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Breaking down games now....

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Posted: #1
Well last night was a good night, finished with a 6-3 moneyline record, currently breaking down todays games, I should have my picks posted within the hour or so, I'm seeing a lot of rookies on here using a 'Cap' name in last few weeks LoL....
 
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Posted: #2

thanks for the update....I have been refreshing every 5 minutes

 

 
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Posted: #3
 
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Gonna use my same system for todays picks, but I am making a change on the ERA average that I am getting for the teams average for the matchup....we'll see how it works tonight, it's probably a 30percent change in the system...

 
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Posted: #5

I got the first game done, I am going to post (moneyline only) picks 1 at a time as I complete the stat breakdown....gluck

Orioles -135

 
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Posted: #6

Dodgers +114

Minor been shaky over last 3 starts for Atlanta, Haren's last 3 away starts been respectable

 
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Posted: #7
Rays -120.........Hellickson has done well since being pulled up from Charlotte Class A
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by Capperman79:

Rays -120.........Hellickson has done well since being pulled up from Charlotte Class A

He wasn't called/pulled up.

That was a rehab assignment to ease him back from elbow surgery.


 
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Posted: #9
that is what I meant, pulled from his time at Charlotte
 
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Cardinals -146...........I usually don't take favorites over -140, but Wainright's ERA over past 3 road starts is .66, hell yeah
 
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Posted: #11
What about Doug the thug Fister? This guys a beast!
 
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Posted: #12
Twins +133.......Bats are similar by my stats, and Pino I have almost a 1.5 era advantage.....Twins have gotten me few solid upset wins this yr, going with em
 
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Nat's -143......Again I don't normaly go over -140 for favorites, but yes 'Teralosa' Fister is a beast, a 2.0 ERA over past 3 road starts, compared to Montero being more toward 5, and Nat's have better bats....

 
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Posted: #14
gl
 
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A's -144.........I hate going against the Royals as they have been good to me and anybody else recently, but Guthrie has been shaky on the road, and I feel Lester will break they're streak

 
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Cubs +107............Cubs bats have been bad last 4 home games, but Hendricks has a strong ERA over recent games vs Peralta....taking a chance with Cubbies, I would bet smaller on this game....

 
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Posted: #17
Mariners -118.................Mariners showing superior bats as of late, pitching is similar tonight
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by Capperman79:

A's -144.........I hate going against the Royals as they have been good to me and anybody else recently, but Guthrie has been shaky on the road, and I feel Lester will break they're streak

He's pitching at home today
 
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Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by Capperman79:

A's -144.........I hate going against the Royals as they have been good to me and anybody else recently, but Guthrie has been shaky on the road, and I feel Lester will break they're streak

Just a heads up...Oak is at KC...BOL...
 
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Posted: #20
Vino_78 You are correct, just mis-typed there, I meant I hate picking against the Royals as they have been good to me and anybody else recently, But Guthrie has been shaky AT HOME, and I feel Lester will break they're streak. I went back and the stats I checked were on Guthrie's home stats, accidently mis typed, thanks for pointing that out
 
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Posted: #21
Padres -143...................Bats and Pitching matchup goes in Padres favor here...
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by Capperman79:

A's -144.........I hate going against the Royals as they have been good to me and anybody else recently, but Guthrie has been shaky on the road, and I feel Lester will break they're streak

Guthrie not on road tonight but im with you on a's and every other pick you have too coincidentally
 
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Posted: #23

Yes guys I realized that, and corrected that in a couple posts ago, the stats were figured correctly, I double checked

 

Pirates -118..............Tigers with a slight advantage on bats of recent, but my opinion Ray gets lit up like a xmas tree

 
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Reds -130...............Bats are similar as of late, Kelly had a good outing last game but no faith in tonight as 2 previous starts before that weren't as his team got crushed.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Giants +100.............I would bet small or stay off this, not a lot of contrast here between bats n era, slightly better hitting than the pitching matchup here, so going with Giants
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