Posted:
#1
---3-0 on POSTED $$$$ Plays. I am risking my highest Unit on this Play--
1) Zach Duke on the road is awful batters hitting .345 off him and 1.45 whip..his ERA is deceiving on the road at 3.8..he manages to get out of a lot of jams due to a bit of luck/skill..
2) DUke allows right handed batters on the season to hit .386!! and 1.97 WHIp..are you serious! This guy has gotten so disgustingly lucky to pitch out of jams like he does..I give him credit for being skillful but Arizona bats are HOT! Good luck giving up all those hits and recording outs..
3) Duke 6.14 ERA in june .386 baa..but we get the benedit because his ERA is 3.86 on road and 4.66 on the year not TOO BAD...but pay no attention to that he is MUCH mUCH worse than his stats..
4) Now intially I was going to bet detroit -1.5 but Phill Cokes not to much of a stud either once you look at numbers...Coke allows right handers to hit .285 and 1.55 WHIP!..ok not nearly As bad as Duke but throw in hot bats and your looking at runs given up
5) Add on the fact that he in JUNE has allowed .288 BAA and 1.78 WHIP!
6) Coke also pitches VERY well without runners on but .315 with RISP on the season! So if you get base runners they have a high percentage chance of scoring
7) All in All on paper you have 4.66 era pitcher vs. 3.95 pitcher line is 9.5? with 73 percent under? yeah ok
Give me the 5th and 6th ranked team in scoring Runs against LEfties against incognito sub par pitchers ...this one wont be close in my mind
ONE team will cover the over by themselves
0
congrats
Carrasco gives up just enough for the win 
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