First 3 picks tomorrow w/ analysis. Have more coming great card tomorrow…
August 2
Wager Details
Rating: 5%
Bet Type: Moneyline
Team: Minnesota Twins
Odds: -290
Analysis and Insight
I'm placing a 5% wager on the Twins today, as they have a great matchup lined up. With Joe Ryan on the mound, who has delivered strong performances against this White Sox lineup multiple times this year before they gave away all their good hitters in trades, the Twins have a pitcher who pounds the strike zone and should easily shut down the hapless White Sox lineup.
The Twins' offense is stacked with power from top to bottom, even without Carlos Correa. They can crush the ball and put up big numbers on the scoreboard. They're going up against a young White Sox pitcher who didn’t even make it to the third inning in his season debut, which sets the stage for the Twins' explosive lineup.
Even though I’m not usually into run lines, I wouldn’t argue against using them here. Personally, though, I’m sticking with the moneyline and will lay the big price. Despite a tough series against the Mets, the Twins scored a ton in the final game, and I expect that momentum to carry over. With the teams heading in opposite directions, betting on the Twins is a no-brainer. With their solid pitching and batting depth, I’m fully confident in backing the Twins with a 5% bet.
Wager Details
Rating: 4%
Bet Type: Moneyline
Team: New York Mets
Odds: -135
Analysis and Insight
I’m putting 4% on the Mets today. Even though I’m not completely sold on their starter, Blackburn, the Mets have been hitting left-handed pitchers really well all year. I expect them to put up several runs against Tyler Anderson, especially since he’s a soft tosser and the Angels’ lineup is struggling. Blackburn should keep things under control enough to win this bet before handing it over to the bullpen with a decent lead.
At the current price, this is a great value in my opinion. The market seems overly concerned with Blackburn’s potential issues, but it’s a fact that the Angels’ lineup isn’t very good. Even though they showed a little fight in Blackburn’s last start, I’m not convinced that will be enough to overcome the Mets’ advantage. With everything lining up, backing the Mets is a strong and confident play today.
Wager Details
Rating: 1%
Bet Type: Moneyline
Team: Pittsburgh Pirates
Odds: +120
Analysis and Insight:
At plus money and at home, I'm fine with a small bet on the Pirates. I like this matchup for them, even though Pfaadt has been solid on the road all season. Yes, Arizona is playing well but much of their success comes against left handed pitching and now they’re without a key bat in the middle of that lineup in Christian Walker. Ortiz is in good health, and I was encouraged by how he pitched against Arizona last time out, but even more encouraged by the fact that he’ll be throwing at home. The Pirates have shown improved play and I think acquiring De La Cruz, even which was a savvy move. They also hit the sinker ball well, as evidenced by their recent performance against Pfaadt, and Brian Reynolds, arguably their best player, didn’t even play in that series.
With Ortiz on the mound and a strong bullpen, the Pirates should have a good chance at home in a potentially lower-scoring game and it wouldn’t be surprising to me at all if they handle Pfaadt well again.