@RLeith35
Solid picks I am going take a stab at a lot of those as well. I don’t know much on vendramini, and izzy fights always play out completely different than I expect so I’m staying away from those two bouts but will tail Moslar, hill, ridell, Leon and figgy. Best of luck my friend , enjoy the hostilities
This is a rematch of a bout that occurred in April 2018 where Adesanya, then in his second UFC fight beat Vettori via split decision. That was a very competitive three round fight, one in which Vettori began to successfully take Adesanya down and display some control late in that bout.
Vettori, currently ranked third in the division has won five straight bouts leading into this championship tussle. His opponents while worthy are not to be mistaken with elite middleweight talent however. While Vettori is a better version of himself today then then, I am not convinced that he’s improved or added any real offensive/defensive dimension to his game since that bout.
Vettori is nicknamed ‘Angry Marvin’ appropriately as he brings an aggressive, bar-room brawling stand up style to his fights. His footwork and movement are choppy thus forcing him to rely on his power and belligerent forward pressure as opposed to any fluidity of movement or defensive evasiveness.
Vettori’s wrestling and grappling seem to the key to this fight from my perspective for I cannot envision a five round stand-up fight between these two where Vettori would have any chance at success.
Vettori must pressure Adesanya, press him backwards and force him expend energy so that dragging him to the floor is easier to accomplish. Vettori will/should mimic the Jan Blachowicz plan of wrestling control against Adesanya. This is first and foremost in his approach, from the ground Vettori will try and reign damage on Issy from top position.
Adesanya enters this fight off the loss to Blachowicz which in my handicapping is an advantage for him. While Vettori is the most ‘Blachowicz-type’ styled fighter in the middleweight division he will in no way be as large, heavy or strong as Blachowicz was in that last bout. Therefore, Vettori will offer little in pressure, size or physicality that Adesanya has not already dealt with in that Blachowicz bout.
Adesanya has realized a 7-1 tally since the Vettori bout and though he’s off that loss, his middleweight wins were against the absolute elite of the division then and now. Adesanya over the course of time has refined his precision striking and deft movement with more power and the realization that he must address his take down defense. It’s my take that Issy’s last bout against Blachowicz ends up being most helpful in preparing Adesanya for the style of fight that Vettori is going to levy on him.
If this fight stays standing Adesanya will paint ‘Angry Marvin’s’ fence black and blue. If Vettori can manage to grind on Adesanya and force him to expend energy fighting off the wrestling pressure then Vettori has a chance in this fight.
I handicap a class difference between these two athletes’ and have a difficult time believing Vettori has anything other than a ‘Sunday punch’ chance to earn this title./By Gamblou
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