Posted:
#1
2011 MLB Record:
49 - 31 @ 61% for +15.91 Units
Sun, 05/08
Colorado Rockies -123
The Rockies have a clear advantage on the mound in this one. De La Rosa has a 2.82 FIP (22nd best) and 3.35 xFIP (#40 in the majors). His K/BB ratio of 3 and a 0.49 HR/9 indicates that he's been a pretty dominant pitcher so far this season. Well, the most ER's he's given up in an outing has been 4. Today he's going to face a Giants squad that he's already dominated once earlier this season, holding them to 4 hits and 2 ER"s in 7 innings with 6K's to 2 BB's. Actually, in his career De La Rosa is 7-1 against San Fran with a 2.30 ERA and 1.0 WHIP. My one concern with him is his very low BABIP of .245. It helps that the Giants aren't really hitting the ball well right now, averaging 2.75 rpg in their lat 4 (high of 4 runs scored / low of 2). Neither are the Rockies though, who are averaging 3.25 rpg in the same time-span. The difference is that they're facing a pitcher in Ryan Vogelsong who has a career record of 11-22 with 5.79 ERA and 1.6 WHIP. Sure majority of those Major League starts came with the Pirates but even so, the numbers aren't very good. Vogelsong is coming off an outing where he gave up 2 HR's and 5 ER"s on 5 hits in 4 innings. He issued 4 BB's in that one to only 2 K's. Seems to me like he's exactly the type of a pitcher to get the Rockies out of their slump.
Giants won't have Wilson available today (most likely) as he's pitched 2 days in a row and overall the BP's are fairly equal in this one. Rockies have an FIP of 3.57 and xFIP of 3.20, compared to Giants' FIP of 2.82 (.255 BABIP so should regress) and 3.22 xFIP. Both are ranked in the top 10 of the league. Either way, I see a strong advantage for the Rockies in the starting pitching here, and I expect Colorado to finally get a win in this series, after losing the previous 2 in a walk-off fashion.
Good luck!
49 - 31 @ 61% for +15.91 Units
Sun, 05/08
Colorado Rockies -123
The Rockies have a clear advantage on the mound in this one. De La Rosa has a 2.82 FIP (22nd best) and 3.35 xFIP (#40 in the majors). His K/BB ratio of 3 and a 0.49 HR/9 indicates that he's been a pretty dominant pitcher so far this season. Well, the most ER's he's given up in an outing has been 4. Today he's going to face a Giants squad that he's already dominated once earlier this season, holding them to 4 hits and 2 ER"s in 7 innings with 6K's to 2 BB's. Actually, in his career De La Rosa is 7-1 against San Fran with a 2.30 ERA and 1.0 WHIP. My one concern with him is his very low BABIP of .245. It helps that the Giants aren't really hitting the ball well right now, averaging 2.75 rpg in their lat 4 (high of 4 runs scored / low of 2). Neither are the Rockies though, who are averaging 3.25 rpg in the same time-span. The difference is that they're facing a pitcher in Ryan Vogelsong who has a career record of 11-22 with 5.79 ERA and 1.6 WHIP. Sure majority of those Major League starts came with the Pirates but even so, the numbers aren't very good. Vogelsong is coming off an outing where he gave up 2 HR's and 5 ER"s on 5 hits in 4 innings. He issued 4 BB's in that one to only 2 K's. Seems to me like he's exactly the type of a pitcher to get the Rockies out of their slump.
Giants won't have Wilson available today (most likely) as he's pitched 2 days in a row and overall the BP's are fairly equal in this one. Rockies have an FIP of 3.57 and xFIP of 3.20, compared to Giants' FIP of 2.82 (.255 BABIP so should regress) and 3.22 xFIP. Both are ranked in the top 10 of the league. Either way, I see a strong advantage for the Rockies in the starting pitching here, and I expect Colorado to finally get a win in this series, after losing the previous 2 in a walk-off fashion.
Good luck!
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
'10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200
'10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400
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'TOTAL: 200-136 @ 60% for +$52,330
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."
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