*4/9/17 Picks + YTD Results*

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Going into day 11-4-0; &#x2B;130.1U Yesterday Results Cards ML - W&#x2B;40U Yanks ML (&#x2B;103) - L-14.7U Pirates/Braves O8.5 - W&#x2B;25U Cubs ML - W&#x2B;30U 3-1-0; &#x2B;80.3UOverall: 14-5-0; &#x2B;210.4U 1U = $100 Pick #1 Cards ML (-196) Units: *50U Castnets Full Of Money Note: This would normally be a 30U bet but the money management strategy calls to press this bet additional units. Thus, I will track this is a *50U play. However, those looking for actual UNIT strength of my plays I am posting this disclaimer. The tide has changed and Carlos Martinez is EVERYTHING the Cards hoped they were getting a few years back when they signed him. A BONAFIDE ACE!!! Martinez comes into today with some impressive splits and I will gladly hope on the train and back this pitcher today vs a Reds team expected to finish near the bottom of the league again this year. In the L3 years, he owns a 12-7 record w/a 2.95 ERA in day games. He also owns a 7-1 record and a 2.10 ERA in April games. He also has dominated the Reds to a tune of 3-1 with a 2.81 ERA. If you wish to fade those RED HOT NUMBERS be my guest! Martinez is a NO BS fiery guy and you know what your going to get. Meanwhile, Scott Feldman is a career journeyman. He started the year giving up 3 ER to the weak Phillies lineup and couldn&#x27;t make it to the 5th inning. HE is 34 now and realize on his command at this stage of his career. He is a serviceable pitcher that will usually give a solid 5IP but he is not someone that will go DEEP into ball games. LY he started just 5 games, and in his career he is 71-78 with a 4.40 ERA. The Cards were patient with Arroyo yesterday and finally broke through in a big way. Great spot for the Cards to continue rolling here at home and get a series win over a divisional rival. No issue here with the chalk. I expect it to rise to 220, 230ish by game time.

SwampMonster12 · Answer

Going into day 11-4-0; &#x2B;130.1U Yesterday Results Cards ML - W&#x2B;40U Yanks ML (&#x2B;103) - L-14.7U Pirates/Braves O8.5 - W&#x2B;25U Cubs ML - W&#x2B;30U 3-1-0; &#x2B;80.3UOverall: 14-5-0; &#x2B;210.4U 1U = $100 Pick #1 Cards ML (-196) Units: *50U Castnets Full Of Money Note: This would normally be a 30U bet but the money management strategy calls to press this bet additional units. Thus, I will track this is a *50U play. However, those looking for actual UNIT strength of my plays I am posting this disclaimer. The tide has changed and Carlos Martinez is EVERYTHING the Cards hoped they were getting a few years back when they signed him. A BONAFIDE ACE!!! Martinez comes into today with some impressive splits and I will gladly hope on the train and back this pitcher today vs a Reds team expected to finish near the bottom of the league again this year. In the L3 years, he owns a 12-7 record w/a 2.95 ERA in day games. He also owns a 7-1 record and a 2.10 ERA in April games. He also has dominated the Reds to a tune of 3-1 with a 2.81 ERA. If you wish to fade those RED HOT NUMBERS be my guest! Martinez is a NO BS fiery guy and you know what your going to get. Meanwhile, Scott Feldman is a career journeyman. He started the year giving up 3 ER to the weak Phillies lineup and couldn&#x27;t make it to the 5th inning. HE is 34 now and realize on his command at this stage of his career. He is a serviceable pitcher that will usually give a solid 5IP but he is not someone that will go DEEP into ball games. LY he started just 5 games, and in his career he is 71-78 with a 4.40 ERA. The Cards were patient with Arroyo yesterday and finally broke through in a big way. Great spot for the Cards to continue rolling here at home and get a series win over a divisional rival. No issue here with the chalk. I expect it to rise to 220, 230ish by game time.

SwampMonster12 · Answer

Pick #2 - Nationals ML (-171)

Units: *35U Shrimp Boots Full Of Money

Great spot for the Natty's today w/their ACE going.

Im just not sold on Hellickson as a top of the rotation guy. From 2011-2014 he got worse with the Rays before they traded him which in and of itself raises a big red flag! The Rays have won with tremendous pitching in the last decade and for them to simply throw in the towel on a young arm is troublesome. He went to AZ where he had a terrible year before making his way to Philly where he showed some life LY posting a 12-10 record with a 3.71 ERA. However, I think LY was more of an outlier and spoof if anything. He went from a hitters park and tough division to a Philly. I would have expected his numbers to jump a bit more than they did. HE went 5.0 IP vs Cindy in the opener and gave up 1 ER. However, this Nats lineup is a FAR FAR CRY from the lineup the Reds put on the field opening day. In addition, The Nats experienced success vs Hellickson in the past. Hellickson went 1-2 LY vs the Nats with a 5.09 ERA. He gave up 21 hits in 23.0 IP and 13 ER. Brea Turner is out today and despite that loss Stephen Drew steps in and he owns a career .357 average vs Hellickson. so while the dynamic base running may drop off I don't think it is a huge concern today.

Opposite Hellickson today is Steven Strasburg who went 7.0 IP w/2 ER in the opener and looked to be in solid form vs the Marlins. Strasburg is 70-41 in his career with a 3.17 ERA and he is entering the prime of his career. He had his best year last year going 15-4 with a 2.57 ERA. He only faced Philly once and gave up 4.0 runs in 7 IP in a no decision. For a bigger sample size look in the past 3 years where he is 6-1 with a 2.21 ERA vs the Phillies. I fully expect him to revert back to the mean numbers and put together a fantastic outing vs them today.

After Phillies offensive explosion last night I expect the Nats to bounce right back and take the series finale and head back home to face St Louis with two series wins over two division rivals.

SwampMonster12 · Answer

Pick #3 - Red Sox ML (&#x2B;105) Units: *15U Crawfish Pots Full Of Money

SwampMonster12 · Answer

Pick #4 - Os/Yanks O8.5 (-123)

Not a lot of time for write up.

Yanks should find their missing offense today vs Wade Miley. Miley went 3-5 with a 4.98 ERA in day games last year and 0-1 with a 5.53 ERA vs the Yanks. Sabathia on the other hand is past his prime and despite his solid start in TB he is the last of the Yanks "old era" guys. Sabathia was 1-8 last year in day games posting a 4.98 ERA. he was also 1-3 LY vs Baltimore although he did post a 2.30 ERA.

Look for FIREWORKS in the series finale.

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