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    All Forums | MLB Betting Forum

    BEST MLB Cappers to tail

    12 Next Last»
    user831153
    LogCottage
    TheSquare
    gutinstinctus
    RebelTell2
    ...
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    Views: 4375
    Posts: 32
    12 Next Last»
     
    user831153
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2019 - 4:45 PM ET #1

    I was hoping to get some advice as to who are the most consistent cappers to tail for MLB picks on this board. Cheers.

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I was hoping to get some advice as to who are the most consistent cappers to tail for MLB picks on this board. Cheers.

     
    user831153
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 19, 2019 - 11:13 PM ET #2

    Anyone? I love MLB and action on that but still limited experience. Any tips appreciated.

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    Anyone? I love MLB and action on that but still limited experience. Any tips appreciated.

     
    LogCottage
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 12:49 AM ET #3

    FLIP A COIN

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    FLIP A COIN

     
    TheSquare
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 2:20 AM ET #4

    Well, since this is your first season, you'll just have to find out WHO the best capper is by reading ALL the threads like the rest of us. As with any other sport, people go on hot and cold streaks. Also, don't blindly tail somebody. Look at the data, process it, come up with your OWN conclusion THEN compare it to somebody else to whom you respect on this forum. Even if their decision doesn't agree with yours, it doesn't mean that you should automatically switch to theirs. Just remember, everybody on this forum is a human being and we all know that human beings are prone to errors. Hopefully this advice will help you. peace_5thumbs_up

    BOL in your baseball season.. peace_5clover

    "Schrödinger's bet." A bet that loses when you bet it but wins when you DON'T bet it...
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    Well, since this is your first season, you'll just have to find out WHO the best capper is by reading ALL the threads like the rest of us. As with any other sport, people go on hot and cold streaks. Also, don't blindly tail somebody. Look at the data, process it, come up with your OWN conclusion THEN compare it to somebody else to whom you respect on this forum. Even if their decision doesn't agree with yours, it doesn't mean that you should automatically switch to theirs. Just remember, everybody on this forum is a human being and we all know that human beings are prone to errors. Hopefully this advice will help you. peace_5thumbs_up

    BOL in your baseball season.. peace_5clover

     
    gutinstinctus
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 3:37 AM ET #5

    I am... tail me. But I wont start posting until April

    Start by taking the under total wins on Washington

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    I am... tail me. But I wont start posting until April

    Start by taking the under total wins on Washington

     
    RebelTell2
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 10:07 AM ET #6

    Don't bet who everybody else does, and don't bet more than 10 games a week.

    BOL,
    RT2
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    Don't bet who everybody else does, and don't bet more than 10 games a week.

    BOL,
    RT2
     
    coolfront
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 11:01 AM ET #7

    There's only one so far as I can tell... Wussieman.

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    There's only one so far as I can tell... Wussieman.

     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 11:43 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by RebelTell2:

    Don't bet who everybody else does, and don't bet more than 10 games a week.BOL,RT2
    If you are a professional capper who has a decent model never let some limit based on ZERO information guide your amt of plays. If there are 10 dogs this week that are + EV based on your model and your model is hitting @ 60% on dogs and you don't play all 10 you are a fool. Ditto if your model only has 2 plays this week.

     

    If you are a coin toss bettor that has no clue and just wants action you are going to constantly lose - in that case limit your plays which will overall be losers so less is better.

     

    What kind of handicapper you are and your risk tolerance should decide the amt of plays - not some arbitrary number.

     

    JMHO

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by RebelTell2:

    Don't bet who everybody else does, and don't bet more than 10 games a week.BOL,RT2
    If you are a professional capper who has a decent model never let some limit based on ZERO information guide your amt of plays. If there are 10 dogs this week that are + EV based on your model and your model is hitting @ 60% on dogs and you don't play all 10 you are a fool. Ditto if your model only has 2 plays this week.

     

    If you are a coin toss bettor that has no clue and just wants action you are going to constantly lose - in that case limit your plays which will overall be losers so less is better.

     

    What kind of handicapper you are and your risk tolerance should decide the amt of plays - not some arbitrary number.

     

    JMHO

     
    user831153
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 2:04 PM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:

    FLIP A COIN

    I had reasonable success taking dogs and teams that are hot. Pretty basic strategy but hope to do better this season.

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    Quote Originally Posted by LogCottage:

    FLIP A COIN

    I had reasonable success taking dogs and teams that are hot. Pretty basic strategy but hope to do better this season.

     
    user831153
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 2:10 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by TheSquare:

    Well, since this is your first season, you'll just have to find out WHO the best capper is by reading ALL the threads like the rest of us. As with any other sport, people go on hot and cold streaks. Also, don't blindly tail somebody. Look at the data, process it, come up with your OWN conclusion THEN compare it to somebody else to whom you respect on this forum. Even if their decision doesn't agree with yours, it doesn't mean that you should automatically switch to theirs. Just remember, everybody on this forum is a human being and we all know that human beings are prone to errors. Hopefully this advice will help you.  BOL in your baseball season..

    Thanks for this. I try not blindly tail as that has got me on more than one occasion when it would have been easy to do a quick check on the injury list but I end up doing it on occasion. I have to keep my bankroll management in check as I sometimes push to try and grow it when just ends up in tilt plays.. I know its an absolute must and I'm working at it. For sure I agree that everyone makes losing picks and I would never blame someone for an unfavourable outcome. Great points, thanks for the advice. Good luck to you too this baseball season. thumbs_up

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    Quote Originally Posted by TheSquare:

    Well, since this is your first season, you'll just have to find out WHO the best capper is by reading ALL the threads like the rest of us. As with any other sport, people go on hot and cold streaks. Also, don't blindly tail somebody. Look at the data, process it, come up with your OWN conclusion THEN compare it to somebody else to whom you respect on this forum. Even if their decision doesn't agree with yours, it doesn't mean that you should automatically switch to theirs. Just remember, everybody on this forum is a human being and we all know that human beings are prone to errors. Hopefully this advice will help you.  BOL in your baseball season..

    Thanks for this. I try not blindly tail as that has got me on more than one occasion when it would have been easy to do a quick check on the injury list but I end up doing it on occasion. I have to keep my bankroll management in check as I sometimes push to try and grow it when just ends up in tilt plays.. I know its an absolute must and I'm working at it. For sure I agree that everyone makes losing picks and I would never blame someone for an unfavourable outcome. Great points, thanks for the advice. Good luck to you too this baseball season. thumbs_up

     
    user831153
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 2:12 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by gutinstinctus:

    I am... tail me. But I wont start posting until April Start by taking the under total wins on Washington

    Awsome, I'll be watching for your picks! Thanks for the tip on Washington clover

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    Quote Originally Posted by gutinstinctus:

    I am... tail me. But I wont start posting until April Start by taking the under total wins on Washington

    Awsome, I'll be watching for your picks! Thanks for the tip on Washington clover

     
    user831153
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 2:21 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    Quote Originally Posted by RebelTell2:

    Don't bet who everybody else does, and don't bet more than 10 games a week.BOL,RT2
    If you are a professional capper who has a decent model never let some limit based on ZERO information guide your amt of plays. If there are 10 dogs this week that are + EV based on your model and your model is hitting @ 60% on dogs and you don't play all 10 you are a fool. Ditto if your model only has 2 plays this week.   If you are a coin toss bettor that has no clue and just wants action you are going to constantly lose - in that case limit your plays which will overall be losers so less is better.   What kind of handicapper you are and your risk tolerance should decide the amt of plays - not some arbitrary number.   JMHO

    Makes sense not to limit yourself if your model says a number of games are +EV. I understand what models are about but I don't have experience with capping and creating/working with models or the time these days (otherwise I would be right in there learning to cap I'm sure). 

    I do like the sport and the action but I don't want to be a coin flip (losing) player so it's nice to know who what cappers may be kind enough to share a few picks on the board for guys like me to tail. I'll be following along like others on this board and will get an idea from there I'm sure. Thanks.

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    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    Quote Originally Posted by RebelTell2:

    Don't bet who everybody else does, and don't bet more than 10 games a week.BOL,RT2
    If you are a professional capper who has a decent model never let some limit based on ZERO information guide your amt of plays. If there are 10 dogs this week that are + EV based on your model and your model is hitting @ 60% on dogs and you don't play all 10 you are a fool. Ditto if your model only has 2 plays this week.   If you are a coin toss bettor that has no clue and just wants action you are going to constantly lose - in that case limit your plays which will overall be losers so less is better.   What kind of handicapper you are and your risk tolerance should decide the amt of plays - not some arbitrary number.   JMHO

    Makes sense not to limit yourself if your model says a number of games are +EV. I understand what models are about but I don't have experience with capping and creating/working with models or the time these days (otherwise I would be right in there learning to cap I'm sure). 

    I do like the sport and the action but I don't want to be a coin flip (losing) player so it's nice to know who what cappers may be kind enough to share a few picks on the board for guys like me to tail. I'll be following along like others on this board and will get an idea from there I'm sure. Thanks.

     
    user831153
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 2:25 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by coolfront:

    There's only one so far as I can tell... Wussieman.

    That name sounds familiar. I may have read a previous thread mentioning him or some of his posts. This is definitely good to know - I will be looking into Wussieman. 

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    Quote Originally Posted by coolfront:

    There's only one so far as I can tell... Wussieman.

    That name sounds familiar. I may have read a previous thread mentioning him or some of his posts. This is definitely good to know - I will be looking into Wussieman. 

     
    hundredx
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 2:42 PM ET #14

    can u accept my friend request?

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    can u accept my friend request?

     
    ColdBeerHere
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 3:29 PM ET #15

    I suggest focusing primarily on underdogs - those who focus on the favorites (especially heavy favorites) have a hard time making a profit in the long run.

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    I suggest focusing primarily on underdogs - those who focus on the favorites (especially heavy favorites) have a hard time making a profit in the long run.

     
    user831153
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 4:48 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by hundredx:

    can u accept my friend request?

    Done

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    Quote Originally Posted by hundredx:

    can u accept my friend request?

    Done

     
    user831153
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 4:53 PM ET #17

    Quote Originally Posted by ColdBeerHere:

    I suggest focusing primarily on underdogs - those who focus on the favorites (especially heavy favorites) have a hard time making a profit in the long run.

    Thanks for the advice. This holds true to many sports I think including NHL which I'm deep into now. Lots of fun betting dogs in MLB. Are there any online Google Sheets (spreadsheets) that share prediction models and probabilities for MLB games that anyone can share? I got a good one that someone shares for NHL but I don't have one for MLB games.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ColdBeerHere:

    I suggest focusing primarily on underdogs - those who focus on the favorites (especially heavy favorites) have a hard time making a profit in the long run.

    Thanks for the advice. This holds true to many sports I think including NHL which I'm deep into now. Lots of fun betting dogs in MLB. Are there any online Google Sheets (spreadsheets) that share prediction models and probabilities for MLB games that anyone can share? I got a good one that someone shares for NHL but I don't have one for MLB games.

     
    Bomberbob
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 5:09 PM ET #18

    PUCKU27, if u can find him fade away, guy made me tons! he is probably on one of his cruises, or playing in a blackjack tournament somewhere now!
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    PUCKU27, if u can find him fade away, guy made me tons! he is probably on one of his cruises, or playing in a blackjack tournament somewhere now!
     
    user831153
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 20, 2019 - 5:54 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by pucks:

    Quote Originally Posted by ColdBeerHere:

    I suggest focusing primarily on underdogs - those who focus on the favorites (especially heavy favorites) have a hard time making a profit in the long run.
    Thanks for the advice. This holds true to many sports I think including NHL which I'm deep into now. Lots of fun betting dogs in MLB. Are there any online Google Sheets (spreadsheets) that share prediction models and probabilities for MLB games that anyone can share? I got a good one that someone shares for NHL but I don't have one for MLB games.

    Here's a link to the NHL spreadsheet I mentioned which is helpful for some insights:

     https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TtEQX2DhrVK3atr9GsCF8XdrnuW1U1Mbaj6p9oHEJkk/edit?ts=5c4bd966#gid=0

    If there is something like this for MLB it would be sweet to help pick dogs.

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    Quote Originally Posted by pucks:

    Quote Originally Posted by ColdBeerHere:

    I suggest focusing primarily on underdogs - those who focus on the favorites (especially heavy favorites) have a hard time making a profit in the long run.
    Thanks for the advice. This holds true to many sports I think including NHL which I'm deep into now. Lots of fun betting dogs in MLB. Are there any online Google Sheets (spreadsheets) that share prediction models and probabilities for MLB games that anyone can share? I got a good one that someone shares for NHL but I don't have one for MLB games.

    Here's a link to the NHL spreadsheet I mentioned which is helpful for some insights:

     https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1TtEQX2DhrVK3atr9GsCF8XdrnuW1U1Mbaj6p9oHEJkk/edit?ts=5c4bd966#gid=0

    If there is something like this for MLB it would be sweet to help pick dogs.

     
    RebelTell2
    RebelTell2
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2019 - 11:05 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    If you are a professional capper who has a decent model never let some limit based on ZERO information guide your amt of plays. If there are 10 dogs this week that are + EV based on your model and your model is hitting @ 60% on dogs and you don't play all 10 you are a fool. Ditto if your model only has 2 plays this week.

     

    If you are a coin toss bettor that has no clue and just wants action you are going to constantly lose - in that case limit your plays which will overall be losers so less is better.

     

    What kind of handicapper you are and your risk tolerance should decide the amt of plays - not some arbitrary number.

     

    JMHO



    I agree with your point; however, if the parameters of your betting model are tight enough, you're just not gonna find but @ 10 plays (on average) per week to bet. That was my point.

    And you'll learn to cull as many as you bet. The hardest thing to learn is knowing what to cull, at least for me.

    It's when you start pushing it and betting outside the parameters you're set up that you lose units.

    Have a great season!

    RT2



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    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    If you are a professional capper who has a decent model never let some limit based on ZERO information guide your amt of plays. If there are 10 dogs this week that are + EV based on your model and your model is hitting @ 60% on dogs and you don't play all 10 you are a fool. Ditto if your model only has 2 plays this week.

     

    If you are a coin toss bettor that has no clue and just wants action you are going to constantly lose - in that case limit your plays which will overall be losers so less is better.

     

    What kind of handicapper you are and your risk tolerance should decide the amt of plays - not some arbitrary number.

     

    JMHO



    I agree with your point; however, if the parameters of your betting model are tight enough, you're just not gonna find but @ 10 plays (on average) per week to bet. That was my point.

    And you'll learn to cull as many as you bet. The hardest thing to learn is knowing what to cull, at least for me.

    It's when you start pushing it and betting outside the parameters you're set up that you lose units.

    Have a great season!

    RT2



    Have
     
    barneybeans
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    Posted: Mar. 21, 2019 - 1:57 PM ET #21

    Quote Originally Posted by RebelTell2:

    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    If you are a professional capper who has a decent model never let some limit based on ZERO information guide your amt of plays. If there are 10 dogs this week that are + EV based on your model and your model is hitting @ 60% on dogs and you don't play all 10 you are a fool. Ditto if your model only has 2 plays this week.   If you are a coin toss bettor that has no clue and just wants action you are going to constantly lose - in that case limit your plays which will overall be losers so less is better.   What kind of handicapper you are and your risk tolerance should decide the amt of plays - not some arbitrary number.   JMHO
    I agree with your point; however, if the parameters of your betting model are tight enough, you're just not gonna find but @ 10 plays (on average) per week to bet. That was my point. And you'll learn to cull as many as you bet. The hardest thing to learn is knowing what to cull, at least for me.It's when you start pushing it and betting outside the parameters you're set up that you lose units.Have a great season!RT2Have
    Agreed but anything can happen and even value can be founbd on favs (everyone here isw saying just pick dogs - not totally true)

     

    In the beginning 3-4 weeks of any sport the lines tend to be soft and there might be more than 10 games in Baseball where you have over 50 games a week.

    I guess what you are saying in general is don't over do it.

    But on the other hand of you have strong data that ML NFL dogs hit on avg 53% in NFL weeks 1-3 then you have to play every game using this system/model. It's when you start picking and choosing that's when you get killed.

     

    So if you are following a capper with a proven track record you need to play every play just as that capper plays. If your plan is to tail someone successful. 

     

    Like League Capper in NBA is up 55U yet folks are razzing him because they lost money - they did not start the year tailing him and got on during a bad streak.

     

    Or you can pick and choose your spots like DCGMT who caps the cappers and tries to recognize their strengths and weaknesses and pick and choose and play accordingly.

     

    Just my two cents.

    The pen is mightier than the pigs
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    Quote Originally Posted by RebelTell2:

    Quote Originally Posted by barneybeans:

    If you are a professional capper who has a decent model never let some limit based on ZERO information guide your amt of plays. If there are 10 dogs this week that are + EV based on your model and your model is hitting @ 60% on dogs and you don't play all 10 you are a fool. Ditto if your model only has 2 plays this week.   If you are a coin toss bettor that has no clue and just wants action you are going to constantly lose - in that case limit your plays which will overall be losers so less is better.   What kind of handicapper you are and your risk tolerance should decide the amt of plays - not some arbitrary number.   JMHO
    I agree with your point; however, if the parameters of your betting model are tight enough, you're just not gonna find but @ 10 plays (on average) per week to bet. That was my point. And you'll learn to cull as many as you bet. The hardest thing to learn is knowing what to cull, at least for me.It's when you start pushing it and betting outside the parameters you're set up that you lose units.Have a great season!RT2Have
    Agreed but anything can happen and even value can be founbd on favs (everyone here isw saying just pick dogs - not totally true)

     

    In the beginning 3-4 weeks of any sport the lines tend to be soft and there might be more than 10 games in Baseball where you have over 50 games a week.

    I guess what you are saying in general is don't over do it.

    But on the other hand of you have strong data that ML NFL dogs hit on avg 53% in NFL weeks 1-3 then you have to play every game using this system/model. It's when you start picking and choosing that's when you get killed.

     

    So if you are following a capper with a proven track record you need to play every play just as that capper plays. If your plan is to tail someone successful. 

     

    Like League Capper in NBA is up 55U yet folks are razzing him because they lost money - they did not start the year tailing him and got on during a bad streak.

     

    Or you can pick and choose your spots like DCGMT who caps the cappers and tries to recognize their strengths and weaknesses and pick and choose and play accordingly.

     

    Just my two cents.

     
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 22, 2019 - 9:29 AM ET #22

    Good insights. Thanks for the advice everyone.

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    Good insights. Thanks for the advice everyone.

     
    ColdBeerHere
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    Posted: Mar. 23, 2019 - 10:28 PM ET #23

    I actually use a service for MLB Dogs - but I also play some of my own MLB picks.  For my own picks, I use a sweep system here and there.

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    I actually use a service for MLB Dogs - but I also play some of my own MLB picks.  For my own picks, I use a sweep system here and there.

     
    user831153
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2019 - 9:30 AM ET #24

    Quote Originally Posted by ColdBeerHere:

    I actually use a service for MLB Dogs - but I also play some of my own MLB picks.  For my own picks, I use a sweep system here and there.

    You pay for capped MLB Dogs? Which service do you use? Would love to hear more about your sweep system.

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    Quote Originally Posted by ColdBeerHere:

    I actually use a service for MLB Dogs - but I also play some of my own MLB picks.  For my own picks, I use a sweep system here and there.

    You pay for capped MLB Dogs? Which service do you use? Would love to hear more about your sweep system.

     
     
    undermysac
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    Posted: Mar. 24, 2019 - 10:24 AM ET #25

    1. Don't pay for a service, it's like adding extra juice to your play.

     

    2. A lot of people play a team in the last game of a series if they are about to get swept. The premise is to avoid humiliation and in some cases it works out, others it doesn't.

     

    GL

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    1. Don't pay for a service, it's like adding extra juice to your play.

     

    2. A lot of people play a team in the last game of a series if they are about to get swept. The premise is to avoid humiliation and in some cases it works out, others it doesn't.

     

    GL

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