YTD: 123-105-11 (54%) *** +6.95% Return on Risk ***
ML: 82-64 (56%)
F5: 4-5-2 (44%)
RL: 8-10-6 (44%)
O/U: 28-22-3 (56%)
Parlays: 1-4-0 (20%)
Starting / Current Bankroll: $5,216 / $6,081.82 (+$865.82, +16.60%)
MLB 2015 --- Picks of the Day
YTD: 36-31-7 (54%) *** +2.71% Return on Risk ***
ML: 24-16 (60%)
F5: 0-2-1 (0%)
RL: 3-7-4 (30%)
O/U: 9-6-2 (60%)
Month (2015)
April: 53-53-5 (50%) *** -1.89 Return on Risk ***
May: 70-52-6 (57%) *** +14.25% Return on Risk ***
June: 0-0-0 (0%) *** +0.00% Return on Risk ***
MLB 2014
Overall: 826-685-112 (55%) *** +4.13% Return on Risk ***
PODs: 121-72-16 (63%) *** +16.60% Return on Risk ***
No plays on the final day of the month for me, but with May in the books things are looking great after that awful start I had. Hoping for continued success into June. Let's beat those books guys.
Monday's Card *** 06.01.15 ***
Picks of the Day
901 Chicago Cubs (J. Hammel) FG, -127 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll
905 Los Angeles Dodgers (C. Kershaw) -1.5 RL, -125 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll
Still looking at the lines, but these are locked in. Leaning pretty hard on the Pirates at SF, but I think we might get a better line on that one (currently -130).
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
MLB 2015 --- Overall
YTD: 123-105-11 (54%) *** +6.95% Return on Risk ***
ML: 82-64 (56%)
F5: 4-5-2 (44%)
RL: 8-10-6 (44%)
O/U: 28-22-3 (56%)
Parlays: 1-4-0 (20%)
Starting / Current Bankroll: $5,216 / $6,081.82 (+$865.82, +16.60%)
MLB 2015 --- Picks of the Day
YTD: 36-31-7 (54%) *** +2.71% Return on Risk ***
ML: 24-16 (60%)
F5: 0-2-1 (0%)
RL: 3-7-4 (30%)
O/U: 9-6-2 (60%)
Month (2015)
April: 53-53-5 (50%) *** -1.89 Return on Risk ***
May: 70-52-6 (57%) *** +14.25% Return on Risk ***
June: 0-0-0 (0%) *** +0.00% Return on Risk ***
MLB 2014
Overall: 826-685-112 (55%) *** +4.13% Return on Risk ***
PODs: 121-72-16 (63%) *** +16.60% Return on Risk ***
No plays on the final day of the month for me, but with May in the books things are looking great after that awful start I had. Hoping for continued success into June. Let's beat those books guys.
Monday's Card *** 06.01.15 ***
Picks of the Day
901 Chicago Cubs (J. Hammel) FG, -127 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll
905 Los Angeles Dodgers (C. Kershaw) -1.5 RL, -125 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll
Still looking at the lines, but these are locked in. Leaning pretty hard on the Pirates at SF, but I think we might get a better line on that one (currently -130).
I like all 4, assuming you back Cole and the Bucs. Dodgers will definitely hit vs Kendrick and his 86 mph 2 seamer that he beats a dead horse with. The Twins game stood out to me as I don't think that the Red Sox and Buchholz should warrant that kind of line vs a first place team.
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I like all 4, assuming you back Cole and the Bucs. Dodgers will definitely hit vs Kendrick and his 86 mph 2 seamer that he beats a dead horse with. The Twins game stood out to me as I don't think that the Red Sox and Buchholz should warrant that kind of line vs a first place team.
BOL tomorrow Bob. Trying to instinct-out the sucker betness of the Dodgers game. Kinda wish Doyers were showing me a little more from the plate lately but need to look further. Kershaw at -120 on rl at my book
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BOL tomorrow Bob. Trying to instinct-out the sucker betness of the Dodgers game. Kinda wish Doyers were showing me a little more from the plate lately but need to look further. Kershaw at -120 on rl at my book
I like all 4, assuming you back Cole and the Bucs. Dodgers will definitely hit vs Kendrick and his 86 mph 2 seamer that he beats a dead horse with. The Twins game stood out to me as I don't think that the Red Sox and Buchholz should warrant that kind of line vs a first place team.
I can't think of many scenarios where the Red Sox should be -175 (64% chance of winning). Against the Twins w/ Buchholz on the mound is not one of them. Maybe against Phillies w/ a bum on the mound. There is so much wrong with this line. HFA doesn't explain this nonsense. I suspect it will move in the direction of the Twins, but they will most likely remain significant dogs. Red Sox lines have been overpriced all season. Any team can win on any given night, but the Red Sox don't win this match-up over the long run at a 64% clip. Not a chance.
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Quote Originally Posted by AustinM:
I like all 4, assuming you back Cole and the Bucs. Dodgers will definitely hit vs Kendrick and his 86 mph 2 seamer that he beats a dead horse with. The Twins game stood out to me as I don't think that the Red Sox and Buchholz should warrant that kind of line vs a first place team.
I can't think of many scenarios where the Red Sox should be -175 (64% chance of winning). Against the Twins w/ Buchholz on the mound is not one of them. Maybe against Phillies w/ a bum on the mound. There is so much wrong with this line. HFA doesn't explain this nonsense. I suspect it will move in the direction of the Twins, but they will most likely remain significant dogs. Red Sox lines have been overpriced all season. Any team can win on any given night, but the Red Sox don't win this match-up over the long run at a 64% clip. Not a chance.
I definitely agree. Pelfrey has been very solid to this point, and he has so much run on that sinker. Command has always been his biggest nemesis, but he has had solid command to this point. Buchholz has very average stuff, low 90's straight fastballs with a solid breaking ball, but more times than not his fastball is belt high. Twins are just the more cohesive and consistent bunch and at that price it is hard not to take a stab at.
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I definitely agree. Pelfrey has been very solid to this point, and he has so much run on that sinker. Command has always been his biggest nemesis, but he has had solid command to this point. Buchholz has very average stuff, low 90's straight fastballs with a solid breaking ball, but more times than not his fastball is belt high. Twins are just the more cohesive and consistent bunch and at that price it is hard not to take a stab at.
This is off topic but you gotta think that your Redbirds would have never did that Miller for Heyward trade if OT didn't pass. That kid and his bat had such a bright future. Very very unfortunate...
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This is off topic but you gotta think that your Redbirds would have never did that Miller for Heyward trade if OT didn't pass. That kid and his bat had such a bright future. Very very unfortunate...
This is off topic but you gotta think that your Redbirds would have never did that Miller for Heyward trade if OT didn't pass. That kid and his bat had such a bright future. Very very unfortunate...
Yep, OT was coming into his own. Had that huge game tying HR in the NLCS at home (then the Wong walk-off). I was at that game.
Really is a shame. The FO didn't have faith in Grichuk to take the torch in RF, so they needed to make a move. It was either Miller or Martinez that would get Heyward. I think they moved the right pitcher, but it's tough to swallow what happened. So much talent.
A young rotation of with Lynn, Martinez, Wacha, and Miller would lock it down as Waino starts the descent into his final days.
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Quote Originally Posted by AustinM:
This is off topic but you gotta think that your Redbirds would have never did that Miller for Heyward trade if OT didn't pass. That kid and his bat had such a bright future. Very very unfortunate...
Yep, OT was coming into his own. Had that huge game tying HR in the NLCS at home (then the Wong walk-off). I was at that game.
Really is a shame. The FO didn't have faith in Grichuk to take the torch in RF, so they needed to make a move. It was either Miller or Martinez that would get Heyward. I think they moved the right pitcher, but it's tough to swallow what happened. So much talent.
A young rotation of with Lynn, Martinez, Wacha, and Miller would lock it down as Waino starts the descent into his final days.
I am not sure what the plan in regard to the future for Marco Gonzales but that kid sure has a good feel for how to pitch. I watched him pitch a bit last year, and really liked what I saw. Nothing overpowering but a "Pitcher" not a "Thrower"
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I am not sure what the plan in regard to the future for Marco Gonzales but that kid sure has a good feel for how to pitch. I watched him pitch a bit last year, and really liked what I saw. Nothing overpowering but a "Pitcher" not a "Thrower"
Bob I'm curious what your thoughts are on your Cards are tomorrow. Obviously, you're not confident enough to play them with Jaime on the mound and that's certainly understandable. I bet the Cardinals quite a bit because I can trust them to come through more times than not, especially at home. I'm not in love with Garcia against the power right handed bats the Brewers possess, but I'm considering pulling the trigger on your boys. Would love to get your take on this game man.
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Bob I'm curious what your thoughts are on your Cards are tomorrow. Obviously, you're not confident enough to play them with Jaime on the mound and that's certainly understandable. I bet the Cardinals quite a bit because I can trust them to come through more times than not, especially at home. I'm not in love with Garcia against the power right handed bats the Brewers possess, but I'm considering pulling the trigger on your boys. Would love to get your take on this game man.
Bob I'm curious what your thoughts are on your Cards are tomorrow. Obviously, you're not confident enough to play them with Jaime on the mound and that's certainly understandable. I bet the Cardinals quite a bit because I can trust them to come through more times than not, especially at home. I'm not in love with Garcia against the power right handed bats the Brewers possess, but I'm considering pulling the trigger on your boys. Would love to get your take on this game man.
It's chilly and damp in stl today I wouldn't worry much about power bats today
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Quote Originally Posted by DarthFader91:
Bob I'm curious what your thoughts are on your Cards are tomorrow. Obviously, you're not confident enough to play them with Jaime on the mound and that's certainly understandable. I bet the Cardinals quite a bit because I can trust them to come through more times than not, especially at home. I'm not in love with Garcia against the power right handed bats the Brewers possess, but I'm considering pulling the trigger on your boys. Would love to get your take on this game man.
It's chilly and damp in stl today I wouldn't worry much about power bats today
Their are just 2 teams in team Matchups today with more positive edges in both Key Statistics +Hitting & Pitching they are Balt & Pit, Balt has an Edge of + 5 in Key Stats & Hitting & an edge of +10 in pitching. Pit has an edge of +13 in Key Stats & Hitting & an edge of +5 in Pitching. Balt Last 22 Games vs Hou is 16-6 SU/ 7-12 against the RL / & 8-13-1 o/u Pit Last 69 Games vs S.F. is 39-30 SU / 32-18 against the RL/ & 32-36-1 o/u..Cole is a Higher Rated Pitcher thanVogelsong
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Their are just 2 teams in team Matchups today with more positive edges in both Key Statistics +Hitting & Pitching they are Balt & Pit, Balt has an Edge of + 5 in Key Stats & Hitting & an edge of +10 in pitching. Pit has an edge of +13 in Key Stats & Hitting & an edge of +5 in Pitching. Balt Last 22 Games vs Hou is 16-6 SU/ 7-12 against the RL / & 8-13-1 o/u Pit Last 69 Games vs S.F. is 39-30 SU / 32-18 against the RL/ & 32-36-1 o/u..Cole is a Higher Rated Pitcher thanVogelsong
Bob I'm curious what your thoughts are on your Cards are tomorrow. Obviously, you're not confident enough to play them with Jaime on the mound and that's certainly understandable. I bet the Cardinals quite a bit because I can trust them to come through more times than not, especially at home. I'm not in love with Garcia against the power right handed bats the Brewers possess, but I'm considering pulling the trigger on your boys. Would love to get your take on this game man.
Not a fan of the Cardinals tonight (at their current line). Way too rich. I am def not sold on Garcia yet and Fiers has looked much better this month. I would stay away from this one. Although, the over F5 (3.5 @ -115) looks compelling.
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Quote Originally Posted by DarthFader91:
Bob I'm curious what your thoughts are on your Cards are tomorrow. Obviously, you're not confident enough to play them with Jaime on the mound and that's certainly understandable. I bet the Cardinals quite a bit because I can trust them to come through more times than not, especially at home. I'm not in love with Garcia against the power right handed bats the Brewers possess, but I'm considering pulling the trigger on your boys. Would love to get your take on this game man.
Not a fan of the Cardinals tonight (at their current line). Way too rich. I am def not sold on Garcia yet and Fiers has looked much better this month. I would stay away from this one. Although, the over F5 (3.5 @ -115) looks compelling.
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