I think this line-up gets off to a hot start in Arlington. I really like what I see on paper against Dempster. Twins should be able to get on the board a few times in the first 5. Duensing has been respectable in the last 30 days actually ranking #42 among 160 starters that threw more than 10 innings. +175 represents a 36.4% probability that the Twins are leading after 5. Given their offensive probability and the fact that it's a day game in Arlington, I think they have a much higher probability than that.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
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First 5 Innings - Minnesota Twins (+175)
I think this line-up gets off to a hot start in Arlington. I really like what I see on paper against Dempster. Twins should be able to get on the board a few times in the first 5. Duensing has been respectable in the last 30 days actually ranking #42 among 160 starters that threw more than 10 innings. +175 represents a 36.4% probability that the Twins are leading after 5. Given their offensive probability and the fact that it's a day game in Arlington, I think they have a much higher probability than that.
Winds are blowing heaving back towards home plate. As of now its at 16mph, ball should hang up in the air
From what I understand, inward blowing wind in Arlington doesn't affect the home run rate all that much. The ball might have a higher hang time, but it doesn't seem to come up any shorter.
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Quote Originally Posted by Denson7:
Winds are blowing heaving back towards home plate. As of now its at 16mph, ball should hang up in the air
From what I understand, inward blowing wind in Arlington doesn't affect the home run rate all that much. The ball might have a higher hang time, but it doesn't seem to come up any shorter.
my book doesn't offer 5 inning ML. I am able to get a 4.5 inning line of Minny @ +140. getter done or what u think?
So Minny gets 5 AB's and Texas gets only 4? Is that worth 35 cents on the line? Probably not, I think you're giving away a little bit of value, but still, an interesting option for a sportsbook. I probably wouldn't play it at this price. But that's just me, could be a fun bet with the extra AB.
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Quote Originally Posted by whalerchris:
Sil1y,
my book doesn't offer 5 inning ML. I am able to get a 4.5 inning line of Minny @ +140. getter done or what u think?
So Minny gets 5 AB's and Texas gets only 4? Is that worth 35 cents on the line? Probably not, I think you're giving away a little bit of value, but still, an interesting option for a sportsbook. I probably wouldn't play it at this price. But that's just me, could be a fun bet with the extra AB.
From what I understand, inward blowing wind in Arlington doesn't affect the home run rate all that much. The ball might have a higher hang time, but it doesn't seem to come up any shorter.
winds in from right field = over
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Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:
From what I understand, inward blowing wind in Arlington doesn't affect the home run rate all that much. The ball might have a higher hang time, but it doesn't seem to come up any shorter.
From what I understand, inward blowing wind in Arlington doesn't affect the home run rate all that much. The ball might have a higher hang time, but it doesn't seem to come up any shorter.
I WISH SOMEONE WOULD TELL MY GOLF BALL THIS SHIT??!!
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Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:
From what I understand, inward blowing wind in Arlington doesn't affect the home run rate all that much. The ball might have a higher hang time, but it doesn't seem to come up any shorter.
I WISH SOMEONE WOULD TELL MY GOLF BALL THIS SHIT??!!
I would like to mabee do a small parlay this aft. who should I include?
cheers!
I think the other games this afternoon have real tight lines. Tonight, I'm already on Kansas City and I'm looking to add the Over in Detroit - still researching this play.
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Quote Originally Posted by whalerchris:
Thanks Sil1y
I would like to mabee do a small parlay this aft. who should I include?
cheers!
I think the other games this afternoon have real tight lines. Tonight, I'm already on Kansas City and I'm looking to add the Over in Detroit - still researching this play.
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