I abslutely HATE the card today. The odds are too high on the games I like and the RL's are crap because I don't trust their offenses enough. I see 1-0 or 2-1 types of out comes in those games.
I am just going to put 1 unit down on: -Yankees ML -160 just for fun!
Ill post me reasoning in a post below. Oh, I might actually put a little on TB, not sure yet. I'm really just passing time till ufc.
Take care everyone! GL!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
3-1 yesterday. +1.56 units
I abslutely HATE the card today. The odds are too high on the games I like and the RL's are crap because I don't trust their offenses enough. I see 1-0 or 2-1 types of out comes in those games.
I am just going to put 1 unit down on: -Yankees ML -160 just for fun!
Ill post me reasoning in a post below. Oh, I might actually put a little on TB, not sure yet. I'm really just passing time till ufc.
C.C. May be 0-3 BUT he was going against beckett in those games. Lackey is nothing right now compared to him. Also, C.C. only gave up 1 run in 5 2/3's innings in one of those games.
Lackey also got lit up by NYY this year and gave up 6 earned runs.
You really cant over look their recent performances either. Just in their lst 3 games CC has and ERA of 2.55 compared to Lackeys 6.23.
So a lot of people are basing their picks on CC having 2 bad starts with 6 runs in each game...However, I see:
-CC's over all AND recent number dominate lackeys.
-CC only gave up 1 run in 1 of the three games he played this year against Boston.
-Boston wont have Beckett helping them.
-Within the last 5 games NYY has outscored Boston 19 to 18 WTHOUT including the 18 point game against Chi Sox.(so yes, the 19 is from only 4 games)
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I wrote this in anothe thread:
C.C. May be 0-3 BUT he was going against beckett in those games. Lackey is nothing right now compared to him. Also, C.C. only gave up 1 run in 5 2/3's innings in one of those games.
Lackey also got lit up by NYY this year and gave up 6 earned runs.
You really cant over look their recent performances either. Just in their lst 3 games CC has and ERA of 2.55 compared to Lackeys 6.23.
So a lot of people are basing their picks on CC having 2 bad starts with 6 runs in each game...However, I see:
-CC's over all AND recent number dominate lackeys.
-CC only gave up 1 run in 1 of the three games he played this year against Boston.
-Boston wont have Beckett helping them.
-Within the last 5 games NYY has outscored Boston 19 to 18 WTHOUT including the 18 point game against Chi Sox.(so yes, the 19 is from only 4 games)
I really liked Si1ly's post on this game. This is what he wrote:
" I'm going to keep this one pretty simple. In one hand, you have CC Sabathia, who has lost to the Red Sox 3 times already this season despite only having given up 0,0,2 runs in the first 5 innings of those games. In the other hand, you have John Lackey, who's day ERA is 8.1 and has given up 9 home runs in 11 home starts. The wind is blowing out to right field today, which the Yankees will love. You can count on Lackey to give up a donkey at some point early in this game. You can also count on CC Sabathia to be dominant through the first 5 innings. So there you have it: if CC Sabathia can out-duel John Lackey, this bet is a winner. Pretty simple, right?"
This is an excelent angle imo. I would probably bet the first 5 if I werent just betting for fun today. I want to see the whole game and not have the whole 2nd half if it loses lol.
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I really liked Si1ly's post on this game. This is what he wrote:
" I'm going to keep this one pretty simple. In one hand, you have CC Sabathia, who has lost to the Red Sox 3 times already this season despite only having given up 0,0,2 runs in the first 5 innings of those games. In the other hand, you have John Lackey, who's day ERA is 8.1 and has given up 9 home runs in 11 home starts. The wind is blowing out to right field today, which the Yankees will love. You can count on Lackey to give up a donkey at some point early in this game. You can also count on CC Sabathia to be dominant through the first 5 innings. So there you have it: if CC Sabathia can out-duel John Lackey, this bet is a winner. Pretty simple, right?"
This is an excelent angle imo. I would probably bet the first 5 if I werent just betting for fun today. I want to see the whole game and not have the whole 2nd half if it loses lol.
I went against the grain in this one and took a solid home team at plus money... I am not saying you are (or sil1y - like his write ups too) on the wrong, just felt right at +140... As always, GL Closer, love your work!!!
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I went against the grain in this one and took a solid home team at plus money... I am not saying you are (or sil1y - like his write ups too) on the wrong, just felt right at +140... As always, GL Closer, love your work!!!
You have NO IDEA how bad I wanted to play Detroit today. However, the last 2 games were decided by 1 point. Also, Duffy did a pretty good job in his only start against them this year. I think he only have up 2 earned runs in 6 innings.
Just not my favorite spot for an RL. I have REALLY been trying to keep myself from playing games I am not 100% confident in. If been running this way for the last 2 days and have totally turned things around. I was playing 11 games a day. Now Im trying to keep it to 3 or 4 and be really picky with those.
TO be honest, I dont really like NYY today but just have people over and thought I would bet for fun.
Ill be rooting for you if you go with Detroit RL though! Hell, out of the last 10 games they played, Detroit covered the RL 5 times. So with Verlander, there is always going to be value. GL!
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You have NO IDEA how bad I wanted to play Detroit today. However, the last 2 games were decided by 1 point. Also, Duffy did a pretty good job in his only start against them this year. I think he only have up 2 earned runs in 6 innings.
Just not my favorite spot for an RL. I have REALLY been trying to keep myself from playing games I am not 100% confident in. If been running this way for the last 2 days and have totally turned things around. I was playing 11 games a day. Now Im trying to keep it to 3 or 4 and be really picky with those.
TO be honest, I dont really like NYY today but just have people over and thought I would bet for fun.
Ill be rooting for you if you go with Detroit RL though! Hell, out of the last 10 games they played, Detroit covered the RL 5 times. So with Verlander, there is always going to be value. GL!
I went against the grain in this one and took a solid home team at plus money... I am not saying you are (or sil1y - like his write ups too) on the wrong, just felt right at +140... As always, GL Closer, love your work!!!
I was originally leaning Boston till I looked into it further. lol once agin I am a little bias on this pick.. I have been "Lackey'd" too many times. Not in the mood to make the same mistake today. Todays my rare day off from work lol, I dont want to be pissed off lol.
GL
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Quote Originally Posted by MGD:
I went against the grain in this one and took a solid home team at plus money... I am not saying you are (or sil1y - like his write ups too) on the wrong, just felt right at +140... As always, GL Closer, love your work!!!
I was originally leaning Boston till I looked into it further. lol once agin I am a little bias on this pick.. I have been "Lackey'd" too many times. Not in the mood to make the same mistake today. Todays my rare day off from work lol, I dont want to be pissed off lol.
Hey neighbor, Philly's moneyline was not bad at -120 , i took Philly again today after checking out all the news that theres no suspension yet on both teams.
Victorino is in for todays game after all the mayhem that happened yesterday.
Good luck .
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Hey neighbor, Philly's moneyline was not bad at -120 , i took Philly again today after checking out all the news that theres no suspension yet on both teams.
Victorino is in for todays game after all the mayhem that happened yesterday.
I hear you Closer!!! I have yet to bet Boston with Lackay on the mound before tonight... I am figuring he is much better than he has been pitching, no time like playing the Yanks to step up and earn some respect. I am also liking Detroit rl as T-Lock mentioned... TB rays feels right, ST loui good situation for them IMO...
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I hear you Closer!!! I have yet to bet Boston with Lackay on the mound before tonight... I am figuring he is much better than he has been pitching, no time like playing the Yanks to step up and earn some respect. I am also liking Detroit rl as T-Lock mentioned... TB rays feels right, ST loui good situation for them IMO...
You have NO IDEA how bad I wanted to play Detroit today. However, the last 2 games were decided by 1 point. Also, Duffy did a pretty good job in his only start against them this year. I think he only have up 2 earned runs in 6 innings.
Just not my favorite spot for an RL. I have REALLY been trying to keep myself from playing games I am not 100% confident in. If been running this way for the last 2 days and have totally turned things around. I was playing 11 games a day. Now Im trying to keep it to 3 or 4 and be really picky with those.
TO be honest, I dont really like NYY today but just have people over and thought I would bet for fun.
Ill be rooting for you if you go with Detroit RL though! Hell, out of the last 10 games they played, Detroit covered the RL 5 times. So with Verlander, there is always going to be value. GL!
I have done the same. It has worked for me as well. I play 1-4 games per day.
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Quote Originally Posted by CloserX:
You have NO IDEA how bad I wanted to play Detroit today. However, the last 2 games were decided by 1 point. Also, Duffy did a pretty good job in his only start against them this year. I think he only have up 2 earned runs in 6 innings.
Just not my favorite spot for an RL. I have REALLY been trying to keep myself from playing games I am not 100% confident in. If been running this way for the last 2 days and have totally turned things around. I was playing 11 games a day. Now Im trying to keep it to 3 or 4 and be really picky with those.
TO be honest, I dont really like NYY today but just have people over and thought I would bet for fun.
Ill be rooting for you if you go with Detroit RL though! Hell, out of the last 10 games they played, Detroit covered the RL 5 times. So with Verlander, there is always going to be value. GL!
I have done the same. It has worked for me as well. I play 1-4 games per day.
Hey neighbor, Philly's moneyline was not bad at -120 , i took Philly again today after checking out all the news that theres no suspension yet on both teams.
Victorino is in for todays game after all the mayhem that happened yesterday.
Good luck .
I ALMOST took philly. Now I am wishing I had lol. Cain in this situation had be a bit nervous. I just felt that this was SF's best chance so far at beating them and thought I would just pass.
Im trying to save as much money today for UFC. I am taking a couple chances tonight lol. I have Tito for the upset but I know there is huge risk in it. I just loved the trash talk and how he beat Bader. Rashad has a differant type of wrestling style and I think he will have a hell of a time getting tito to the ground. On the feet, I actually like Tito. He has only had trouble when he gets lazy and I saw some training videos of him preparing for this fight and hes going all out. At +300 odds, I thought it was worth a shot lol.
Are you on Philly fort?
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Quote Originally Posted by Fortmax:
Hey neighbor, Philly's moneyline was not bad at -120 , i took Philly again today after checking out all the news that theres no suspension yet on both teams.
Victorino is in for todays game after all the mayhem that happened yesterday.
Good luck .
I ALMOST took philly. Now I am wishing I had lol. Cain in this situation had be a bit nervous. I just felt that this was SF's best chance so far at beating them and thought I would just pass.
Im trying to save as much money today for UFC. I am taking a couple chances tonight lol. I have Tito for the upset but I know there is huge risk in it. I just loved the trash talk and how he beat Bader. Rashad has a differant type of wrestling style and I think he will have a hell of a time getting tito to the ground. On the feet, I actually like Tito. He has only had trouble when he gets lazy and I saw some training videos of him preparing for this fight and hes going all out. At +300 odds, I thought it was worth a shot lol.
I ALMOST took philly. Now I am wishing I had lol. Cain in this situation had be a bit nervous. I just felt that this was SF's best chance so far at beating them and thought I would just pass.
Im trying to save as much money today for UFC. I am taking a couple chances tonight lol. I have Tito for the upset but I know there is huge risk in it. I just loved the trash talk and how he beat Bader. Rashad has a differant type of wrestling style and I think he will have a hell of a time getting tito to the ground. On the feet, I actually like Tito. He has only had trouble when he gets lazy and I saw some training videos of him preparing for this fight and hes going all out. At +300 odds, I thought it was worth a shot lol.
Are you on Philly fort?
Yes Sir !
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Quote Originally Posted by CloserX:
I ALMOST took philly. Now I am wishing I had lol. Cain in this situation had be a bit nervous. I just felt that this was SF's best chance so far at beating them and thought I would just pass.
Im trying to save as much money today for UFC. I am taking a couple chances tonight lol. I have Tito for the upset but I know there is huge risk in it. I just loved the trash talk and how he beat Bader. Rashad has a differant type of wrestling style and I think he will have a hell of a time getting tito to the ground. On the feet, I actually like Tito. He has only had trouble when he gets lazy and I saw some training videos of him preparing for this fight and hes going all out. At +300 odds, I thought it was worth a shot lol.
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