2025 ⚾️ 💡

 Gonna start this thread see what happens. Just couple thoughts maybe refer to. If you like add to it please do.

I’m Cleveland fan so I’ll start there. 
Jose Ramirez may not have protection in lineup not that Josh Naylor had great season. Did well betting on Ramirez walks and really well on run scored. Also Gavin Williams has looked great in spring training thus far.

Arizona crushed lefties last year. Carroll had off year Marte was beast when healthy, maybe Josh Naylor loses some weight in desert has big year. I’ll be looking see if overs and TT over vs lefties carries over this year.Losing Pederson may hurt, but I seen something in Perdomo I liked last year.

Long way away but 100 degree temps in Sacramento and less foul ground plus a A’s lineup I actually like maybe some overs with not very good starting staff.

Also I’ll have my eye on Washington I like this team and think may find some good spots.

Mets overs: this bullpen was horrible for about 2 months last year and they should put runs up in bunches and not very high on their starters.

Let’s work together this season forum crush the books. Can’t wait for baseball 

Welcome to MLB Season! I’m with you here, this season will be something to witness. I’m very excited for ball to begin baseball is my bread and butter! Being raised in Colorado, the Rockies will always have a place in my heart but they will never go anywhere.. Farm team is all the owners want from the franchise… But I digress.. 

Cleveland will show strength on all fronts this season, I truly believe that. 
BOL Bro,

TheWelder

That 2007 Rockies run was insane !

Won one game playoff swept thru to World Series. Won like 23 outta 24 games to World Series. I still think if my Indians didn’t blow a 3-1 lead against Red Sox Rockies win it all. That week off killed them. This is why I don’t like new playoff structure 

BOL to You as Well 

I remember that game Holiday sliding home. I like the game as natural as possible even with controversy. Today it would still be under review or challenged. Every pitch will be challenged one day but now baseball now has a clock (due to modern short attention spans) to shorten game times. Questec and computers will call ball and strikes. Nothing stays the same. If you love baseball then you have to love the basic structure of the game. Yes slight changes should gradually be made over time but there is a line. Like the rest of society it has been crossed for the sake of modernity. Reminds me of the prescient 1969 one hit wonder In The Year 2525. 

Some pitching stuff keep eye out for.

Skenes with a cutter 

https://www.mlb.com/news/best-new-pitches-spring-training-2025?partnerID=mlbapp-iOS_article-share

Not many players hustle like Jose Ramirez. After some research gonna lay off walks and focus on runs scored. He scored 116 runs last year longest drought 6 games and 4 or more game drought only 4 times all season. Was one HR from 40/40. Can lay off or go small on day like today against an ace he has bad stats against. Still not sure how this lineup will look. Do what you wish. I’m gonna start small and semi-martingale this depending on other factors. Of coarse the HR is nice plus money and exciting, but gonna pick my spots and put more investment in just runs.

Steven Kwan had 39 multi hit games in 140 games 2024. Nice thing about semi-martingale 2+ hits is that is usually priced about +130 to +190 so don’t have get crazy. Can throw occasional small 3 plus hits in at +750-900ish. Or pick your own favorite leadoff hitter or leadoff hitters throughout the day.

yes I know martingale anything is dangerous just start small make a max and layoff a player or pick another player you see potential in and start over. I call it mining bitcoin strategy. I always got few of these going to fuel my bigger bets.

Full disclosure I only went all out betting baseball all year last year. And although I’ve bet and watched for over 30 years. This whole prop and betting app promos etc. is still new to me. But had a profitable year learning a lot (especially from this forum) as it progressed.

Will be on Arizona TT over 4.5 tonight. Steele was shakey in spring and vs Dodgers. As mentioned above wanna see if Arizona crushing lefties carries over. And hey they been home forever playing spring training.

Play Ball 

GL 4 

Lost Ramirez run, won Kwan 2 hits in extras, and won Arizona TT O 4.5 Thursday. Overall with other bets slight win.

Today laying off Kwan Ramirez props. Lugo had better ERA home last year 1.56 and bad as Gavin Williams was last year had 3.56 ERA away. Williams had strong spring training.17.1 innings 17hits 4earned runs 26 strikeouts 2.08 ERA. If you look at career matchups both lineups have some pretty bad numbers vs each starter. Each team had yesterday off bullpens full strength. Weather does say it’s suppose be pretty windy and 78 if wanna check rotowire before game. This ticked down to 8 and now back to 8.5 -115. Grabbing this under 8.5 now whatever umpire, wind I’ll take my chances.

 Cashed under 8.5 Royals Guards 

grabbed two small winning HR props on Yankees game too after seeing wind blowing out 

Going with a small Foxy parlay (both games on fox) 

Braves this is partly going anti-sweep don’t think braves start out 0-3 and as cover preview said San Diego bullpen pitched 11 innings in already.Also a fan of Schwelly not so much Vasquez.

Houston I’m definitely a Canning fader and not a Mets bullpen fan.
Arrighetti had strong spring and unlike Canning yet to face Mets and less familiar, just has quit walking batters should have good year.

Also played Yordan Alvarez HR
Braves ML Houston ML parlay +207

Victor Robles 2+ hits +270

Lawrence Butler 2+ hits +310

Both are 2-2 careers against starters and lead off hitter may get extra at bat.

only have to hit 1 these pretty good prices 

Well lost all my late bets

 But won big bet Guards under. Winning day

parlay Atlanta 1-0 

Alvarez HR 

2hits 

Mostly tailing others today but one play I’m on is Phillies over 5.5 runs +135. Parkers with 6.61 road ERA and tagged last time for 9 runs vs Phillies. Add 80 degrees and winds out to left 10-15mph and road team guaranteed 9th inning at bats going 5.5 to get plus money.

Grabbed Castellanos HR +425 righty bat vs lefty with wind 

May be on Zona TT over or Game total over not sure yet.

Settled on Arizona game over 9 gonna wait see it can get a 8.5 at better price than -140 

Pasquatch is 6-8 vs Bibee with two homers. +700 at DK nice price has 1 already. Rain has passed and says wind blowing out to right now

Got kwan 1H Bibee over 4.5 SO and U8 alt line as well parlay boost +360

Well it was a fire sale on my bets   till Arizona and Cubs went nuts in 8th inning for the over 

Gonna come back to Atlanta ML tonight to avoid the 4 game sweep

just added Ozuna HR+400  6HR 29AB career against Pivetta

Have had two HR bets off wall last two days. Let’s go Ozuna crush that ball threw that thick ocean air.

Looking like two more losses ATL can’t score.

Just took glance at tomorrow and not over thinking did lil research took under 8.5 Angels Cardinals -118 DK

good night 

Adding

Dodgers RL

Tigers ML

Adding guards over 7.5 DK -125

and Guards TT over 3.5 -130

I watched quite a bit KBO last year and Hart is a calm cool customer. But KBO don’t translate like Japan players. Ortiz can have control issues . This isn’t strongest Guards lineup today but can scratch out 4 runs or more. 

Angels under blew up in extras  costing BIG day

Split totals on Guards game

Tigers Dodgers 

Kaufee Giants tail 

taking the Yankees over 8.5 overnight. I’m really high on Zonas lineup and both these pitchers don’t have particularly strong spring stats for what that’s worth. Will also look at some HR props closer to game time once weather and lineups known. Let’s go Torpedo bats.

I did well betting on King last year.  But 2.2 innings 4BB 4H 3 earned runs against a braves team that can’t hit. Spring training 13.2 innings 7H 7BB 6 earned runs 2HR

King under 16.5 innings -105 bigger
Ramirez run scored +140 

Kwan 2 hits +230

guards lineup today much better than what they put out yesterday. SD bullpen been great and starters not completely stretched out like this under 16.5 even though King only went under this about 33% last year.

I really wanna back Guards ML or RL

but just not stepping in front of a 5-0 team and not sold on Logan Allen yet. 

Yankees O 

King under 16.5 outs  Big

Ramirez Kwan 

what a gem my King, got lured in by big odds  on Ramirez and Kwan even though Knew King and Cease dominated Guards last year in Cleveland.

Not whole bunch jumping off page today. Going with Reds ML -135

Check the weather today lots of storms  and wind may effect your props and games.

Gonna look for a Royal for HR against Peralta gave up 26 last year.

Know he has bad hammy but thinking Pasquatch if he’s in lineup today. 

GL today 

I get 20 no sweat HR daily DK hit Helios Ramos yesterday. Pasquatch +450 today he is in lineup.

Gonna try pick on a rookie today 

Nationals Alt TT over 5.5 +170 

Maybe one streakies hitters all baseball Josh Bell wakes up.

Both these bullpens blew last year and so far blow this year. Gore pitched a 1 hit 13 SO gem against Phillies 6 innings. We’ve all seen this movie before pitcher lights out struggles next game. Taking over 8.5 as well half as much as TT wager.

Took a shot and failed   
made few extra bets that made it worse later 

it’s still early not fade material yet. Maybe I always have been just don’t know it 

Anyway been waiting to see this name Tiajuan Walker. Wish it wasn’t against the Rockies, but doesn’t look like he’s fixed much in spring training. Rockies TT over 3.5 -130. 1U for now.

If he actually pitches (never know these days) and weather and odds still in favor might just throw a nickel  on this. 

Ended up putting nickel on Rockies TT 

Seems I keep betting on teams like Reds,Rockies,Braves,Nationals that can’t score. 

Done pretty well tailing today.

snakes have scored 45 runs 7 games

Nats 21 6 games.  Not huge Pfaadt fan and nats had day off while snakes played yesterday. So gonna pay up and play ML -155

Arizona came thru  despite Martel injury in firstand Pfaadt settled in.

Was a great day overall  some my own, but a lot help from my friends.

A lot questionable weather today. so going to early games not suppose rain.
two struggling offenses in the cold Astros  Twins . And winds blowing in Cubs Padres. Honestly Pivetta only SP have a lot faith in these two contest.

Alt. Totals parlay

Twins U8 Cubs U7.5  +200

Will probably be on Guards tonight and tailing the baseball savant cappers on here.

Take a 5 min. Capping break. You deserve it.