Toronto Blue Jays at Kansas City Royals
Brandon Morrow vs Ervin Santana
Odds: KC -115 TOR -105, O/U: 8.5
Morrow got ripped by the Tigers in his last outing. When you have 3 pitches and you’re still working on your changeup/splitter combo, and you can’t locate your 2ndpitch slider, hitters like to tee off on the ol’ number 1, it’s going to be a long afternoon. Until he finds it, trust the status quo. Morrow could be happy to oblige as he is a part of a starting staff that has the worst ERA in the league at 7.55. Ervin Santana led the Majors with 39 homers allowed last year and is a thing of the past and is coming off a stellar outing. Joey Bats is the only one that sees him well and we think he can avoid serious damage from him being only 1 game removed from the Golden Sombrero. KC is 6-3 (+325) on the year and we anticipate that winning trend to continue. Royals -115
Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox
Alex Cobb vs Clay Buchholz
Odds: BOS -137 TB +127, O/U: 8.5
We were all over Cobb two days ago against Doubront until the rainout. He’s allowed 3 runs or fewer in 14 of his last 15 starts. He doesn’t rely on a power arm and barely touches 90 mph on his two seam, but his command is on keeping the ball down in the zone. He had a 2.81 in the spring and has carried it over to the big show, shutting down the Indians over 7 1/3 and only 4 hits in his last start. Buchholz owns a 2.76 lifetime vs the Rays and has completely shut down Longoria, Jennings, and Zobrist to name a few. He has a sparkling 2-0 record and a 0.64 ERA on the year. All 5 of his pitches he’s throwing for strikes and will continue to rely on his fastball, cutter, curveball
combo here. Under 8.5