-up shouldn't give The Leech a problem. Early Lean - Damon Jackson by sub..... Jackson has tons more experience and even though he looks like he's 45, The Leech has great conditioning compared to Argueta. Late replacement and also just had a grueling fight in LFA a month ago doesn't bode well for Argueta.
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Argueta vs. Jackson - Darrick Minner suffered a concussion, so Daniel Argueta will make his UFC debut in his place. Argueta's domain is his grappling, he looks for takedowns and has decent technique in mat transitions to maintain control of his opponent. 4 of his 8 wins have come by submission, but his bread n' butter is the ground n' pound as he likes to maul his downed opponents with punches and vicious elbows. I have seen little of his striking skills, but from what i've seen he is very undisciplined and non-chalant, almost begging to be countered. Damon Jackson likely won't be the man to oblige him in that regard. Jackson is also well-known for his strong grappling/wrestling background, nicknamed "The Leech" for good reason as he has a knack of staying on top of his opponents and controlling them on the mat. Although both men make their living on the ground, Jackson is much more prone to finish his opponents by submission (15 of his 20 wins by sub) and his go-to move is working onto the back and sinking in a rear-naked choke. Jackson's stand-up skills are more technical's than Argueta's, but that isn't a ringing endorsement. He has actually had trouble with short stocky strikers and while Argueta is short and stocky, his lazy stand-up shouldn't give The Leech a problem. Early Lean - Damon Jackson by sub..... Jackson has tons more experience and even though he looks like he's 45, The Leech has great conditioning compared to Argueta. Late replacement and also just had a grueling fight in LFA a month ago doesn't bode well for Argueta.
Blanchfield vs. Aldrich - Can keep this one pretty short...Aldrich isn't exactly great in any area, her advantage she takes to the cage is her length as it allows her to touch up her opponent at a comfortable distance. She isn't one to 'lead the dance' but instead utilizes decent footwork to step aside attacks and counter-punch, but doesn't carry much power in her hands. Single and double-leg takedown's are her go-to in wrestling, but once on the mat she isn't particularly great and doesn't create much danger. Blanchfield comes in at 8-1 and undefeated in UFC (2-0) defeating a pretty good Miranda Maverick last December. Blanchfield doesn't really offer much in the stand-up, her striking is just ok and isn't a threat to end a fight there. Her forte' is in the grappling, and she has an array of takedown's, trips and throws to get the fight there. Once on the mat she has proven to be dominant in maintaining top control and just mauling her opponent. She is great in the clinch also. Early Lean - Erin Blanchfield ML....i'm laying some chalk so far with these picks, but Blanchfield really dominated her last opponent and she is just turned 23 yo.
I don't look at the odds until after i do the write-ups for each individual match and i just saw that EB is a -600 favorite which is way too much to lay in MMA , let alone WMMA. If anything, i might lay something small on JJ Aldrich ML or look for a prop.....or just stay away altogether.
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Blanchfield vs. Aldrich - Can keep this one pretty short...Aldrich isn't exactly great in any area, her advantage she takes to the cage is her length as it allows her to touch up her opponent at a comfortable distance. She isn't one to 'lead the dance' but instead utilizes decent footwork to step aside attacks and counter-punch, but doesn't carry much power in her hands. Single and double-leg takedown's are her go-to in wrestling, but once on the mat she isn't particularly great and doesn't create much danger. Blanchfield comes in at 8-1 and undefeated in UFC (2-0) defeating a pretty good Miranda Maverick last December. Blanchfield doesn't really offer much in the stand-up, her striking is just ok and isn't a threat to end a fight there. Her forte' is in the grappling, and she has an array of takedown's, trips and throws to get the fight there. Once on the mat she has proven to be dominant in maintaining top control and just mauling her opponent. She is great in the clinch also. Early Lean - Erin Blanchfield ML....i'm laying some chalk so far with these picks, but Blanchfield really dominated her last opponent and she is just turned 23 yo.
I don't look at the odds until after i do the write-ups for each individual match and i just saw that EB is a -600 favorite which is way too much to lay in MMA , let alone WMMA. If anything, i might lay something small on JJ Aldrich ML or look for a prop.....or just stay away altogether.
Andreas Michailidis vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov - Just go with Andreas & Rinat for this one. Rinat is making his debut and has developed a reputation as Dana White's new favorite prospect or whatever, but frankly i don't see what is to be sooo excited about him. An impressive record of 20-2 sure, but at least 15 of them are against total cans. He does have power in his hands no doubt, but his striking skills are so undisciplined with his wild lunging punches and he's almost never on balance, always over-extending. He does have pretty good wrestling though as i've seen him score many takedowns off his shots. Andreas is a bit of a wild swinger himself. He's shown a willingness to grapple but isn't particularly good at it, and he's been Ko'd a few times. Early Lean - Does NOT go the distance...... i haven't got a price on it yet, Rinat is like a -300 favorite which is way too steep for a guy who has mainly can-crushed, also this fight is at 170 for some reason but both of these guys have only really fought at 185 and above.....just odd all around and why i don't really have much to say about the fight compared to others.
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Andreas Michailidis vs. Rinat Fakhretdinov - Just go with Andreas & Rinat for this one. Rinat is making his debut and has developed a reputation as Dana White's new favorite prospect or whatever, but frankly i don't see what is to be sooo excited about him. An impressive record of 20-2 sure, but at least 15 of them are against total cans. He does have power in his hands no doubt, but his striking skills are so undisciplined with his wild lunging punches and he's almost never on balance, always over-extending. He does have pretty good wrestling though as i've seen him score many takedowns off his shots. Andreas is a bit of a wild swinger himself. He's shown a willingness to grapple but isn't particularly good at it, and he's been Ko'd a few times. Early Lean - Does NOT go the distance...... i haven't got a price on it yet, Rinat is like a -300 favorite which is way too steep for a guy who has mainly can-crushed, also this fight is at 170 for some reason but both of these guys have only really fought at 185 and above.....just odd all around and why i don't really have much to say about the fight compared to others.
Molina vs. Zhumagulov - Interesting fight. Jeff Molina is a 24 year old prospect who is 2-0 in the UFC. He is a calm striker and sort of reminds me of Jonathan Martinez who fought on the prior UFC card. Molina has solid technical striking and is at his best when he can stay at range. He isn't always able to do so because he doesn't have great footwork. His wrestling and grappling is pretty underrated as he always seems to not want to engage in that department during a fight, but when he is left no choice, he always ends up turning the tables on his opponent. Molina isn't really quick with his strikes or powerful, but he is really tough and has a lot of dog in him meaning that he isn't going to ever get discouraged or quit. Zhalgas Zhumagulov is a stout and scary looking fighter who will not hesitate to stand in the pocket and bang. He doesn't have a lot of KO wins, but he does swing hard....but that also tends to become a problem. He likes to throw his left hook while leaping into range and waits to throw his right hand on counters. For the first couple minutes of his fights he looks really strong, but his affinity for throwing nothing but power shots tends to wear himself down. He also fights with this really tense or nervous energy, which can't be good for him. He had a nice submission win last summer, but i don't think the ground game is where he is most comfortable, i'd give that edge to Molina. Early Lean - Jeff Molina ML.....wasn't sure what the odds would look like here, but i agree with what i saw being Molina's almost a 2 to 1 favorite. I think the longer this fight goes the more it favors him and the way i look it: Molina has the better grappling, crisper striking, better gas tank and Zhalgas doesn't have the power or submission skills to negate those things. I may have Molina as a parlay piece even though i need to get away from those damn things lol
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Molina vs. Zhumagulov - Interesting fight. Jeff Molina is a 24 year old prospect who is 2-0 in the UFC. He is a calm striker and sort of reminds me of Jonathan Martinez who fought on the prior UFC card. Molina has solid technical striking and is at his best when he can stay at range. He isn't always able to do so because he doesn't have great footwork. His wrestling and grappling is pretty underrated as he always seems to not want to engage in that department during a fight, but when he is left no choice, he always ends up turning the tables on his opponent. Molina isn't really quick with his strikes or powerful, but he is really tough and has a lot of dog in him meaning that he isn't going to ever get discouraged or quit. Zhalgas Zhumagulov is a stout and scary looking fighter who will not hesitate to stand in the pocket and bang. He doesn't have a lot of KO wins, but he does swing hard....but that also tends to become a problem. He likes to throw his left hook while leaping into range and waits to throw his right hand on counters. For the first couple minutes of his fights he looks really strong, but his affinity for throwing nothing but power shots tends to wear himself down. He also fights with this really tense or nervous energy, which can't be good for him. He had a nice submission win last summer, but i don't think the ground game is where he is most comfortable, i'd give that edge to Molina. Early Lean - Jeff Molina ML.....wasn't sure what the odds would look like here, but i agree with what i saw being Molina's almost a 2 to 1 favorite. I think the longer this fight goes the more it favors him and the way i look it: Molina has the better grappling, crisper striking, better gas tank and Zhalgas doesn't have the power or submission skills to negate those things. I may have Molina as a parlay piece even though i need to get away from those damn things lol
Adashev vs. Osbourne - This one is simple, Adashev is a kickboxer who is too stocky and short-limbed to really succeed in MMA on those skills alone. Osbourne is a pretty long striker and his quickness should give Adashev problems. Osbourne has the edge in the grappling as well, but i think these 2 want to stay on the feet. Early Lean - Ode Osbourne ML..... Unless adashev has developed other parts of his game then i think he gets picked apart from distance, possibly KO'd
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Adashev vs. Osbourne - This one is simple, Adashev is a kickboxer who is too stocky and short-limbed to really succeed in MMA on those skills alone. Osbourne is a pretty long striker and his quickness should give Adashev problems. Osbourne has the edge in the grappling as well, but i think these 2 want to stay on the feet. Early Lean - Ode Osbourne ML..... Unless adashev has developed other parts of his game then i think he gets picked apart from distance, possibly KO'd
Herrig vs. Kowalkiewicz - Not much to say here, both girls prime was over 5 years ago. Herrig was never a serious contender and while Karolina was a talented striker in her day, she never does much damage. Early Lean - None.....i can't give a serious prediction. I've always had a crush on Karolina and hope she doesn't get beat up as badly as she has in recent fights
Silva vs. Botelho - Decent scrap. Karine Silva is a DWCS winner making her official UFC debut. She has decent striking, but the Jiu-Jitsu is where she is most comfortable. She got bullied and taken down by a stronger woman in her DWCS fight, but was able to pull out a guillotine submission and even defended well and did damage off her back throughout the 1st round. Poliana Botelho is quite long and has a solid overall frame at this division. She throws some very heavy kicks, but her boxing isn't very sharp and she has a tendency to throw punches, but leave her chin wide open and leave her hands low not defending herself properly. I think Botelho's strength is in the clinch and grappling as her size and strength give her a natural advantage over most other women, yet many times when the fight gets to the mat she seems to struggle with transitions and gets outworked...it's sort of puzzling. Early Lean - Fight does NOT GO DISTANCE (+130).....Just feel like there is a million ways this can go, Botelho can get a KO or get subbed...Silva has a knack for either getting finished or finishing and i didn't like they way she gassed on her contender series fight and sort of got lucky getting the sub.
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Herrig vs. Kowalkiewicz - Not much to say here, both girls prime was over 5 years ago. Herrig was never a serious contender and while Karolina was a talented striker in her day, she never does much damage. Early Lean - None.....i can't give a serious prediction. I've always had a crush on Karolina and hope she doesn't get beat up as badly as she has in recent fights
Silva vs. Botelho - Decent scrap. Karine Silva is a DWCS winner making her official UFC debut. She has decent striking, but the Jiu-Jitsu is where she is most comfortable. She got bullied and taken down by a stronger woman in her DWCS fight, but was able to pull out a guillotine submission and even defended well and did damage off her back throughout the 1st round. Poliana Botelho is quite long and has a solid overall frame at this division. She throws some very heavy kicks, but her boxing isn't very sharp and she has a tendency to throw punches, but leave her chin wide open and leave her hands low not defending herself properly. I think Botelho's strength is in the clinch and grappling as her size and strength give her a natural advantage over most other women, yet many times when the fight gets to the mat she seems to struggle with transitions and gets outworked...it's sort of puzzling. Early Lean - Fight does NOT GO DISTANCE (+130).....Just feel like there is a million ways this can go, Botelho can get a KO or get subbed...Silva has a knack for either getting finished or finishing and i didn't like they way she gassed on her contender series fight and sort of got lucky getting the sub.
Evloev vs. Ige - Really interesting fight and another step-up for Movsar Evloev, who is one of the most dominant wrestlers in the entire UFC and coming off a strong win vs. fellow prospect Hakeem Dawodu. On the feet, Evloev is very basic and likes to throw a big overhand right, but he is 15-0 so far because of his grappling and wrestling as he sets up his shoots very well and has great strength for a fighter his size. Evloev doesn't always get the takedown right away, but he will grind and fight to stay latched on and get you down any way he can either with sheer strength or trips. Evloev is a strict "position over submission" wrestler and employs that strategy very well always being the one in control on the mat. Dan Ige has lost his last 2 fights although he hung tough in both. Ige hasn't had a "bad loss" in his career, but at 7-4 in the UFC and not being able to move up into the upper echelon of matchups in the division, he may already be in that gatekeeper territory. He can change that if he pulls out a victory in this one. Dan Ige has solid boxing skills and really thrives as a counter-puncher using good footwork and sharp crisp punches when his opponent over-extends and/or misses. He also has solid takedown defense which will end up being the pivotal key to this fight. Early Lean - Movsar Evloev by dec.....It kind of feels like Ige peaked in win vs. Bektic over 2 years ago and i mentioned this about Tony Gravely earlier in this thread, and think the same applies to Ige, is that they look the same on fight night as they do during weigh-in's. Ige always looks way smaller than his opponents even though they're about the same height and Evloev is another fighter who gets bigger from weigh-in to fight night. If Evloev was strictly a striker than i'd give Ige a better chance here, but he's had a tough time getting going in fights and Movsar will likely just out-point him in the grappling even if he isn't doing much damage.
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Evloev vs. Ige - Really interesting fight and another step-up for Movsar Evloev, who is one of the most dominant wrestlers in the entire UFC and coming off a strong win vs. fellow prospect Hakeem Dawodu. On the feet, Evloev is very basic and likes to throw a big overhand right, but he is 15-0 so far because of his grappling and wrestling as he sets up his shoots very well and has great strength for a fighter his size. Evloev doesn't always get the takedown right away, but he will grind and fight to stay latched on and get you down any way he can either with sheer strength or trips. Evloev is a strict "position over submission" wrestler and employs that strategy very well always being the one in control on the mat. Dan Ige has lost his last 2 fights although he hung tough in both. Ige hasn't had a "bad loss" in his career, but at 7-4 in the UFC and not being able to move up into the upper echelon of matchups in the division, he may already be in that gatekeeper territory. He can change that if he pulls out a victory in this one. Dan Ige has solid boxing skills and really thrives as a counter-puncher using good footwork and sharp crisp punches when his opponent over-extends and/or misses. He also has solid takedown defense which will end up being the pivotal key to this fight. Early Lean - Movsar Evloev by dec.....It kind of feels like Ige peaked in win vs. Bektic over 2 years ago and i mentioned this about Tony Gravely earlier in this thread, and think the same applies to Ige, is that they look the same on fight night as they do during weigh-in's. Ige always looks way smaller than his opponents even though they're about the same height and Evloev is another fighter who gets bigger from weigh-in to fight night. If Evloev was strictly a striker than i'd give Ige a better chance here, but he's had a tough time getting going in fights and Movsar will likely just out-point him in the grappling even if he isn't doing much damage.
Volkov vs. Rozenstruik - Main Event time and we get a couple of HW gatekeepers, but it should be a lot of fun. Volkov is very tall and long with tree trunk legs. Volkov's jab can just about reach halfway across the octagon to touch your chin and he will use it at will. He doesn't have 'one-punch' KO power, but he also never loads up and tries to win that way either. He uses the jab and throws combo-counters and mixes up his punches very well. For a tall long fighter, Volkov doesn't throw kicks as often as you would imagine, at least not upstairs, but he will pick at the legs and throw these body front-kicks which are very effective and i think he should throw more....but maybe he's been wary of the takedown too. He won't have to worry about Takedown's in this one, Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a very simple fighter...he walks forward and looks to knock you out and all 6 of his UFC wins have come by KO/TKO. Rozenstruik has a long reach, but isn't nearly as tall as Volkov (6'2" vs. 6'7"). Sometimes i can't believe Rozenstruik is anywhere near his listed weight..he looks like he can make 205 to me, but he's supposedly up over 250. JR uses calf kicks almost in substitute of a jab and it's likely to soften up his opponents legs so they can't run from him...and he doesn't have to chase. He is almost strictly a counter-puncher looking to slip and return powerful blows. I haven't mentioned it in regards to either guy, but Volkov has the clear grappling edge and could use it, but he doesn't want to get caught with something he could have avoided by staying to the outside. Early Lean - no lean...... depending on how the night is going i may not even play this. I can see Volkov uses his length and frustrating JR, but JR is only one shot away from ending it
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Volkov vs. Rozenstruik - Main Event time and we get a couple of HW gatekeepers, but it should be a lot of fun. Volkov is very tall and long with tree trunk legs. Volkov's jab can just about reach halfway across the octagon to touch your chin and he will use it at will. He doesn't have 'one-punch' KO power, but he also never loads up and tries to win that way either. He uses the jab and throws combo-counters and mixes up his punches very well. For a tall long fighter, Volkov doesn't throw kicks as often as you would imagine, at least not upstairs, but he will pick at the legs and throw these body front-kicks which are very effective and i think he should throw more....but maybe he's been wary of the takedown too. He won't have to worry about Takedown's in this one, Jairzinho Rozenstruik is a very simple fighter...he walks forward and looks to knock you out and all 6 of his UFC wins have come by KO/TKO. Rozenstruik has a long reach, but isn't nearly as tall as Volkov (6'2" vs. 6'7"). Sometimes i can't believe Rozenstruik is anywhere near his listed weight..he looks like he can make 205 to me, but he's supposedly up over 250. JR uses calf kicks almost in substitute of a jab and it's likely to soften up his opponents legs so they can't run from him...and he doesn't have to chase. He is almost strictly a counter-puncher looking to slip and return powerful blows. I haven't mentioned it in regards to either guy, but Volkov has the clear grappling edge and could use it, but he doesn't want to get caught with something he could have avoided by staying to the outside. Early Lean - no lean...... depending on how the night is going i may not even play this. I can see Volkov uses his length and frustrating JR, but JR is only one shot away from ending it
i know i'm biased, but as dissapointing as that fight was for Molina, i still think he won it. Zhumagulov had that control time and a couple takdowns but he did very little damage with that control time. I thought Molina was better on the feet
was an ugly win, but still a win.
I got Munoz in the parlay
Munoz to win in round 3 +1300
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i know i'm biased, but as dissapointing as that fight was for Molina, i still think he won it. Zhumagulov had that control time and a couple takdowns but he did very little damage with that control time. I thought Molina was better on the feet
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