Posted:
#1
Play:
Mets/ Marlins (Under)
Red Sox (ML)
Breakdown:
Philadelphia Phillies @ Pittsburgh Pirates (Nola/ Glasnow)
Phillies have not won back to back games at PNC Park since 2008
Phillies have not won back to back games against a team above .500 since May 17th and 18th
Pirates 14-6 in last 20 at home against the Phils
Phillies 0-6 in last 6 of Nola's starts
Pitching Matchup- Nola limped into the All Star break getting shelled in his last 5 starts before missing a start to shoulder soreness. His last start on July 19 he pitched well in 6 innings giving up no runs on 2 hits in 6 innings of work. Nola was pulled after 68 pitches for precautionary reasons. The way Nola has pitched this year, it just depends which Aaron shows up. However, I do not see the Pirates being held in check two nights in a row, especially with the massive struggles Nola has had with predominantly right handed hitting lineups this season (MIN 6/21, and 2 WSH starts). Tyler Glasnow will be making his home debut tonight and I believe he will pitch well enough to get the win. Glasnow was knocked around a bit in his first major league start but with more time to prepare, I believe he will keep the Phillies off balance all day long.
New York Mets @ Miami Marlins (deGrom/ Fernandez)
11 straight Mets games have gone under and 7 of deGrom's last 8 starts have gone under. deGrom has been pitching well lately, coming off of a complete game shutout against the Braves. I think he will take the loss tonight, but I would be shocked if the Marlins' put of a big number on him. Jose Fernandez has not allowed more than 1 ER in his last 7 home starts and an overall 1.53 ERA this season at home. He has also totally dominated the Mets this season in 2 starts, posting a 0.75 ERA against the team. This game shouts pitchers duel.
Minnesota Twins @ Boston Red Sox (Nolasco/ Price)
With both teams relatively hot, and swinging the bats well i will skip straight to the pitching matchup which gives me everything I need to know to put this game in the parlay. David Price, having a mediocre year has been pitching well of late at home and has gone at least 8 innings in his last 4 starts at Fenway. However, in his career price has dominated Minnesota. In his last 5 starts against the ballclub, Price has picked up 5 wins while posting a 0.94 ERA and a .169 BAA. That is pretty dominant. On the other side, Nolasco is quite the opposite when pitching at Fenway. The right hander has a career ERA of 10.80 when pitching in Boston and David Ortiz has hit 3 HRs off of him in 13 at bats. Thought about taking RL here, but decided just to go with ML instead.
Let me know your thoughts!
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