4/15/16 - Friday Night Fever

MLB – 2016

7-7, $ +13.05 – +0.0047 RoR  

4/15 Flat $200.00

Brewers +120, Nelson/Locke

Do not confuse Locke with Garcia. Garcia has stud potential and Locke falls on his knees to worship the baseball gods every time he survives another day at the major league level. A couple of years ago he made the All Star team with the luckiest 1^st half of a season in his entire career. He promptly dove in the dumpster after that and has been seen since. Before last night the Brewers looked very good versus lefty with 2 quality performances that left them with a 5.06 oera versus lefty. Last night just reinforced the public feeling that they are a “bad team” and no threat to a “powerhouse’ like the Pirates. The Pirates are slumping, dropping 3 of 4 to the Tigers. Although they hit the ball well early on and have established a 4.38 oera to date, they slumped to 2.04 the last 3. Momentum matters, and just changing opponents is not always the cure for a slump.

Angels -117, Richards/Milone

I think it does the Angels offense some good to get off the Left Coast and out of the lowest scoring Stadium in MLB. I also like their offensive potential versus lefty and Milone is not a guy I see on the All Star team or challenging for the Cy Young. The Angels have established only a 3.1 oera against lefty to date, but knocked Surkamp out in 4.2 yesterday. We all know the Twins are in a skid with their 0-9 start and there is no reason it can’t hit 10 with their taking a 1.69 oera against Richards.

D-bax/Padres, Under 3.5, -135, First 5, Greinke/Shields

This is almost like a homecoming for Greinke who had a 1.46 era at Dodger Stadium last year and will enjoy a pitcher’s park tonight. In this park Shields posted a 3.29 era as opposed to his 4.50 on the road. If you have a bad impression of these two guys so far this year, all I will say is that it can’t continue. Heritage already dropped this total to 3 and others may follow, at which I would back off, but it looks very good right now and holds a better pitcher’s edge than I had on the two winners yesterday and the recommended ChiSox/Twins under. Go for it.         

BOL 

Good luck Key!

GL

Hello Key. Thanks for the write up on the Brewers game. With that being said, I'm able to get them at +.5 (-115). GL to all of us and prayers for a successful 2016 campaign.