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Cardinals Runline Rally!!!

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Legend
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Posted: #76
Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

STL doesn't care,they're not trying to advance runners.

They were told just win by one.

They advanced runners last inning.

 
Legend
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Posted: #77

Inning Over...runline is done.

 
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Posted: #78
Quote Originally Posted by Sparky10191:

They advanced runners last inning.

I mean now to get the insurance run in,he had plenty of chances to steal or advance last batter. 

 
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Posted: #79
Now we have to root for the Stros to tie it and hope for a dinger with a man or two on.

2 runs in the first and nothing since!
 
Captain
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Posted: #80
i know
 
Legend
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Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by KingScorpio:

I mean now to get the insurance run in,he had plenty of chances to steal or advance last batter. 

Yes...2 on in the 7th and they bunted the runners over.

And you really expect Pujols and Holliday to bunt?

And why risk getting caught stealing when you have 2 guys up there who can score you with 1 swing of the bat.

 
MVP
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Posted: #82
1 more
 
MVP
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Posted: #83
Cards win
 
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Posted: #84
Quote Originally Posted by Sparky10191:

Yes...2 on in the 7th and they bunted the runners over.

And you really expect Pujols and Holliday to bunt?

And why risk getting caught stealing when you have 2 guys up there who can score you with 1 swing of the bat.

Can't live by the longball all the time.

Small ball to victory.

 

 
All-Star
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Posted: #85
 
Captain
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Posted: #86
lets get it back tomm SPARK, btw how bout them PHILS
 
Veteran
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Posted: #87
There IS a way to make a -1 RL.

Say the Money line is -190
 
Take 100/190 = 0.53
take the 0.53 and add 1  = 1.53
then take the 1.53 and divide it again..   100/1.53 = 65.39
now 65.39 is what you are going to risk on the ML... what ever the payout of that, you take that and risk it on the RL
and thats how you get the -1 RL
 
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Posted: #88
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:

There IS a way to make a -1 RL.

Say the Money line is -190
 
Take 100/190 = 0.53
take the 0.53 and add 1  = 1.53
then take the 1.53 and divide it again..   100/1.53 = 65.39
now 65.39 is what you are going to risk on the ML... what ever the payout of that, you take that and risk it on the RL
and thats how you get the -1 RL

I'm trying to understand this.

 
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Posted: #89

So -220 STL tomorrow

100/220=.4545

100/145=.6896

Now am i risking the remainer .310 on the RL ????

 
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Posted: #90
St. Louis -220 ML

100/220 = .4545

100/1.45 = 68.96

Risk $68.96 on the -220 ML to win $31.35

Risk $31.35 on the +103 -1.5 RL to win $32.29

If St. Louis wins by 1, you push by winning $31.35 on the ML but losing $31.35 on the -1.5 RL.

If St. Louis wins by two or more, you win $63.64 on a $100 risk which is like a ML -158.
 
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Posted: #91
Basically, whatever you would win on the ML, you risk that on the RL -1.5 and if your team wins by 1 you push and if your team wins by 2 or more you will win more than the ML payout but a little less than the RL -1.5 payout. Of course, you can lose both, but the above formula reduces the amount you would have bet on the ML -220 and puts some on the RL -1.5.

GL
 
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Posted: #92
The division formula is to split the $100 you would have bet on the ML -220 so that your risk is still $100.

But if you don't mind risking more, then just risk $100 on the ML and whatever that yields, risk that on the RL -1.5. That will still push a one run game, but will increase your loss if your team loses the game, but also increase your win if your team wins by two or more.
 
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Posted: #93
Thanks  
 
Prospect
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Posted: #94
Looks like you would only do this on a game that you are VERY certain the favorite will win, right?
 
 
Veteran
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Posted: #95
Quote Originally Posted by nattyboh:

Looks like you would only do this on a game that you are VERY certain the favorite will win, right?

If you take your $100 stake and split it between the ML and RL as indicated above, you won't lose any more than you would by just taking the ML should they lose.

Sure you can risk less and win more by just taking the -1.5 RL, but we see how many games end up by one run - especially home teams. St. Louis, Cubbies and Colorado tonight. Maybe LAD.

But it sure is attractive to get the favored team and better pitcher, the home crowd AND some + juice. But that -1.5 is the great equalizer. 

I'd like to find a trend or formula for picking the best RLs.
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