2020 Hot Stove

One shot of Whiskey,bite on a stick, and hit submit...

J.A. Happ OVER 4 K's(-105) *1/.95

Good Luck 

F*ckin ump stole Happ's 1st strikeout.

The Prick has a big strikezone, but squeezing tonight of course.

For Monday:

Marlins ML(+134) *1/1.34

Gsellman/Yamamoto scheduled

GL to you gamblers,

SAC you got half your winnings on Max but if he is on you will hit a tidy profit,

YAO,thanks for Cinn.update,I thought it had something to do with virus but it is hard to get info on anything to do with Virus,

SAC you got Giants that is easy win,I am sure Hunter is rolling now.

My bad sac,forgot today was Sunday,could of looked at scores and seen how you did,Max 3-1 was a nice win for you,I do not think my Giants are going to get the wins I said,giving up 9 runs in one inning makes it hard to win,

GL on Marlins tomorrow,

yeh they are trying to do the out side drinking and this week it is hot so they are more likely doing good now but being on coast usually it is cold to be outside eating and drinking,my Dad has been over 100 all week in his area of Calif.

2 days on covers,what is next,putting in a few bets for something to do,maybe its time to ruin my 2-0 year.

4-5 for +0.44

What's up Jeg, wish I was 2-0 on the year. I would of saved a lot of time watching and researching. 

Ryan Additon owes me $100. Happ struck out the first batter clear as day.

Anyone seeing the Cubs losing streak that is about to get worse? They have to play 5 games in 3 days because the p*ssy covid Cardinals have to make up games. These post covid teams are screwing up other teams schedules, and it's not fair at all. 

Hey sac,nice call on Max Ks,one more and would of been a nice day but still won,

I bet the first 2 Giants game against the Dodgers and won at both +300,but did not watch games or really pay attention to them,so just have not gotten into sports,plus I never thought they were going to keep playing NBA or Baseball but it looks like they are getting ready for playoffs and doing make up games in baseball.

ML 28-33(-4.93)

O/U 10-16(-6.88)

RL 6-6(+0.55)

K's 45-24(+20.30)

YTD=89-79(+9.04)

4-5 for +0.44 yesterday

Monday:

Marlins ML(+134) *1/1.34

Royals ML(+148) *2.00/2.96

Bubic/Wisler scheduled

I'm gonna start writing, so the play all ready lost.

Wisler is opening. He has great looking #'s in 10 innings pitched out of the pen this year. Looking a little deeper, you'll see why the guy isn't a starter anymore and was moved to the pen. In his career in the 1st inning he has allowed a .276 BA, .852 OPS with a 5.53 ERA. He'll only go a couple innings max today, but has to start. Don't think that he won't be a little nervous, he will. There is some pressure on him to keep the scoreboard clean. He does not have a good past vs the Royals hitters. They've hit him at .296/.989 and have struck out only once for every 9.33 plate appearances. Only Nicky Lopez and Hunter Dozier have never seen Wisler. He is also on 5 days rest where in his career as a starter has a 5.06 ERA, 1.63 WHIP, allowed a .298 BA and .882 OPS.

So only a couple innings to worry about that. 3 guys are expected to eat innings following Wisler.

Smeltzer(8.00 ERA, 5.02 FIP, 1.67 WHIP), Thorpe( 5.06 ERA, 6.14 FIP, 1.87 WHIP) and Alcala(2.57 ERA, 3.56 FIP, 1.14 WHIP). So one guy looks pretty good through the first 6 innings give or take.

The Twins have never seen Bubic. Southpaw with a 60% groundball rate, with a 3.74 SIERA. Which basically means the nerds think that he's been pitching better than his 5.40 ERA indicates. Only 10% of his batted balls have been line drives. That's 3rd best in the majors only behind Masahiro Tanaka and Trevor Bauer. The Twins are 16th in the majors in sOPS+ vs ground ballers, hitting .250/.689.

Since August 3rd, the Twins are 7-6, and the Royals are 6-6. In that span the Twins are hitting .240/.725/98 wRC+. The Royals are hitting .260/.767/107 wRC+. So you can take that with a grain of salt and say, "maybe the Twins have faced tough pitching in that span?" Check out the starters they have faced vs who the Royals have faced since Aug 3rd.

Twins: Derrick Holland, Joe Musgrove, Trevor Williams, JT Brubaker, Jakob Junis, Danny Duffy(twice), Bradely Singer(twice), Adrian Houser, Josh Lindblom, Eric Lauer, and Ian Kennedy. Have you guys sh*t your pants yet after reading that set of Cy Young candidates?

Royals: Alec Mills, Kyle Hendricks, Yu Darvish, Tyler Chatwood, Drew Smeltzer, Jake Odorizzi(twice), Jose Berrios(twice), Louis Castillo, Wade Miley, Randy Dobnak. Two guys on that list are very good who most wouldn't think, and that's Alec Mills and Randy Dobnak. So the Royals were able to hit better off of these guys than the Twins were vs subpar starters.

That's all I got. Good Luck

I agree with u on both these games... I really like this bubic kid. Really suprised by the line on the marlins game ...

goodluck today sac

Sac 

Martin Perez UNDER 4.5 K's(-165) *1/.60

Martin Perez UNDER 4 K's(-113) *.50/.44

Yankees TT OVER 5(-125) *1/.80

Forgot...

Jordan Montgomery UNDER 4 K's(-115) *1/.87

Jordan Yamamoto OVER 4.5 K's(+120) *1/1.20

I think he'll get right on 4 days rest. And this is the Mets first indoor game of the year. Last year under a roof they were the worst hitting team in the NL, poor .191 BA and struck out once for every 3.57 PA's.

Some of you played baseball, think about playing 23 straight games in the sun, then play under a roof in artificial lighting and trying to pick up the spin on the baseball.

Good Luck

Zac Gallen OVER 6.5 k's(-125) *1/.80

OAK@AZ 1st 5 UNDER 4.5(-105) *1/.95

GL

STL@CHC OVER 7(even) *2.00

Miller/Reyes scheduled

Good Luck

Let’s go KC! BOL sac

6-3-1 for +1.59

Write ups =

Tuesday:

NYY@TB 1st 5 UNDER 4.5(-115) *1/.87

Tanaka/Snell scheduled

TOR@BAL OVER 9.5(-102) *1/.98

Pearson/Leblanc scheduled

GL Today , sac  

The rain saved your Montgomery pick sac, otherwise the results of your written picks have become ominous

Looking at the card today, riddle me this: why are the Rays favourites in the Bronx? Snell's numbers in NY are is 1-5 with a 5.82 ERA in 11 starts, maybe he wont go more than 5 and Tampa had the day off yesterday, so i guess having all the arms available plays a role in the odds, while the Yankees only used Chapman last night, his 1st game of the season, which means they will have all the other big arms available: Green, Otto and Britton. Don't know if I'll play the Yankees, but they surely are worth a look.

Good luck killer

Angels over 9 @-135

Love this over train with the Angels!!

Dylan Bundy UNDER 6 K's(+110) *1/1.10

Bookies are making it tough to hit an under on a guy who struck out 7,8,10 and 10 in 4 outings.

He's thrown 390 pitches and the levee will break soon.

His K rate is much lower vs LHH's, and the Giants are platooning 7 today.

HP ump John Libka has averaged the 3rd lowest K's per game this year.

THIS IS NOT A WRITE UP