All Forums | MLB Betting

Bodio's MLB Fri 04/29

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 17594
Posts: 103
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 225
Posted: #76
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 10104
Posted: #77
Bodio.


 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 3177
Posted: #78
DAMN WISH I WOULD OF LOOKED AT THIS EARLIER IN THE DAY. GOT THE CUBS ON A LARGE ONE FOR MYSELF, BUT MISSED YOUR SEATTLE PICK. GREAT JOB MAN AND KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK!!
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 1003
Posted: #79
Quote Originally Posted by chvatalas:

DAMN WISH I WOULD OF LOOKED AT THIS EARLIER IN THE DAY. GOT THE CUBS ON A LARGE ONE FOR MYSELF, BUT MISSED YOUR SEATTLE PICK. GREAT JOB MAN AND KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK!!


COOL STORY BRO
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2009
Posts: 219
Posted: #80

Seattle Mariners

Milwaukee Brewers

Chicago Cubs

Bodio....much respect bro

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2010
Posts: 1975
Posted: #81

               

                                        

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2009
Posts: 124
Posted: #82
As Usher would say, "OMG!"

Wow, great night sir.  Including your 3 picks, I'm 7-0 today pending Cahill/Wilson under 6.5.  Today would've been an excellent day to throw in a parlay for kicks.  I wish every day could be like today.

Have a great night!


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2011
Posts: 54
Posted: #83

awesome job tonight BODIO i went 6-0 today thanks to you !

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 168
Posted: #84
Thank you Brodio.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2006
Posts: 26
Posted: #85

thanks Brodio for a 4-0 win tonight!

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2008
Posts: 2304
Posted: #86


great job buddy
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 106
Posted: #87
Followed your right ups. Loved the hot M's bats and the fade on Galarraga

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 106
Posted: #88
Quote Originally Posted by gkantzip:

Followed your right ups. Loved the hot M's bats and the fade on Galarraga


write** hah
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2009
Posts: 1447
Posted: #89
Quote Originally Posted by bodio:

#3: Milwaukee Brewers -133

I initially passed on this game, but my brother brought it to my attention a couple of hours ago and I decided to take a closer look. Well, I really like this play and will make it my 3rd wager of the day. This is a rematch between these 2 pitchers from their previous start. Neither performed really well with Myers going 6.1 inn; 10 hits, 5 ER's; 1 HR; 1 BB and 4K's while throwing 112 pitches. Marcum went 6 innings, 7 hits, 4 ER's, 2 HR's, 1 BB and 8 K's, throwing 96 pitches. While will today be a different outcome? Well, Marcum faced Houston's bats for the first time ever in that game. Sure they hit him, but in their life-times they only hae 31 AB's off him (very small sample size). What's interesting is that out of 12 hits, 7 came from Bill Hall, in only 10 AB's. The rest of the Astros are batting .238 off him in those limited AB's. In addition, Marcum had a terrible 1st inning in the last outing, allowing 3 of his 4 ER"s in that one, and giving up 4 hits in the inning. He settled down and gave up 1 ER's on 3 hits in the last 5 innings of that start. I expect his performance today to be similar to those 5 innings. Myers, on the other hand, has faced these Milwaukee batters for 129 career AB's -- much bigger sample size. Brewers hitters are batting .326 off him with .362 OBP and .874 OPS> There are a number of hitters that have fared well off hIm (not just one like is the case with Marcum): Weeks .267 BA/.313 OBP; Fielder .375 BA/.412 OBP (3 HR's / 7 RBI in 16 AB's); Betancourt .400 BA (5 AB's); Braun .263 BA with 1 HR in 19 AB's; Gomez .333 BA; McGehee .267 BA in 15 AB's...you get the point.

When looking at advanced stats Marcum's 3.38 FIP and 3.52 xFIP are much better than Myers' 4.76 / 4.44. In addition, Myers has a 1.38 HR/9 ratio compared to .91 HR/9 for Marcum. With Myers' .283 BABIp, 84% LOB% (ave is 70%), and -1.45 E-F (12th worst) I expect him to continue regressing. He has given up at least 1 HR in his last 4 starts and 32 hits in 25 innings in those. As Myers is regressing to the negative, I expect Marcum to actually improve over his first outing against the 'Stros. The result of this rematch will be very different from when these teams faced off 6 days ago.

_________________

'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400

--------------------------------------------------------------
'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330



"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."


Thanks Bodio.  Does your brother post here as well? 

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 413
Posted: #90
you're the MAN!
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2008
Posts: 383
Posted: #91
3-0 my man genius thinking
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 5370
Posted: #92
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2011
Posts: 386
Posted: #93
Bodio, great fricking job again! Is it bad that my fiance asks me in the morning if BODIO has posted yet? lol She told me to tell you thanks. You are helping pay for our wedding! hehe  Keep it up man, you might get an invite to it.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 1169
Posted: #94
WELL DONE!!!
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2008
Posts: 38
Posted: #95
I have not been on here in a couple of years. Got on yesterday and saw your stats. Followed you on your first 2 picks,didnt see your pick on Brewers. Thanks for a great day!!!!!                     
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2010
Posts: 625
Posted: #96
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 1276
Posted: #97
man on fire   BO Disel....
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2007
Posts: 14454
Posted: #98

what u got today mr perfect?

I dont know if its just my luck or what, but I bet a day or two a week, and I usually stockpile your picks, and I keep winning. You are awesome brotha!

 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 69
Posted: #99

follow you exclusively on here for the last

3 months or so  

missed the Brewers play yesterday

maybe wouldn't be a bad idea to start another

thread "added play" for additional games

appreciate the time and effort you put in  .... thanks again !!

 

 

 

 
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2011
Posts: 1
Posted: #100
Awesome! Bodio you are just great.4-0!!!! Keep up the good work!
All Forums | MLB Betting
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.