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CHASE THE DOG/TOTAL VOL 45 (series start 9/13-9/14)

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Posted: #151
Rockies/Padres over
 
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Posted: #152
I agree with KC, they blew the game last night. But maybe first 5...
 
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Posted: #153
Padres were scoring early, I'm taking over 4 first 5. BOl
 
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Posted: #154
My G3 switch is Rox TT ov3.5...


I Tweeted my CFB plays

N.Illinois
Pitt
Arkansas
Stanford
 
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Posted: #155
P.S. I hate the Phillies...too unpredictable
 
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Posted: #156
I have M's/Rangers as an Over today and an Under tmrw
 
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Posted: #157
Is that the switch for the Phils under ?
 
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Posted: #158
McShady,

Based on McTrendz, 

MARINERS have had at least one game stay UNDER the posted total in a series...43-1
and,
RANGERS have had at least one game stay UNDER the posted total in a series...43-1

Yesterday game went over.  Isn't it better to chase game 2 under.  If game 2 lost then chase game 3 under?


 
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Posted: #159
thx shady, angle out

 
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Posted: #160

LET'S GET TODAY BOY'S

PENN ST. WINS TODAY TOO, PLAY ML 

 
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Posted: #161

I know it is in the wrong forum, but search out NJPORKY halftime system: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101417670&page=1

Pretty interesting...

 
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Posted: #162
Good stuff Moth...thanks for sharing.
 
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Posted: #163

In a nutshell, take last Thursday game.

Take the o/u line of 51. Subtract the total half time score (13-0) leaving 38. From that take the halftime line of 24.  leaving 14. if it is over 10, then you take the under to continue in the second half. I think the theory is that the public believes the bookies are smart and that the original 51 was right, so why not take over 24 since it should be 38. But it doesn't normally turn out that was. The under covered the 2nd half total with 20. There is much more to it...

 
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Posted: #164
pretty quiet around these parts
 
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Posted: #165
time to vent and i guess why chases work. most of my bets i lost yesterday are lookin' real good today. Kc, KC under, Seattle, but I didn't chase them. UURRGGHH!
 
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Posted: #166
Damn phillies...should have stayed with the under...rox aint lookin good, yesterday was their day to hit.
 
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Posted: #167
mcshady nailed it, phillies too unpredicatble, glad i didnt go big on them and took a light hit on them, i suggest people to not bet on them the rest of the way
 
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Posted: #168
momentum in this inning rockies...get 2 more
 
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Posted: #169
I like Toronto to avoid sweep at home.

Saturday I had SD-1.5 lost and KC won. Thx McShady for Texas over!

My NCAA, E Car and Florida won. BGreen lost.

McShady, you will bounce back! Several McTrendz for Sunday as I see them late tonite! So far I see Texas under X2, SF over and Minn (revenge scenario). All the other revenge this Vol 45 have won!

If I've missed something please correct me when you update your sheet!

Many more winners to come as we close out Baltimore tomorrow.  Randy Wolf is 2-0 with O's, but I can't remember if he was the one that got put on waivers/released by Milw. Maybe someone can fill me in.

Let's have a great Sunday!

Semper, if you are NOT on Wash let us know!

This thread is all about Semper and McShady. The rest of us are along for the ride and the positive vibe is wonderful! So many other threads have nothing but sniping and trash talk.

We are VERY lucky to have found this thread and hopefully keep it going with Semper and Shady's help.

If Dallas is so good, whey are they only -3 at Seattle with a rookie QB?

Unrelated to that, I am going to release 2 teams with 4 angles (Tampa and Jets). Also 3 teams with 3 angles (KC, Cle and Det).
These are all NFL plays.  I have 2 totals based on 2 angles NO over and Hou over.

Just posting them early so you can find best line if you like.

NOTE. I always buy the 1/2 point at 3, 7, 10 and 14 in NFL whichever way I am bettingI  If a game is -3 and it pushes, I win at -2.5. If the game finishes push at +3, I will have +3.5, etc.
 
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Posted: #170
Note, I went 7-4 with my angle plays last week.
 
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Posted: #171
Quote Originally Posted by Moth61:

In a nutshell, take last Thursday game.

Take the o/u line of 51. Subtract the total half time score (13-0) leaving 38. From that take the halftime line of 24.  leaving 14. if it is over 10, then you take the under to continue in the second half. I think the theory is that the public believes the bookies are smart and that the original 51 was right, so why not take over 24 since it should be 38. But it doesn't normally turn out that was. The under covered the 2nd half total with 20. There is much more to it...


I know this formula well and use it when I LiveBet a game. The principle was explained to me a couple seasons ago by a fellow professor that figured out how the 2H lines are computer generated using a probability formula that incorporates closin line and result differential. GL if you use it 
 
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Posted: #172
Trendz In Play
Reds F5
Giants OVER
Mariners UNDER
Rangers UNDER
 
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Posted: #173
Quote Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

I like Toronto to avoid sweep at home.

Saturday I had SD-1.5 lost and KC won. Thx McShady for Texas over!

My NCAA, E Car and Florida won. BGreen lost.

McShady, you will bounce back! Several McTrendz for Sunday as I see them late tonite! So far I see Texas under X2, SF over and Minn (revenge scenario). All the other revenge this Vol 45 have won!

If I've missed something please correct me when you update your sheet!

Many more winners to come as we close out Baltimore tomorrow.  Randy Wolf is 2-0 with O's, but I can't remember if he was the one that got put on waivers/released by Milw. Maybe someone can fill me in.

Let's have a great Sunday!

Semper, if you are NOT on Wash let us know!

This thread is all about Semper and McShady. The rest of us are along for the ride and the positive vibe is wonderful! So many other threads have nothing but sniping and trash talk.

We are VERY lucky to have found this thread and hopefully keep it going with Semper and Shady's help.

If Dallas is so good, whey are they only -3 at Seattle with a rookie QB?

Unrelated to that, I am going to release 2 teams with 4 angles (Tampa and Jets). Also 3 teams with 3 angles (KC, Cle and Det).
These are all NFL plays.  I have 2 totals based on 2 angles NO over and Hou over.

Just posting them early so you can find best line if you like.

NOTE. I always buy the 1/2 point at 3, 7, 10 and 14 in NFL whichever way I am bettingI  If a game is -3 and it pushes, I win at -2.5. If the game finishes push at +3, I will have +3.5, etc.

Angle,

thank you for leading this thread and keep us rolling with McShady, Semper MLB plays. 
I'm new to NFL, however, may I aks you to explain what do you mean under "angles" and are you saying NO an HOU TT in todays NFL Overs or I shall read it as game totals?

thank you in advance for clearing this out for me
 
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Posted: #174

GOOD MORNING FELLAS!  WHO WAS WITH ME ON PENN. ST. YESTERDAY?   

SEMPER, DO WE CHASE THE O'S TODAY OR ABORT THE MISSION?  CAN WE TRUST WOLF TO GET IT DONE? HOW ABOUT THE NAT'S?

THANKS FOR THE PICKS MCSHADY, I AM WITH YOU ON THESE 

 
 
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Posted: #175
The Kings of the Picks.....

What are the odds of a team that's going to be swept or is doing the sweeping?  When faced with this scenario, how do they generally
work out, does the sweeper sweep or does the sweepee' get swept,
if possible the odds, I know it is different because of the WCard..
Thank you for your help  
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