If the Yankees lose which they shouldn't,it was because the beginning of the game cost them 2 runs on the error. People in Vegas are making the line go down on the under of 11 on the Coloraado game,any thoughts,it is 10.5 now?
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If the Yankees lose which they shouldn't,it was because the beginning of the game cost them 2 runs on the error. People in Vegas are making the line go down on the under of 11 on the Coloraado game,any thoughts,it is 10.5 now?
Can I ask what your thoughts are on STL and DET/KC Under? I don't quite like the movement in both
I realize I'm not si1ly, but I thought I'd give you my opinion anyways. STL/PIT is so tough to call...if PIT stays the dog though I'm gonna bet them. Wandy > Kelly (by a hair), but maybe more important they're at home. Gonna watch the line movement though. Will likely bet whoever winds up as the dog. Hoping it stays where it is though, I like home dogs better than road ones
As for the under in DET/KC I hate the under. Both Sanchez and Chen have been giving up lots of runs. Dunno if I'd bet over, 9 is pretty high, but that's my lean. If I'm touching that game I'm betting KC. Lots of ppl on DET naturally, pitching adv. to KC, KC @ home. Haven't looked into it too deeply yet though. Hope I helped. Cheers!
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Quote Originally Posted by guil0000:
Can I ask what your thoughts are on STL and DET/KC Under? I don't quite like the movement in both
I realize I'm not si1ly, but I thought I'd give you my opinion anyways. STL/PIT is so tough to call...if PIT stays the dog though I'm gonna bet them. Wandy > Kelly (by a hair), but maybe more important they're at home. Gonna watch the line movement though. Will likely bet whoever winds up as the dog. Hoping it stays where it is though, I like home dogs better than road ones
As for the under in DET/KC I hate the under. Both Sanchez and Chen have been giving up lots of runs. Dunno if I'd bet over, 9 is pretty high, but that's my lean. If I'm touching that game I'm betting KC. Lots of ppl on DET naturally, pitching adv. to KC, KC @ home. Haven't looked into it too deeply yet though. Hope I helped. Cheers!
But they are winning 11% of their games in New York this year... which is what I was saying. Maybe in a neutral stadium, but for some reason they just can't win at the Yanks this year.
Can't argue with that 11% statistic, since it's over such an overwhelmingly large sample size as nine games. Why did the Blue Jays even fly to New York in the first place?
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Quote Originally Posted by txtechpika:
But they are winning 11% of their games in New York this year... which is what I was saying. Maybe in a neutral stadium, but for some reason they just can't win at the Yanks this year.
Can't argue with that 11% statistic, since it's over such an overwhelmingly large sample size as nine games. Why did the Blue Jays even fly to New York in the first place?
Can't argue with that 11% statistic, since it's over such an overwhelmingly large sample size as nine games. Why did the Blue Jays even fly to New York in the first place?
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Quote Originally Posted by Top_5_Guy:
Can't argue with that 11% statistic, since it's over such an overwhelmingly large sample size as nine games. Why did the Blue Jays even fly to New York in the first place?
I realize I'm not si1ly, but I thought I'd give you my opinion anyways. STL/PIT is so tough to call...if PIT stays the dog though I'm gonna bet them. Wandy > Kelly (by a hair), but maybe more important they're at home. Gonna watch the line movement though. Will likely bet whoever winds up as the dog. Hoping it stays where it is though, I like home dogs better than road ones
As for the under in DET/KC I hate the under. Both Sanchez and Chen have been giving up lots of runs. Dunno if I'd bet over, 9 is pretty high, but that's my lean. If I'm touching that game I'm betting KC. Lots of ppl on DET naturally, pitching adv. to KC, KC @ home. Haven't looked into it too deeply yet though. Hope I helped. Cheers!
Thanks for the imput... Here are my thoughts on why I leaned on STL and the under
For STL it's simple I think the Pirates are overvalued most games. STL Crushes lefties and The Pirates are pretty bad against righties. Joe Kelly is better against righties which Pittsburgh will have 5 tonight and Wandy is better against lefties which STL has only 2. To finish PITT has never faced Kelly while STL have faced Wandy quite a lot in past years... The absolute only thing keeping me away is the line movement
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Quote Originally Posted by CannedGoods:
I realize I'm not si1ly, but I thought I'd give you my opinion anyways. STL/PIT is so tough to call...if PIT stays the dog though I'm gonna bet them. Wandy > Kelly (by a hair), but maybe more important they're at home. Gonna watch the line movement though. Will likely bet whoever winds up as the dog. Hoping it stays where it is though, I like home dogs better than road ones
As for the under in DET/KC I hate the under. Both Sanchez and Chen have been giving up lots of runs. Dunno if I'd bet over, 9 is pretty high, but that's my lean. If I'm touching that game I'm betting KC. Lots of ppl on DET naturally, pitching adv. to KC, KC @ home. Haven't looked into it too deeply yet though. Hope I helped. Cheers!
Thanks for the imput... Here are my thoughts on why I leaned on STL and the under
For STL it's simple I think the Pirates are overvalued most games. STL Crushes lefties and The Pirates are pretty bad against righties. Joe Kelly is better against righties which Pittsburgh will have 5 tonight and Wandy is better against lefties which STL has only 2. To finish PITT has never faced Kelly while STL have faced Wandy quite a lot in past years... The absolute only thing keeping me away is the line movement
for the under I just looked at silly's projection which has 8.2 . Detroit are average against lefties and KC have never faced Anibal. Both starters ERA are higher than their SIERA and both their BABIP are higher than 3 which indicates some bad luck. I think the public perception creates some value here but once again the line movement doen't agree with me
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for the under I just looked at silly's projection which has 8.2 . Detroit are average against lefties and KC have never faced Anibal. Both starters ERA are higher than their SIERA and both their BABIP are higher than 3 which indicates some bad luck. I think the public perception creates some value here but once again the line movement doen't agree with me
Thanks for the imput... Here are my thoughts on why I leaned on STL and the under
For STL it's simple I think the Pirates are overvalued most games. STL Crushes lefties and The Pirates are pretty bad against righties. Joe Kelly is better against righties which Pittsburgh will have 5 tonight and Wandy is better against lefties which STL has only 2. To finish PITT has never faced Kelly while STL have faced Wandy quite a lot in past years... The absolute only thing keeping me away is the line movement
I always find the line movement, especially in those tight line games, so important. I agree whole heartedly tho. STL lineup scares me. They crush everything. But I feel like everybody's on them and Vegas is baiting the shit outta people. I'm gonna say fuck it and jump on the Pirates as a home dog if the line remains where it is. A lot of ppl have written the Pirates off but they're only a couple games behind STL and they will NEED to win this game BIG TIME if they want a post-season berth. I think if they lose this game I'll start fading them but they'll have a lot of motivation. Again, likely gonna jump on the dog here; currently Pittsburgh is it.
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Quote Originally Posted by guil0000:
Thanks for the imput... Here are my thoughts on why I leaned on STL and the under
For STL it's simple I think the Pirates are overvalued most games. STL Crushes lefties and The Pirates are pretty bad against righties. Joe Kelly is better against righties which Pittsburgh will have 5 tonight and Wandy is better against lefties which STL has only 2. To finish PITT has never faced Kelly while STL have faced Wandy quite a lot in past years... The absolute only thing keeping me away is the line movement
I always find the line movement, especially in those tight line games, so important. I agree whole heartedly tho. STL lineup scares me. They crush everything. But I feel like everybody's on them and Vegas is baiting the shit outta people. I'm gonna say fuck it and jump on the Pirates as a home dog if the line remains where it is. A lot of ppl have written the Pirates off but they're only a couple games behind STL and they will NEED to win this game BIG TIME if they want a post-season berth. I think if they lose this game I'll start fading them but they'll have a lot of motivation. Again, likely gonna jump on the dog here; currently Pittsburgh is it.
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