Yea Verlander and I'm asking about all games first 5 innings. What's the difference if i take the spread over ML? Spread is half a point at (-105) but how is that any different than ML? Why would anyone pay the juice for ML over spread a -.50 spread what am i missing?
the only advantage to the money line vs. the .5 is that you can push if the game is tied. I sometimes take it when I take a team that doesnt score alot or when its 2 very good pitchers where i dont expect many runs scored
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Quote Originally Posted by JAYLOKO:
Yea Verlander and I'm asking about all games first 5 innings. What's the difference if i take the spread over ML? Spread is half a point at (-105) but how is that any different than ML? Why would anyone pay the juice for ML over spread a -.50 spread what am i missing?
the only advantage to the money line vs. the .5 is that you can push if the game is tied. I sometimes take it when I take a team that doesnt score alot or when its 2 very good pitchers where i dont expect many runs scored
Ryu and La Rosa both pitched great last start so i'll be on the Under How can a 9.5 be put on this game after a shutout in 9 inn for RYU and only one run allowed in 9 inn for Rosa in last 2 starts
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Ryu and La Rosa both pitched great last start so i'll be on the Under How can a 9.5 be put on this game after a shutout in 9 inn for RYU and only one run allowed in 9 inn for Rosa in last 2 starts
Morning guys i did not like that late game so never returned after my last post
Both Ortiz and Volquez were ???? to me as Ortiz had allowed 4 runs in his last start all in 5 inn but was able to not allow any more thru final
Volquez did have a pretty good last start with just a 1 run allowed thru 9 inn so was leaning towards him and if had played game i was leaning to the F5 more than game as i'm First a 5 inn guy over 9 inn's as pen worries more more than not on most teams and anyway had i played it i would had a push at 4-4
Over all i had a pretty good day going 5-2-1 in what i finally played
My 2 losses were Pirates and Gomez allowing 4 runs in 1st 5 inn
and Porcello losing in 9 as tried to get cute with the RL and it bit me in the behind as he won in F5 but lost SU in 9 inn,I stll can't believe Gausman was able to just allow 2 runs in that game after reviewing his past 2 starts at 12-9 RA and then yest a 2 i did not see that coming i must admit
On to today Monday June 3rd
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Morning guys i did not like that late game so never returned after my last post
Both Ortiz and Volquez were ???? to me as Ortiz had allowed 4 runs in his last start all in 5 inn but was able to not allow any more thru final
Volquez did have a pretty good last start with just a 1 run allowed thru 9 inn so was leaning towards him and if had played game i was leaning to the F5 more than game as i'm First a 5 inn guy over 9 inn's as pen worries more more than not on most teams and anyway had i played it i would had a push at 4-4
Over all i had a pretty good day going 5-2-1 in what i finally played
My 2 losses were Pirates and Gomez allowing 4 runs in 1st 5 inn
and Porcello losing in 9 as tried to get cute with the RL and it bit me in the behind as he won in F5 but lost SU in 9 inn,I stll can't believe Gausman was able to just allow 2 runs in that game after reviewing his past 2 starts at 12-9 RA and then yest a 2 i did not see that coming i must admit
My top play will be Stults in 5 as his #'s are great
1-5 RA past 5-7-0-1-1-0-0-1 ( how can you ignore this) 6 grt starts
What blows my mind is he is + Money
yes his #'s are not as good in 9 inn as in 5 but Capuano is noting to brag about
Stults game#'s 5-7-2-1-3-1-5-2 ( one bad # in 5 starts thru 9 looks pretty good to me
Lets look at Capuano now
1-5 RA past 6-6-0-0-3-3 ( 3's to me are bad in F5)
Game totals 9-9-3-3-10-4 ( anything 4 and above is bad to me in a 9 inn game( MY RULES)
There is no way i can see Capuano winning this in F 5 especially and at + $$$ this is a gift IMO and if changes to negative money later i will play him on the RL in 9 inn too
To me this is the best play today
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Lot of ???? games today with these Starters
My top play will be Stults in 5 as his #'s are great
1-5 RA past 5-7-0-1-1-0-0-1 ( how can you ignore this) 6 grt starts
What blows my mind is he is + Money
yes his #'s are not as good in 9 inn as in 5 but Capuano is noting to brag about
Stults game#'s 5-7-2-1-3-1-5-2 ( one bad # in 5 starts thru 9 looks pretty good to me
Lets look at Capuano now
1-5 RA past 6-6-0-0-3-3 ( 3's to me are bad in F5)
Game totals 9-9-3-3-10-4 ( anything 4 and above is bad to me in a 9 inn game( MY RULES)
There is no way i can see Capuano winning this in F 5 especially and at + $$$ this is a gift IMO and if changes to negative money later i will play him on the RL in 9 inn too
Chattwood also has my attention esp if review his last 4 starts
1-5 RA past 3-0-1-0-1 ( L4 are superb)
Arroyo
1-5 RA past 2-6-0-4-0-1-3-2
With the line at 8.5 i see an under in F5 as line should be 4.5
this will also eliminate any Juice involved with Chattwood
although he appears as + $$$$
Its all up to what Arroyo does IMO
I don't know what these odds makers are doing but i don't see itChattwood and Pen allowed 6 runs last start so maybe that has something to do with it, so i'll stay on the F5 and take my WIN
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Chattwood also has my attention esp if review his last 4 starts
1-5 RA past 3-0-1-0-1 ( L4 are superb)
Arroyo
1-5 RA past 2-6-0-4-0-1-3-2
With the line at 8.5 i see an under in F5 as line should be 4.5
this will also eliminate any Juice involved with Chattwood
although he appears as + $$$$
Its all up to what Arroyo does IMO
I don't know what these odds makers are doing but i don't see itChattwood and Pen allowed 6 runs last start so maybe that has something to do with it, so i'll stay on the F5 and take my WIN
looking back at that Chatwood play and i like the Under in 9 inn (line is 8.5) i know he and pen allowed 6 runs in his last start but it was the only bad pen play in all his starts,so i do not see that happening again today.Yes Arroyo will prob give up a few but i think the line of 8.5 is high so i'll be on the UNDER in 9 inn
balance of plays either the Lines are right on or the Starters are too INCONSISTENT( one start there good and then the next there not and vice versa
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with all the games going off late we should get to play tomorrows games T night into tomorrow but only in 9 inn
lets look and see if we can find a couple good ones to add to the mix
back in a bit
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looking back at that Chatwood play and i like the Under in 9 inn (line is 8.5) i know he and pen allowed 6 runs in his last start but it was the only bad pen play in all his starts,so i do not see that happening again today.Yes Arroyo will prob give up a few but i think the line of 8.5 is high so i'll be on the UNDER in 9 inn
both starters are not doing well esp their last 2 starts thru 9 inn with pen I have not seen the lines yet but i sure like the Over unless its out of sight. We should have the line later today
Griffin/Lohse also look to be having problems but i ned to await to see the lines so back later today prior to games start I Hope other wise i will be on that is posted
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looking at Tillman/Harrell game tomorrow
both starters are not doing well esp their last 2 starts thru 9 inn with pen I have not seen the lines yet but i sure like the Over unless its out of sight. We should have the line later today
Griffin/Lohse also look to be having problems but i ned to await to see the lines so back later today prior to games start I Hope other wise i will be on that is posted
Locke / Minor both pitching extremely well ,Under in F5, best i don't care what lines are but like it in 9 inn too as will not be able to wager on in 5 inn today so 2nd best is under in 9
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Have to post this JIC i don't get back
Locke / Minor both pitching extremely well ,Under in F5, best i don't care what lines are but like it in 9 inn too as will not be able to wager on in 5 inn today so 2nd best is under in 9
Went back in my post yesterday and regarding Chattwood,although he had great #'s as noted i was suspect to what Arroyo would do so i went to the under in F 5 and added later i also like the under in 9
Both were I did think Chattwood had the better #'s but Arroro with that shutout proved my instinct to just play the under other than a side
Burnett and Medlen both had 3's RA in F5 last starts so i thought the Over in F5 was the way to go,As it happened Medlen allowed 1 run and Burnett allowed 6,That i did not expect but it was a
I def could not see a line of 3'5
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Stults play worked out well with Pitcher change with Fife and the Under
(appears Capuano is now out and Fife is in for Lad
he only has one start on 04/21 in which he allowed 4 runs thru 5 inn
so have they sharpened him up for today as if so i like the Under NOW)
On to today 6-4-13
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Went back in my post yesterday and regarding Chattwood,although he had great #'s as noted i was suspect to what Arroyo would do so i went to the under in F 5 and added later i also like the under in 9
Both were I did think Chattwood had the better #'s but Arroro with that shutout proved my instinct to just play the under other than a side
Burnett and Medlen both had 3's RA in F5 last starts so i thought the Over in F5 was the way to go,As it happened Medlen allowed 1 run and Burnett allowed 6,That i did not expect but it was a
I def could not see a line of 3'5
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Stults play worked out well with Pitcher change with Fife and the Under
(appears Capuano is now out and Fife is in for Lad
he only has one start on 04/21 in which he allowed 4 runs thru 5 inn
so have they sharpened him up for today as if so i like the Under NOW)
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