I
think it's pretty clear that we have a better starting pitcher, much
better bullpen, and actually a better hitting team in the White Sox.
That should be enough to make this wager right? Well, here's some more
info to make this even a stronger bet. Floyd has a much better away ERA
of 3.13 this year (6.36 at home) while Vargas has a home ERA of 4.69
(3.49 on the road). I like the fact that Floyd's 3.16 K/BB ratio is 16th
best in the league (that's out of more than 220 starting pitchers)
while Mariners are ranked 5th as having the highest K%. With Floyd
allowing 3 ER's and 13 hits in his last 21 innings pitched against them
(3 starts), and the way he dominated the Rangers lineup in his last
outing, I truly don't see any reason why he won't be very successful
tonight. Oh, and in those last 3 starts against Seattle he has 15 K's
to 5 BB's, for a (what do you know?) 3.0 K/BB ratio.
Seattle is
17-22 in day games while White Sox are 24-20 in the same scenario.
Seattle is 30-33 at home while the White Sox are a very solid road team
at 36-29. Chicago is 19-8 against Seattle in the last 27 and 6-2 this
year. I expect another winning performance from them today.
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
0
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
2011 MLB Record: 167 - 135 @55%for+15.50 Units
Sun 08/28 #1: Chicago White Sox -123
I
think it's pretty clear that we have a better starting pitcher, much
better bullpen, and actually a better hitting team in the White Sox.
That should be enough to make this wager right? Well, here's some more
info to make this even a stronger bet. Floyd has a much better away ERA
of 3.13 this year (6.36 at home) while Vargas has a home ERA of 4.69
(3.49 on the road). I like the fact that Floyd's 3.16 K/BB ratio is 16th
best in the league (that's out of more than 220 starting pitchers)
while Mariners are ranked 5th as having the highest K%. With Floyd
allowing 3 ER's and 13 hits in his last 21 innings pitched against them
(3 starts), and the way he dominated the Rangers lineup in his last
outing, I truly don't see any reason why he won't be very successful
tonight. Oh, and in those last 3 starts against Seattle he has 15 K's
to 5 BB's, for a (what do you know?) 3.0 K/BB ratio.
Seattle is
17-22 in day games while White Sox are 24-20 in the same scenario.
Seattle is 30-33 at home while the White Sox are a very solid road team
at 36-29. Chicago is 19-8 against Seattle in the last 27 and 6-2 this
year. I expect another winning performance from them today.
_________________ '10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130 '10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600 '10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800 '10 CFB: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400 '10 CFBP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400 '10 CBB: 39-18 @ 68% for +$19,200 '10 CBBP: 16-6 @ 73% for +$9,400 '10 NBA: 151-99 @ 60% for +$42,100 '10 NBAP: 30-26 @ 54% for +$1,400 '10 NHL: 18-9 @ 67% for +$6,175 '10 NHLP: 16-7 @ 70% for +$5,575
----------------------------------- TOTAL: 415-277 @ 60% for +$107,580
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned"
Washington Nationals 62-69 (47%) @ Cincinnati Reds 66-66 (50%)
J.
Zimmermann, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 3.02 (#21
in MLB), xFIP of 3.74 (#73 in MLB), and tERA of 3.26 (#18 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .289, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of 0.07. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.93, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .244. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 41% for a 0.97 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 5%.
J. Cueto, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a
FIP of 3.53 (#53 in MLB), xFIP of 3.99 (#103 in MLB), and tERA of 3.5
(#31 in MLB), with a BABIP of .226, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -1.5. He has
a K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.04, and opponent BA of .198. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 32% for a 1.64
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
Washington Nationals have the #15
bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road
record of 25-41 (38%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Lost 5 in a row.
Cincinnati
Reds have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding.
They have a home record of 36-30 (55%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Won 3
in a row.
Chicago Cubs 57-76 (43%) @ Milwaukee Brewers 80-54 (60%)
C.
Coleman, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 4.84 (#188 in MLB),
xFIP of 5.15 (#222 in MLB), and tERA of 5.56 (#199 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .363, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 2.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.23, with
a WHIP of 1.97, and opponent BA of .313. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.03 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
8%.
Z. Greinke, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of
3.01 (#18 in MLB), xFIP of 2.42 (#1 in MLB), and tERA of 3.47 (#27 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .315, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 1.21. He has a K/BB
ratio of 5.17, with a WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of .239. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a 1.49
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
Chicago Cubs have the #20
bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a road
record of 25-39 (39%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
Milwaukee
Brewers have the #5 bullpen, #9 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding.
They have a home record of 49-16 (75%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 2
in a row.
Pittsburgh Pirates 62-70 (47%) @ St Louis Cardinals 69-64 (52%)
J.
Karstens, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 4.29 (#136 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#86 in MLB), and tERA of 4.37 (#111 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .265, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -1.16. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.42, with a WHIP of 1.14, and opponent BA of .252. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 37% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 13%.
K. Lohse, starting for St Louis Cardinals,
has a FIP of 3.96 (#99 in MLB), xFIP of 4.14 (#127 in MLB), and tERA of
4.53 (#125 in MLB), with a BABIP of .259, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.23.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.43, with a WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of
.243. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a
1.04 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Pittsburgh Pirates have the
#16 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a
road record of 31-33 (48%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
St
Louis Cardinals have the #18 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #25 in
fielding. They have a home record of 34-31 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
Houston Astros 43-90 (32%) @ San Francisco Giants 71-62 (53%)
B.
Norris, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 4.02 (#108 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.69 (#67 in MLB), and tERA of 4.45 (#119 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .297, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.4, with a
WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 21%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 40% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
11%.
M. Cain, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of
2.79 (#10 in MLB), xFIP of 3.6 (#50 in MLB), and tERA of 3.15 (#16 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .266, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.11. He has a K/BB
ratio of 3.29, with a WHIP of 1.08, and opponent BA of .217. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.05
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
Houston Astros have the #27
bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a road
record of 20-48 (29%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
San
Francisco Giants have the #3 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #9 in
fielding. They have a home record of 38-27 (58%), ranked #8 in MLB and
have Won 2 in a row.
San Diego Padres 60-73 (45%) @ Arizona Diamondbacks 74-59 (56%)
C.
Luebke, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 2.83 (#13 in MLB),
xFIP of 2.98 (#7 in MLB), and tERA of 3.07 (#13 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.251, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.12. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.93, with a
WHIP of 0.93, and opponent BA of .198. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
I.
Kennedy, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks, has a FIP of 3.57 (#58 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.62 (#52 in MLB), and tERA of 4.21 (#95 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .269, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.47. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.14, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .227. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 39% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
San Diego Padres have the #6 bullpen, #28
offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road record of 32-35
(48%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
Arizona
Diamondbacks have the #11 bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #1 in
fielding. They have a home record of 38-26 (59%), ranked #7 in MLB and
have Won 5 in a row.
Washington Nationals 62-69 (47%) @ Cincinnati Reds 66-66 (50%)
J.
Zimmermann, starting for Washington Nationals, has a FIP of 3.02 (#21
in MLB), xFIP of 3.74 (#73 in MLB), and tERA of 3.26 (#18 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .289, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of 0.07. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.93, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .244. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 41% for a 0.97 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 5%.
J. Cueto, starting for Cincinnati Reds, has a
FIP of 3.53 (#53 in MLB), xFIP of 3.99 (#103 in MLB), and tERA of 3.5
(#31 in MLB), with a BABIP of .226, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -1.5. He has
a K/BB ratio of 2, with a WHIP of 1.04, and opponent BA of .198. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 15%, GB%: 53%, FB%: 32% for a 1.64
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
Washington Nationals have the #15
bullpen, #22 offense, and are rated #20 in fielding. They have a road
record of 25-41 (38%), ranked #25 in MLB and have Lost 5 in a row.
Cincinnati
Reds have the #16 bullpen, #10 offense, and are rated #4 in fielding.
They have a home record of 36-30 (55%), ranked #13 in MLB and have Won 3
in a row.
Chicago Cubs 57-76 (43%) @ Milwaukee Brewers 80-54 (60%)
C.
Coleman, starting for Chicago Cubs, has a FIP of 4.84 (#188 in MLB),
xFIP of 5.15 (#222 in MLB), and tERA of 5.56 (#199 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .363, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 2.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.23, with
a WHIP of 1.97, and opponent BA of .313. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a 1.03 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
8%.
Z. Greinke, starting for Milwaukee Brewers, has a FIP of
3.01 (#18 in MLB), xFIP of 2.42 (#1 in MLB), and tERA of 3.47 (#27 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .315, LOB% of 64%, and E-F of 1.21. He has a K/BB
ratio of 5.17, with a WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of .239. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 47%, FB%: 32% for a 1.49
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 15%.
Chicago Cubs have the #20
bullpen, #13 offense, and are rated #22 in fielding. They have a road
record of 25-39 (39%), ranked #24 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
Milwaukee
Brewers have the #5 bullpen, #9 offense, and are rated #8 in fielding.
They have a home record of 49-16 (75%), ranked #1 in MLB and have Won 2
in a row.
Pittsburgh Pirates 62-70 (47%) @ St Louis Cardinals 69-64 (52%)
J.
Karstens, starting for Pittsburgh Pirates, has a FIP of 4.29 (#136 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.88 (#86 in MLB), and tERA of 4.37 (#111 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .265, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -1.16. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.42, with a WHIP of 1.14, and opponent BA of .252. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 37% for a 1.26 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 13%.
K. Lohse, starting for St Louis Cardinals,
has a FIP of 3.96 (#99 in MLB), xFIP of 4.14 (#127 in MLB), and tERA of
4.53 (#125 in MLB), with a BABIP of .259, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.23.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.43, with a WHIP of 1.16, and opponent BA of
.243. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 40%, FB%: 39% for a
1.04 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 7%.
Pittsburgh Pirates have the
#16 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #15 in fielding. They have a
road record of 31-33 (48%), ranked #16 in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
St
Louis Cardinals have the #18 bullpen, #4 offense, and are rated #25 in
fielding. They have a home record of 34-31 (52%), ranked #16 in MLB and
have Lost 1 in a row.
Houston Astros 43-90 (32%) @ San Francisco Giants 71-62 (53%)
B.
Norris, starting for Houston Astros, has a FIP of 4.02 (#108 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.69 (#67 in MLB), and tERA of 4.45 (#119 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .297, LOB% of 73%, and E-F of -0.3. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.4, with a
WHIP of 1.35, and opponent BA of .246. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 21%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 40% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
11%.
M. Cain, starting for San Francisco Giants, has a FIP of
2.79 (#10 in MLB), xFIP of 3.6 (#50 in MLB), and tERA of 3.15 (#16 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .266, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of 0.11. He has a K/BB
ratio of 3.29, with a WHIP of 1.08, and opponent BA of .217. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 39% for a 1.05
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
Houston Astros have the #27
bullpen, #23 offense, and are rated #27 in fielding. They have a road
record of 20-48 (29%), ranked #30 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
San
Francisco Giants have the #3 bullpen, #29 offense, and are rated #9 in
fielding. They have a home record of 38-27 (58%), ranked #8 in MLB and
have Won 2 in a row.
San Diego Padres 60-73 (45%) @ Arizona Diamondbacks 74-59 (56%)
C.
Luebke, starting for San Diego Padres, has a FIP of 2.83 (#13 in MLB),
xFIP of 2.98 (#7 in MLB), and tERA of 3.07 (#13 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.251, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.12. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.93, with a
WHIP of 0.93, and opponent BA of .198. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 18%, GB%: 41%, FB%: 41% for a 0.98 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 6%.
I.
Kennedy, starting for Arizona Diamondbacks, has a FIP of 3.57 (#58 in
MLB), xFIP of 3.62 (#52 in MLB), and tERA of 4.21 (#95 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .269, LOB% of 79%, and E-F of -0.47. He has a K/BB ratio of
3.14, with a WHIP of 1.13, and opponent BA of .227. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 21%, GB%: 39%, FB%: 39% for a 1.01 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
San Diego Padres have the #6 bullpen, #28
offense, and are rated #10 in fielding. They have a road record of 32-35
(48%), ranked #17 in MLB and have Lost 3 in a row.
Arizona
Diamondbacks have the #11 bullpen, #11 offense, and are rated #1 in
fielding. They have a home record of 38-26 (59%), ranked #7 in MLB and
have Won 5 in a row.
Colorado Rockies 63-70 (47%) @ Los Angeles Dodgers 62-69 (47%)
J.
Chacin, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 4.3 (#137 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.82 (#80 in MLB), and tERA of 4.57 (#131 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .25, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.81. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.82, with
a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .219. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 14%, GB%: 57%, FB%: 30% for a 1.91 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
14%.
N. Eovaldi, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of
3.83 (#87 in MLB), xFIP of 4.4 (#155 in MLB), and tERA of 4.45 (#119 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .242, LOB% of 86%, and E-F of -1.78. He has a K/BB
ratio of 1.4, with a WHIP of 1.18, and opponent BA of .208. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 39% for a 0.94
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 0%.
Colorado Rockies have the #13
bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a road
record of 28-37 (43%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Los
Angeles Dodgers have the #12 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #12 in
fielding. They have a home record of 33-34 (49%), ranked #18 in MLB and
have Won 5 in a row.
Tampa Bay Rays 72-59 (55%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 66-66 (50%)
D.
Price, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 3.32 (#35 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.28 (#22 in MLB), and tERA of 3.49 (#29 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .281, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.78, with
a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of .231. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 37% for a 1.19 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
10%.
B. Morrow, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 3.1
(#26 in MLB), xFIP of 3.35 (#28 in MLB), and tERA of 3.61 (#38 in MLB),
with a BABIP of .312, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 1.55. He has a K/BB ratio
of 3.12, with a WHIP of 1.29, and opponent BA of .235. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 42% for a 0.83 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 7%.
Tampa Bay Rays have the #26 bullpen, #16
offense, and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 37-28
(57%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Toronto Blue
Jays have the #19 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding.
They have a home record of 32-33 (49%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Lost 3
in a row.
Kansas City Royals 54-79 (41%) @ Cleveland Indians 65-64 (50%)
B.
Chen, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.76 (#179 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.59 (#183 in MLB), and tERA of 5.18 (#172 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .29, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.64. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.84, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .266. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 43% for a 0.86 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 10%.
J. Masterson, starting for Cleveland Indians,
has a FIP of 2.86 (#16 in MLB), xFIP of 3.4 (#32 in MLB), and tERA of
3.1 (#15 in MLB), with a BABIP of .297, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.02.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.81, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of
.244. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 27% for a
2.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
Kansas City Royals have the
#23 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #14 in fielding. They have a
road record of 21-42 (33%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Cleveland
Indians have the #9 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #23 in
fielding. They have a home record of 36-28 (56%), ranked #12 in MLB and
have Won 2 in a row.
New York Yankees 78-51 (61%) @ Baltimore Orioles 52-77 (40%)
B.
COLON, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.92 (#93 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.54 (#41 in MLB), and tERA of 4.1 (#83 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.297, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.24. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.19, with a
WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .258. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 19%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 35% for a 1.3 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Z.
Britton, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 3.92 (#93 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.02 (#108 in MLB), and tERA of 4.3 (#102 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .316, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 0.61. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.64, with a WHIP of 1.5, and opponent BA of .279. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 28% for a 1.97 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
New York Yankees have the #2 bullpen, #1
offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a road record of 37-25
(60%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #27 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 30-35 (46%), ranked #23 in MLB and
have Won 5 in a row.
Detroit Tigers 73-59 (55%) @ Minnesota Twins 55-77 (42%)
B.
Penny, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 4.69 (#172 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.68 (#192 in MLB), and tERA of 4.89 (#162 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .301, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.13. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.25,
with a WHIP of 1.48, and opponent BA of .29. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 34% for a 1.47 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB
of 10%.
B. Duensing, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of
4.25 (#130 in MLB), xFIP of 3.93 (#95 in MLB), and tERA of 4.57 (#131 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .33, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.81. He has a K/BB
ratio of 2.54, with a WHIP of 1.49, and opponent BA of .294. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 37% for a 1.18
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Detroit Tigers have the #24
bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road
record of 36-32 (53%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Minnesota
Twins have the #30 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding.
They have a home record of 28-39 (42%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost
7 in a row.
Colorado Rockies 63-70 (47%) @ Los Angeles Dodgers 62-69 (47%)
J.
Chacin, starting for Colorado Rockies, has a FIP of 4.3 (#137 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.82 (#80 in MLB), and tERA of 4.57 (#131 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .25, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.81. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.82, with
a WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .219. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 14%, GB%: 57%, FB%: 30% for a 1.91 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
14%.
N. Eovaldi, starting for Los Angeles Dodgers, has a FIP of
3.83 (#87 in MLB), xFIP of 4.4 (#155 in MLB), and tERA of 4.45 (#119 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .242, LOB% of 86%, and E-F of -1.78. He has a K/BB
ratio of 1.4, with a WHIP of 1.18, and opponent BA of .208. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 25%, GB%: 36%, FB%: 39% for a 0.94
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 0%.
Colorado Rockies have the #13
bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #17 in fielding. They have a road
record of 28-37 (43%), ranked #22 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Los
Angeles Dodgers have the #12 bullpen, #25 offense, and are rated #12 in
fielding. They have a home record of 33-34 (49%), ranked #18 in MLB and
have Won 5 in a row.
Tampa Bay Rays 72-59 (55%) @ Toronto Blue Jays 66-66 (50%)
D.
Price, starting for Tampa Bay Rays, has a FIP of 3.32 (#35 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.28 (#22 in MLB), and tERA of 3.49 (#29 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .281, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of 0.21. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.78, with
a WHIP of 1.11, and opponent BA of .231. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 37% for a 1.19 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
10%.
B. Morrow, starting for Toronto Blue Jays, has a FIP of 3.1
(#26 in MLB), xFIP of 3.35 (#28 in MLB), and tERA of 3.61 (#38 in MLB),
with a BABIP of .312, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 1.55. He has a K/BB ratio
of 3.12, with a WHIP of 1.29, and opponent BA of .235. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 23%, GB%: 35%, FB%: 42% for a 0.83 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 7%.
Tampa Bay Rays have the #26 bullpen, #16
offense, and are rated #5 in fielding. They have a road record of 37-28
(57%), ranked #4 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Toronto Blue
Jays have the #19 bullpen, #6 offense, and are rated #19 in fielding.
They have a home record of 32-33 (49%), ranked #19 in MLB and have Lost 3
in a row.
Kansas City Royals 54-79 (41%) @ Cleveland Indians 65-64 (50%)
B.
Chen, starting for Kansas City Royals, has a FIP of 4.76 (#179 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.59 (#183 in MLB), and tERA of 5.18 (#172 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .29, LOB% of 75%, and E-F of -0.64. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.84, with a WHIP of 1.38, and opponent BA of .266. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 43% for a 0.86 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 10%.
J. Masterson, starting for Cleveland Indians,
has a FIP of 2.86 (#16 in MLB), xFIP of 3.4 (#32 in MLB), and tERA of
3.1 (#15 in MLB), with a BABIP of .297, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.02.
He has a K/BB ratio of 2.81, with a WHIP of 1.19, and opponent BA of
.244. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 18%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 27% for a
2.05 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 4%.
Kansas City Royals have the
#23 bullpen, #12 offense, and are rated #14 in fielding. They have a
road record of 21-42 (33%), ranked #29 in MLB and have Lost 2 in a row.
Cleveland
Indians have the #9 bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #23 in
fielding. They have a home record of 36-28 (56%), ranked #12 in MLB and
have Won 2 in a row.
New York Yankees 78-51 (61%) @ Baltimore Orioles 52-77 (40%)
B.
COLON, starting for New York Yankees, has a FIP of 3.92 (#93 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.54 (#41 in MLB), and tERA of 4.1 (#83 in MLB), with a BABIP of
.297, LOB% of 74%, and E-F of -0.24. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.19, with a
WHIP of 1.26, and opponent BA of .258. His batted-ball peripherals are:
LD%: 19%, GB%: 46%, FB%: 35% for a 1.3 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Z.
Britton, starting for Baltimore Orioles, has a FIP of 3.92 (#93 in
MLB), xFIP of 4.02 (#108 in MLB), and tERA of 4.3 (#102 in MLB), with a
BABIP of .316, LOB% of 63%, and E-F of 0.61. He has a K/BB ratio of
1.64, with a WHIP of 1.5, and opponent BA of .279. His batted-ball
peripherals are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 55%, FB%: 28% for a 1.97 GB/FB ratio,
and a HR/FB of 9%.
New York Yankees have the #2 bullpen, #1
offense, and are rated #6 in fielding. They have a road record of 37-25
(60%), ranked #3 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Baltimore
Orioles have the #27 bullpen, #15 offense, and are rated #30 in
fielding. They have a home record of 30-35 (46%), ranked #23 in MLB and
have Won 5 in a row.
Detroit Tigers 73-59 (55%) @ Minnesota Twins 55-77 (42%)
B.
Penny, starting for Detroit Tigers, has a FIP of 4.69 (#172 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.68 (#192 in MLB), and tERA of 4.89 (#162 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .301, LOB% of 71%, and E-F of 0.13. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.25,
with a WHIP of 1.48, and opponent BA of .29. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 17%, GB%: 49%, FB%: 34% for a 1.47 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB
of 10%.
B. Duensing, starting for Minnesota Twins, has a FIP of
4.25 (#130 in MLB), xFIP of 3.93 (#95 in MLB), and tERA of 4.57 (#131 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .33, LOB% of 68%, and E-F of 0.81. He has a K/BB
ratio of 2.54, with a WHIP of 1.49, and opponent BA of .294. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 20%, GB%: 43%, FB%: 37% for a 1.18
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 11%.
Detroit Tigers have the #24
bullpen, #5 offense, and are rated #24 in fielding. They have a road
record of 36-32 (53%), ranked #7 in MLB and have Won 3 in a row.
Minnesota
Twins have the #30 bullpen, #26 offense, and are rated #13 in fielding.
They have a home record of 28-39 (42%), ranked #28 in MLB and have Lost
7 in a row.
Chicago White Sox 65-65 (50%) @ Seattle Mariners 56-75 (43%)
G.
Floyd, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.65 (#67 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.72 (#71 in MLB), and tERA of 4.17 (#90 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .283, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.16, with
a WHIP of 1.18, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 36% for a 1.22 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
10%.
J. Vargas, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 4.21
(#128 in MLB), xFIP of 4.42 (#161 in MLB), and tERA of 4.26 (#97 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.03. He has a K/BB
ratio of 2.13, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .259. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 43% for a 0.86
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Chicago White Sox have the #8
bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road
record of 36-29 (55%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Seattle
Mariners have the #22 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #11 in
fielding. They have a home record of 32-34 (48%), ranked #20 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Odds: CHW -120 (55%) SEA +113 (47%) O/U = 7.5
Lean: White Sox
=======================================
J.
Weaver, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 2.85 (#14 in MLB), xFIP
of 3.64 (#57 in MLB), and tERA of 2.78 (#7 in MLB), with a BABIP of .25,
LOB% of 83%, and E-F of -0.74. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.76, with a WHIP
of 0.97, and opponent BA of .205. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%:
18%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 48% for a 0.7 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
C.
Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.65 (#165 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.1 (#118 in MLB), and tERA of 4.63 (#137 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .257, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.58. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.91,
with a WHIP of 1.2, and opponent BA of .237. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 50% for a 0.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB
of 12%.
LAA Angels have the #24 bullpen, #21 offense, and are
rated #3 in fielding. They have a road record of 34-32 (52%), ranked #11
in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Texas Rangers have the #29
bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a home
record of 41-27 (60%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Chicago White Sox 65-65 (50%) @ Seattle Mariners 56-75 (43%)
G.
Floyd, starting for Chicago White Sox, has a FIP of 3.65 (#67 in MLB),
xFIP of 3.72 (#71 in MLB), and tERA of 4.17 (#90 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .283, LOB% of 66%, and E-F of 0.77. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.16, with
a WHIP of 1.18, and opponent BA of .245. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 44%, FB%: 36% for a 1.22 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of
10%.
J. Vargas, starting for Seattle Mariners, has a FIP of 4.21
(#128 in MLB), xFIP of 4.42 (#161 in MLB), and tERA of 4.26 (#97 in
MLB), with a BABIP of .282, LOB% of 70%, and E-F of -0.03. He has a K/BB
ratio of 2.13, with a WHIP of 1.32, and opponent BA of .259. His
batted-ball peripherals are: LD%: 19%, GB%: 37%, FB%: 43% for a 0.86
GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 9%.
Chicago White Sox have the #8
bullpen, #17 offense, and are rated #16 in fielding. They have a road
record of 36-29 (55%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Won 2 in a row.
Seattle
Mariners have the #22 bullpen, #30 offense, and are rated #11 in
fielding. They have a home record of 32-34 (48%), ranked #20 in MLB and
have Lost 2 in a row.
Odds: CHW -120 (55%) SEA +113 (47%) O/U = 7.5
Lean: White Sox
=======================================
J.
Weaver, starting for LAA Angels, has a FIP of 2.85 (#14 in MLB), xFIP
of 3.64 (#57 in MLB), and tERA of 2.78 (#7 in MLB), with a BABIP of .25,
LOB% of 83%, and E-F of -0.74. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.76, with a WHIP
of 0.97, and opponent BA of .205. His batted-ball peripherals are: LD%:
18%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 48% for a 0.7 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB of 5%.
C.
Lewis, starting for Texas Rangers, has a FIP of 4.65 (#165 in MLB),
xFIP of 4.1 (#118 in MLB), and tERA of 4.63 (#137 in MLB), with a BABIP
of .257, LOB% of 77%, and E-F of -0.58. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.91,
with a WHIP of 1.2, and opponent BA of .237. His batted-ball peripherals
are: LD%: 16%, GB%: 34%, FB%: 50% for a 0.69 GB/FB ratio, and a HR/FB
of 12%.
LAA Angels have the #24 bullpen, #21 offense, and are
rated #3 in fielding. They have a road record of 34-32 (52%), ranked #11
in MLB and have Won 1 in a row.
Texas Rangers have the #29
bullpen, #3 offense, and are rated #7 in fielding. They have a home
record of 41-27 (60%), ranked #6 in MLB and have Lost 1 in a row.
Hey Bodio, you don't like Weaver and the Angels here with the big pitching differential? Angels bats have been pretty solid too, so line almost seems fishy??
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Hey Bodio, you don't like Weaver and the Angels here with the big pitching differential? Angels bats have been pretty solid too, so line almost seems fishy??
Hey Bodio, you don't like Weaver and the Angels here with the big pitching differential? Angels bats have been pretty solid too, so line almost seems fishy??
Weaver typically struggles against the Rangers, even though he is 3-0 against them this year I believe. Lewis is pretty 'nasty' against righties and LAA are a righty-heavy lineup. Not sure what you mean by 'fishy' line as it's not often that you get the best home team in the MLB at these short odds. Books gave a lot of respect to Weaver with the initial odds, but now it's adjusting a bit in Rangers' favor. Line is accurate to me and I couldn't find an angle to back either team in this one. It's an easy PASS for me.
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Quote Originally Posted by CMP:
Hey Bodio, you don't like Weaver and the Angels here with the big pitching differential? Angels bats have been pretty solid too, so line almost seems fishy??
Weaver typically struggles against the Rangers, even though he is 3-0 against them this year I believe. Lewis is pretty 'nasty' against righties and LAA are a righty-heavy lineup. Not sure what you mean by 'fishy' line as it's not often that you get the best home team in the MLB at these short odds. Books gave a lot of respect to Weaver with the initial odds, but now it's adjusting a bit in Rangers' favor. Line is accurate to me and I couldn't find an angle to back either team in this one. It's an easy PASS for me.
Hey Bodio, just wondering your thoughts on Greinke at home vs. the Cubbies?
I did look at that game closely, but the odds just don't justify playing it. Greinke, as good as he is, is giving up homers at a ridiculous rate for him and Cubs have some 'pop' in that lineup. Just couldn't justify laying that juice as MIL is way too juiced up right now.
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Quote Originally Posted by jellsbury:
Hey Bodio, just wondering your thoughts on Greinke at home vs. the Cubbies?
I did look at that game closely, but the odds just don't justify playing it. Greinke, as good as he is, is giving up homers at a ridiculous rate for him and Cubs have some 'pop' in that lineup. Just couldn't justify laying that juice as MIL is way too juiced up right now.
Hey Bodio, you don't like Weaver and the Angels here with the big pitching differential? Angels bats have been pretty solid too, so line almost seems fishy??
Oh and I forgot to add, Weaver is on 3 days rest...first time in his career he's doing so.
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Quote Originally Posted by CMP:
Hey Bodio, you don't like Weaver and the Angels here with the big pitching differential? Angels bats have been pretty solid too, so line almost seems fishy??
Oh and I forgot to add, Weaver is on 3 days rest...first time in his career he's doing so.
I'm not sure the 3 day rest is statistically significant, is it?
The reason I say the line is "fishy" is that it seems like the books are almost begging you to take the Angels. Weaver has a large differential in pretty much all stat categories to Lewis. Lewis is 6+ ERA in his last 3 home starts, Weaver has a 4-1 record and <2 ERA in his last 7 starts against the Rangers. Bourjos has demonstrated this season he can hit Lewis, etc, etc.
I realise Rangers are hot at home, and when the bullpens come out all bets are off, but Angels for the 1st 5 innings at least seem a very solid play at + odds.
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I'm not sure the 3 day rest is statistically significant, is it?
The reason I say the line is "fishy" is that it seems like the books are almost begging you to take the Angels. Weaver has a large differential in pretty much all stat categories to Lewis. Lewis is 6+ ERA in his last 3 home starts, Weaver has a 4-1 record and <2 ERA in his last 7 starts against the Rangers. Bourjos has demonstrated this season he can hit Lewis, etc, etc.
I realise Rangers are hot at home, and when the bullpens come out all bets are off, but Angels for the 1st 5 innings at least seem a very solid play at + odds.
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Hey Bodio good morning, your write up and picks are the same as a so called VEGAS BUTCHER AT PREGAME???? have a great sunday. lol jack
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