Tonight kicks off the 1st of 3 consecutive UFC events in Las Vegas, with
UFC 194 on Saturday. I honestly haven't been this excited for a UFC PPV
in my entire life. The card is most likely the BEST card from top to
bottom that I have ever seen. And no major injuries to any of the main
fighters, which always seems to be the case (knock on wood). I'll get to
those fights in a few days. Tonight, we start things off with UFC Fight
Night 80. The main event is headlined by 2 girls and neither of them
are Ronda Rousey. The UFC is hyping the hell out of VanZant and it's
mostly because of her looks. She has potential to be a solid fighter one
day but she is so inexperienced and not very technical at the moment.
I'm going to be making a small play on Namajunas for some extra action
but I don't recommend playing either fighter to be honest. If anything, I think it's likely that Namajunas catches PVZ in a sub when Paige leaves an opening, or Paige's pace and cardio take over in the later rounds and PVZ gets the finish at that point. I'll make a play on the fight not lasting 5 full rounds.
Sage
Northcutt is another UFC hype-train that is probably getting more
attention than he should at the moment. Again, it's mostly because he's
only 19 and looks like an Abercrombie model. He made quick work of
Trevino in his UFC debut but Trevino sucks. So we don't really know much
about how Northcutt's chin, cardio, etc. are. Pfister is probably not
skilled enough to really give us much more of an indication in this
fight either. Pfister is the toughest guy Northcutt's ever faced and he
is durable, but not very skilled anywhere. I don't think Nortchutt
deserves such steep odds at this point, but there's definitely no way I
can make the case for taking a shot on Pfister. I'll probably use
Northcutt in a parlay or two, but definitely won't be depending on him
across the board.
There are a lot of other fighters I'm betting
on tonight but I don't have much more time to get into each one
in-depth. In short, I think Tim Means will destroy Howard and likely get
a finish. Sterling gets a stiff test in Eduardo, who has a puncher's
chance, but I expect Sterling to get him to the ground and submit him in
the 2nd or 3rd round. Sterling just needs to make sure he doesn't stand
with Eduardo too long, because I think he is definitely at a
disadvantage if they keep the fight standing. Tukhugov has a good style
matchup and I think he knocks out Nover. Curran is another chick
fighter, so you don't want to rely on someone like her too heavily, but
Kagan sucks and Curran should have the better pace and cardio to take a
clear decision.
UFC Fight Night 80
10 Unit Play A. Sterling + T. Means + S. Northcutt (-165)
5 Unit Plays Z. Tukhugov + A. Sterling + S. Nortchutt (-130) K. Curran + T. Means (-160)
3 Unit Plays S. Ponzinibbio + A. Sterling (-120) A. Sterling + E. Theodorou (-130) R. Namajunas/P. VanZant Under 5 Rounds (-145)
2015 Record: 7-16 (-54 units)
*All plays are made on a scale of 1-10 units
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Tonight kicks off the 1st of 3 consecutive UFC events in Las Vegas, with
UFC 194 on Saturday. I honestly haven't been this excited for a UFC PPV
in my entire life. The card is most likely the BEST card from top to
bottom that I have ever seen. And no major injuries to any of the main
fighters, which always seems to be the case (knock on wood). I'll get to
those fights in a few days. Tonight, we start things off with UFC Fight
Night 80. The main event is headlined by 2 girls and neither of them
are Ronda Rousey. The UFC is hyping the hell out of VanZant and it's
mostly because of her looks. She has potential to be a solid fighter one
day but she is so inexperienced and not very technical at the moment.
I'm going to be making a small play on Namajunas for some extra action
but I don't recommend playing either fighter to be honest. If anything, I think it's likely that Namajunas catches PVZ in a sub when Paige leaves an opening, or Paige's pace and cardio take over in the later rounds and PVZ gets the finish at that point. I'll make a play on the fight not lasting 5 full rounds.
Sage
Northcutt is another UFC hype-train that is probably getting more
attention than he should at the moment. Again, it's mostly because he's
only 19 and looks like an Abercrombie model. He made quick work of
Trevino in his UFC debut but Trevino sucks. So we don't really know much
about how Northcutt's chin, cardio, etc. are. Pfister is probably not
skilled enough to really give us much more of an indication in this
fight either. Pfister is the toughest guy Northcutt's ever faced and he
is durable, but not very skilled anywhere. I don't think Nortchutt
deserves such steep odds at this point, but there's definitely no way I
can make the case for taking a shot on Pfister. I'll probably use
Northcutt in a parlay or two, but definitely won't be depending on him
across the board.
There are a lot of other fighters I'm betting
on tonight but I don't have much more time to get into each one
in-depth. In short, I think Tim Means will destroy Howard and likely get
a finish. Sterling gets a stiff test in Eduardo, who has a puncher's
chance, but I expect Sterling to get him to the ground and submit him in
the 2nd or 3rd round. Sterling just needs to make sure he doesn't stand
with Eduardo too long, because I think he is definitely at a
disadvantage if they keep the fight standing. Tukhugov has a good style
matchup and I think he knocks out Nover. Curran is another chick
fighter, so you don't want to rely on someone like her too heavily, but
Kagan sucks and Curran should have the better pace and cardio to take a
clear decision.
UFC Fight Night 80
10 Unit Play A. Sterling + T. Means + S. Northcutt (-165)
5 Unit Plays Z. Tukhugov + A. Sterling + S. Nortchutt (-130) K. Curran + T. Means (-160)
3 Unit Plays S. Ponzinibbio + A. Sterling (-120) A. Sterling + E. Theodorou (-130) R. Namajunas/P. VanZant Under 5 Rounds (-145)
just my 2 cents Throwing a -1000 into a parlay is never a good idea. Realistically, how much is it really changing the odds on your bet? maybe making a few extra bucks because of it (literally) .. but i dont even think its worth the risk for that messily few points of less juice.
Anyways best of luck, i'm going easy on this card, waiting for the weekend small plays on Miller , and Northcutt/Pfister under 1.5
0
just my 2 cents Throwing a -1000 into a parlay is never a good idea. Realistically, how much is it really changing the odds on your bet? maybe making a few extra bucks because of it (literally) .. but i dont even think its worth the risk for that messily few points of less juice.
Anyways best of luck, i'm going easy on this card, waiting for the weekend small plays on Miller , and Northcutt/Pfister under 1.5
I can understand your point, but I don't think you know all of the facts in this particular situation. First off, Nortchutt is -900 on 5Dimes, so slightly less than the -1000 example you used. I debated whether to use Northcutt in a few plays and I weighed the options. Had I taken out Northcutt in my 10 unit parlay, the odds go from -165 to -210. Had I taken out Northcutt in my 5 unit parlay, the odds go from -130 to -200. That's quite a bit more of a difference than "saving a few bucks." Sure, those 2 plays become a bit riskier because I need a 3rd leg to hit in order to cash. But if one of the other fighters in the parlay lose, I don't lose a ton of extra juice there.
Personally, I think Northcutt wins tonight, even if I don't necessarily believe all of the hype quite yet. As always, there are several ways to bet these fights. I could have easily dropped Northcutt from my card and just had my 10 unit play be -210 and my 5 unit play be -200. I chose not to do that. Plus, I only used Northcutt in 2 of my 6 plays. I think either option will end up winning anyways, so it's probably a moot point. Good luck on your plays this weekend
0
I can understand your point, but I don't think you know all of the facts in this particular situation. First off, Nortchutt is -900 on 5Dimes, so slightly less than the -1000 example you used. I debated whether to use Northcutt in a few plays and I weighed the options. Had I taken out Northcutt in my 10 unit parlay, the odds go from -165 to -210. Had I taken out Northcutt in my 5 unit parlay, the odds go from -130 to -200. That's quite a bit more of a difference than "saving a few bucks." Sure, those 2 plays become a bit riskier because I need a 3rd leg to hit in order to cash. But if one of the other fighters in the parlay lose, I don't lose a ton of extra juice there.
Personally, I think Northcutt wins tonight, even if I don't necessarily believe all of the hype quite yet. As always, there are several ways to bet these fights. I could have easily dropped Northcutt from my card and just had my 10 unit play be -210 and my 5 unit play be -200. I chose not to do that. Plus, I only used Northcutt in 2 of my 6 plays. I think either option will end up winning anyways, so it's probably a moot point. Good luck on your plays this weekend
P.S. - I will admit that I made a mistake by adding Rousey into basically every parlay last month. That was a perfect example of where the risk wasn't worth the reward. But the line kept dropping and dropping and I thought it was still too good to pass up. I learned a hard lesson there. But then again, I didn't think Holm was well-versed enough in MMA yet to even have a chance at knocking out Rousey. She made me and a lot of other people eat crow on that one!
0
P.S. - I will admit that I made a mistake by adding Rousey into basically every parlay last month. That was a perfect example of where the risk wasn't worth the reward. But the line kept dropping and dropping and I thought it was still too good to pass up. I learned a hard lesson there. But then again, I didn't think Holm was well-versed enough in MMA yet to even have a chance at knocking out Rousey. She made me and a lot of other people eat crow on that one!
10 Unit Play A. Sterling + T. Means + S. Northcutt (-165)
5 Unit Plays Z. Tukhugov + A. Sterling + S. Nortchutt (-130) K. Curran + T. Means (-160)
3 Unit Plays S. Ponzinibbio + A. Sterling (-120) A. Sterling + E. Theodorou (-130) R. Namajunas/P. VanZant Under 5 Rounds (-145)
Overall Tonight: 5-1 (+22.1 units)
2015 Record: 12-17 (-31.9 units)
*All plays are made on a scale of 1-10 units
That was much more like the type of outcomes I'm accustomed to. It sucks that I got off to such a rocky start on here, but hopefully I can make up for it and redeem myself in the long run. It's nice to get this 3-night extravaganza started off on the right foot and take some momentum into the weekend. Good luck on your plays this weekend everyone. See ya tomorrow!
0
UFC Fight Night 80
10 Unit Play A. Sterling + T. Means + S. Northcutt (-165)
5 Unit Plays Z. Tukhugov + A. Sterling + S. Nortchutt (-130) K. Curran + T. Means (-160)
3 Unit Plays S. Ponzinibbio + A. Sterling (-120) A. Sterling + E. Theodorou (-130) R. Namajunas/P. VanZant Under 5 Rounds (-145)
Overall Tonight: 5-1 (+22.1 units)
2015 Record: 12-17 (-31.9 units)
*All plays are made on a scale of 1-10 units
That was much more like the type of outcomes I'm accustomed to. It sucks that I got off to such a rocky start on here, but hopefully I can make up for it and redeem myself in the long run. It's nice to get this 3-night extravaganza started off on the right foot and take some momentum into the weekend. Good luck on your plays this weekend everyone. See ya tomorrow!
If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on
this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide
any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in
your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner
of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.