Cubs win and the game goes under - another win/win for the sheets. Cashed a half unit action wager on that under as well. I do not count action wagers towards my record, although I will let people know when I play them from time to time. Day games make the work day go by faster.
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Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:
action afternoon wager on the under in Wrigley.
Cubs win and the game goes under - another win/win for the sheets. Cashed a half unit action wager on that under as well. I do not count action wagers towards my record, although I will let people know when I play them from time to time. Day games make the work day go by faster.
Quit wasting your time Hendog. I don't expect to see you nag at me the next time I post a line that's higher than what is available to the general public. You're barking up the wrong tree.
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Quit wasting your time Hendog. I don't expect to see you nag at me the next time I post a line that's higher than what is available to the general public. You're barking up the wrong tree.
si1ly, thanks for all your hard work. Can I use the same link for daily use of do you post a new one everyday.
I'll post a new one every day for the time being. But that's a good idea... I'll experiment with organizing the folders on Google Docs in such a way that you can access the breakdowns from a single link.
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Quote Originally Posted by medanbo:
si1ly, thanks for all your hard work. Can I use the same link for daily use of do you post a new one everyday.
I'll post a new one every day for the time being. But that's a good idea... I'll experiment with organizing the folders on Google Docs in such a way that you can access the breakdowns from a single link.
Thanks for all you add to this forum.. Question...there are 4 games which have a differential of 2 or more runs in your total projection..reds..mets..royals and cubs. Cubs under already hit. have you been keeping track of the success of these totals? If so, is two runs or more what you look at, for it to start being a meaningful gauge?
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Thanks for all you add to this forum.. Question...there are 4 games which have a differential of 2 or more runs in your total projection..reds..mets..royals and cubs. Cubs under already hit. have you been keeping track of the success of these totals? If so, is two runs or more what you look at, for it to start being a meaningful gauge?
Thanks for all you add to this forum.. Question...there are 4 games which have a differential of 2 or more runs in your total projection..reds..mets..royals and cubs. Cubs under already hit. have you been keeping track of the success of these totals? If so, is two runs or more what you look at, for it to start being a meaningful gauge?
Make sure to check the notes at the bottom of the sheet. Some of those games have starting pitchers with a very limited sample size of data. The projections should pretty much be thrown out the window until more there is a statistically relevant amount of data to base them off of.
I base my value on totals off of the score it would take for the bet to lose. For example, the Cubs at 10 would have needed 11 to lose, at 6.86 there were 4.14 runs of value. I take a close look at any game with 2 or more runs of value.
But also keep in mind that while my total projections include historical park factor, it does not include environmental factors or umpires for the game in question. If the wind is blowing 35 mph out to the short porch, obviously the total should be adjusted much higher. The totals are intended to be a starting point in your research assuming the game is played with a neutral umpire in negligible weather conditions.
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Quote Originally Posted by whisperman:
Thanks for all you add to this forum.. Question...there are 4 games which have a differential of 2 or more runs in your total projection..reds..mets..royals and cubs. Cubs under already hit. have you been keeping track of the success of these totals? If so, is two runs or more what you look at, for it to start being a meaningful gauge?
Make sure to check the notes at the bottom of the sheet. Some of those games have starting pitchers with a very limited sample size of data. The projections should pretty much be thrown out the window until more there is a statistically relevant amount of data to base them off of.
I base my value on totals off of the score it would take for the bet to lose. For example, the Cubs at 10 would have needed 11 to lose, at 6.86 there were 4.14 runs of value. I take a close look at any game with 2 or more runs of value.
But also keep in mind that while my total projections include historical park factor, it does not include environmental factors or umpires for the game in question. If the wind is blowing 35 mph out to the short porch, obviously the total should be adjusted much higher. The totals are intended to be a starting point in your research assuming the game is played with a neutral umpire in negligible weather conditions.
Make sure to check the notes at the bottom of the sheet. Some of those games have starting pitchers with a very limited sample size of data. The projections should pretty much be thrown out the window until more there is a statistically relevant amount of data to base them off of.
I base my value on totals off of the score it would take for the bet to lose. For example, the Cubs at 10 would have needed 11 to lose, at 6.86 there were 4.14 runs of value. I take a close look at any game with 2 or more runs of value.
But also keep in mind that while my total projections include historical park factor, it does not include environmental factors or umpires for the game in question. If the wind is blowing 35 mph out to the short porch, obviously the total should be adjusted much higher. The totals are intended to be a starting point in your research assuming the game is played with a neutral umpire in negligible weather conditions.
Thanks for clarifying..good luck with your plays tonight!
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Quote Originally Posted by si1ly:
Make sure to check the notes at the bottom of the sheet. Some of those games have starting pitchers with a very limited sample size of data. The projections should pretty much be thrown out the window until more there is a statistically relevant amount of data to base them off of.
I base my value on totals off of the score it would take for the bet to lose. For example, the Cubs at 10 would have needed 11 to lose, at 6.86 there were 4.14 runs of value. I take a close look at any game with 2 or more runs of value.
But also keep in mind that while my total projections include historical park factor, it does not include environmental factors or umpires for the game in question. If the wind is blowing 35 mph out to the short porch, obviously the total should be adjusted much higher. The totals are intended to be a starting point in your research assuming the game is played with a neutral umpire in negligible weather conditions.
Thanks for clarifying..good luck with your plays tonight!
Is anyone else having trouble accessing the sheets using this link? I'm getting an error message that says too many people are viewing the docs at this time - try again later. I didn't think that was possible... I've seen 40-50 people viewing HappyKanes mojo charts at a time and usually it's just 10-15 for these sheets. Does Google really limit my allowed bandwidth this much?
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Is anyone else having trouble accessing the sheets using this link? I'm getting an error message that says too many people are viewing the docs at this time - try again later. I didn't think that was possible... I've seen 40-50 people viewing HappyKanes mojo charts at a time and usually it's just 10-15 for these sheets. Does Google really limit my allowed bandwidth this much?
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