4-28

Looking at tomorrow's Card:

LARGE PLAY:  BOSTON -105 (RIDE THE TRAIN)

Looking at over Texas, Over Detroit TT and maybe Angels.

34-25

16-5 Large play plus 74.6 Units

TODAY'S CARD:

LARGE: BOSTON -105

MEDIUM: LA ANGELS -133

SATURDAY'S ANALYSIS

I just wrote long lengthy analysis and my laptop has a mind of its own.  Anyways, this is what I see.

Buys:  Cincinatti RL, Twins, Over Rangers Team Total

Sells:  KC, Oakland

Is it true two Chen's are going on the same day?  I think the market has moved St. Louis line into Fair value.  I know the perception and reality of Minnesota not hitting lefties and Chen has pitched well but will this team get a win or two at home.  I'll take my chances with the Twins today.  Both teams aren't too good.  Marquis has had to face the Red Sox and Yankees for his starts while Chen has squared off vs Tor, Oak, Det and Angels.  This play may make into Large Range.

ADDED PLAY:

OVER TEXAS/NYY 10.5  (MEDIUM PLAY)

Royals @ Twins matchup:

I'm not happy with the umpire behind the dish in this game.  R/L he's been an under guy.  It's tough to put a large wager on the Twins as they are not playing well and Marquis has been a gas can for almost a year or two especially facing the extra hitter in the designated hitter.  My feeling is playing the over but not sold on what Twins can manufacture if M and M boyz don't produce.  This lineup is much better than what Chen has faced vs the Twins but he's pitching well at the moment.  I'm most likely going to pass on this game.

LA @ Cleveland

After making a bold statement move releasing Abreau and moving up the #1 prospect, how will the Angels respond?  Haren showed signs of his potential last game and I expect as many others do that the Angels will show max effort today.  Granted the line hasn't moved to 40's as I expected it to do.  I think it gets there or close to it.  If your not going 1st to 3rd in LA your not going to playing much longer.  Is Pujols going to break out?  A lot of questions being asked about this team right now and they need to be providing some answers.  Can't see them catching Rangers but wildcard spot always a possibility with rotation.  Still a Medium sized wager for me.

If your referring to my fantasy team, 1-2 but lot of potential as I had 4 additional picks from last years trades and it looks like I'll get a win this week.

Detroit @ New York

Weather:  Good hitting conditions with weather in high 50's with wind blowing out to left at 11mph at gametime.  Would rather have it blowing to right.

Garcia has done nothing to show me that he can contain any lineup so far this year.  His splitfinger has been up and velocity down making it tough to surprise any hitters who he's faced.  After facing Verlander, Smyly looks like just another pitcher and a Yankee lineup that is very formidable from the offensive end.  If any of these pitchers get in trouble a lot of scoring could be done from innings 4-7 as both bullpens were used extensively last night. 

Umpire:  R/L has been an over umpire hitting at a rate of 54.7 percent last 3 years and 24-14 in American League over that time.

On pace for 36...Lets keep scoring..Why didn't I put the Large money on this one!  Long way to go!

Excuse me I meant to say on pace for 54..

Did I open my mouth too soon haven't scored since..

ADDED PLAYS:

OVER TEXAS 5 RUNS (LARGE PLAY)

BALTIMORE -126 MEDIUM PLAY

And to Curtis Granderson who just knocked one in..  OVER YANKS !

PERFECT DAY!  5-0 AND 2-0 ON LARGE PLAYS BRINGING THEM TO 18-5  ON THE YEAR +35 UNITS ON THE DAY

+  109.6 UNITS ON THE YEAR..

great work gekko