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Bob's MLB Tuesday *** 6.02.15 ***

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MLB 2015 --- Overall
YTD: 125-105-13 (54%) *** +7.58% Return on Risk ***
ML: 83-64 (57%)
F5: 4-5-2 (44%)
RL: 9-10-6 (47%)
O/U: 28-22-5 (56%)
Parlays: 1-4-0 (20%)
Starting / Current Bankroll: $5,216 / $6,178.65 (+$962.65, +18.46%)

MLB 2015 --- Picks of the Day
YTD: 38-31-7 (55%) *** +4.68% Return on Risk ***
ML: 25-16 (61%)
F5: 0-2-1 (0%)
RL: 4-7-4 (36%)
O/U: 9-6-2 (60%)

Month (2015)
April: 53-53-5 (50%) *** -1.89 Return on Risk ***
May: 70-52-6 (57%) *** +14.25% Return on Risk ***
June: 2-0-2 (100%) *** +39.68% Return on Risk ***

MLB 2014
Overall: 826-685-112 (55%) *** +4.13% Return on Risk ***
PODs: 121-72-16 (63%) *** +16.60% Return on Risk ***

Monday's Results
Record: 2-0-2 (100%)
Risked: 4.00% of Bankroll ($244) --- WA line of -122
Profit / Return on Risk: +$96.83 / +39.68%
https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=102126699

Tuesday's Card

953 Chicago Cubs (K. Kendricks) FG, -120 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll (5dimes)
*locked in last night (see yesterday's thread)

967 Minnesota Twins (M. Pelfrey) FG, +162 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll (5dimes)

983 Washington Nationals (J. Zimmermann) -1 RL, -104 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll (5dimes)
Created using -156 ML / +145 RL

955 Milwaukee (Cravy) / St. Louis (Lynn) Over 3.5 F5, -120 --- Risk 1.00% of Bankroll (5dimes)
 
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Best of Luck Today  
Helping Kama'aina to beat their " Local " since 1994.
 
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Twins 
 
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Gl buddy   
 
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good luck friend
 
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bol bob!
 
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GL today 
 
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Your efforts much appreciated each day
 
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GL today Bob..like the Cubbies...
 
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GL BOB 
 
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on 3 of the 4...BOL tonight BoB...


 
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Good luck today BoB!  
 
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GL
 
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I was laying off the cubs because my line was at -140 a few hours ago.  Now they are -110.  Any news?
 
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Posted: #15
BOB what you thinking about the cardinals after getting shutout they got to play better tonight and get a pitcher debut to go against
 
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was RL winner 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by lilcrossy5:

BOB what you thinking about the cardinals after getting shutout they got to play better tonight and get a pitcher debut to go against


My play is on the over F5. I really like that play (hence it's a POD).

I thought the Cardinals line was rich at -200. Looks like the line is now -164, which is about where I capped them last night (-175). Pretty big move and likely due to the fact that Lucroy is officially in the lineup.

I would bite on Lynn at -150, but nothing higher than that.
 
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GL buddy
 
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Bob what's your thoughts on the Nats and Scherzer tonight? Personally, I think this guy is the best in the business. I know the line is too rich for you to bite on but just curious if you think the Nationals get the job done tonight. Blue Jays bats are extremely scary and after coming off a shutout against Zimmermann you'd think they will score at least a couple here, but maybe not. Not a fan of Estrada either. Thanks man
 
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I'm with you on Minn and Wash. GL 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by DarthFader91:

Bob what's your thoughts on the Nats and Scherzer tonight? Personally, I think this guy is the best in the business. I know the line is too rich for you to bite on but just curious if you think the Nationals get the job done tonight. Blue Jays bats are extremely scary and after coming off a shutout against Zimmermann you'd think they will score at least a couple here, but maybe not. Not a fan of Estrada either. Thanks man
Wasn't near a computer in time to respond to you here.

But, I will play any line as long as it offers value (i.e., my calculated probability exceeds the probability implied by the line by a certain margin). I don't like the Nationals at the closing level, despite being very high on Scherzer as well. I would have probably played the TT under on the Jays instead, bc I didn't like the lineup the Nationals put out there.
 
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Posted: #23
Do you think the Cardinals win tonight Bob? Lost on them last night, but can't see them dropping two straight at home to the Brewers. I realize Lynn has had his struggles against the Brew crew already this year but that was also at Miller Park.
 
 
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best of luck tonight
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