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CHASE THE DOG...VOL 49 (series 9/27 and 9/28)

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Posted: #176
I may have single play on Pirates, does Cincy have anything to play for?
 
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Posted: #177
Im not playing any sides. I cant make a case for most of them this time of year. 
 
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Posted: #178
[Quote: Originally Posted by Angle4U999] I may have single play on Pirates, does Cincy have anything to play for?
[/Quote

Homefield Adv
 
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Posted: #179
Angle-
I've been playing your NCAAF parlay system as my local takes both sides.  I found that 44-74% range is +14 Units this year (15-5 for games, so 15-20 on bets).  I've played it the last 2 weeks and it's 6-3 for 3.6 units.   At that range, it keeps # bets low and remains profitable...which is great for me otherwise I'd be getting hammered in NCAAF!

 
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Posted: #180
BTW. I increased my unit size from $250 to $300. Thats the amt I will start with next April. 
 
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Posted: #181
That's what I was was afraid of. Thanks shady.

Heard anything from Semper?
 
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Posted: #182
I got a huge bet on brewers ML tonight. Juicy Fruit!

and yes I will be chasing if they happen to lose. If a miracle happens and brewers get swept at home by the astros my bankroll will be zero, and pigs (or dogs rather) will fly.



 
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Posted: #183
Quote Originally Posted by schiman:

Angle-
I've been playing your NCAAF parlay system as my local takes both sides.  I found that 44-74% range is +14 Units this year (15-5 for games, so 15-20 on bets).  I've played it the last 2 weeks and it's 6-3 for 3.6 units.   At that range, it keeps # bets low and remains profitable...which is great for me otherwise I'd be getting hammered in NCAAF!



Thanks Schiman! I didnt take the time to track the %, but thanks for doing it and I'm glad the system is working for you! This will narrow my plays and hopefully get me back on track.

The game tonite is around 53%.

Are u seeing more dog/unders or fave/overs or have u tracked?

I don't understand your record numbers. There are 2 parlays for each game, and each win pays 2.6 units and each loss is 1 unit. 6 wins and 3 losses is only 9 parlays and that's an odd number as the number of plays is always an even number.
 
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Posted: #184
Rice.. I hope to roll like u someday. Ur like a JUICED up RockStar!

 
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Posted: #185
McShady, I'm no longer a rookie!








<<<<<<<<<<<<
 
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Posted: #186
Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

Rice.. I hope to roll like u someday. Ur like a JUICED up RockStar!



haha. I don't have a problem chasing favs but my units are fraction to yours. But in this case I will be going big or going home for the brewers chase.
 
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Posted: #187
Quote Originally Posted by Angle4U999:

McShady, I'm no longer a rookie!


I send you my sheep, out into the world amongst the wolves....
 
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Posted: #188
Quote Originally Posted by Riceboi:

I got a huge bet on brewers ML tonight. Juicy Fruit!

and yes I will be chasing if they happen to lose. If a miracle happens and brewers get swept at home by the astros my bankroll will be zero, and pigs (or dogs rather) will fly.




The Astros have not won an away game since Sept. 9, and they are 7-27 away since the All-Star break. Milwaukee has covered the Run Line in their last 12 wins, and they have their best pitcher on the mound. The Brewers have won Gallardo's last 11 starts, covering the Run Line in 9 of those wins.
 
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Posted: #189
Quote Originally Posted by kinggeorge27:


The Astros have not won an away game since Sept. 9, and they are 7-27 away since the All-Star break. Milwaukee has covered the Run Line in their last 12 wins, and they have their best pitcher on the mound. The Brewers have won Gallardo's last 11 starts, covering the Run Line in 9 of those wins.


oh i know trust me, but this is MLB and I've seen frighting things happen.
 
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Posted: #190
Angle -
right about 50/50 for Dogs/Favs/Overs/Unders....I tried to work the numbers to see if it's better playing heavier on one side over another and I can't find anything.  I'm also tracking every college game on my local book (not all games are offered) for the season that are > 25%.  After a full year of data, I'll analyze the numbers some more.  I think there is a direction to bet on games > 74%, just not enough of a sampling yet.

As for my numbers.  I track a per game outcome of  -2, 0, or +1.6.  Of course in reality I'm putting in 2 bets.  But for me it helps to just track the games on system plays.

so 6*1.6 - 3*2.0 = 10.6-6.0 = 4.6   (total of 18 bets)

Hope that makes sense.
 
 
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Posted: #191
Thanks Shiman, angle out. GL everyone!
 
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Posted: #192

I'm with you Bike I chased them last nite and chasing again, Sox look wore out plus Rays playing well who knows they may take 3 of 4.

Good luck   

 
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Posted: #193
Hey guys. Semper done for the season?
 
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Posted: #194
Semper usually takes a week off after a loss. He will be back next wkd. For the PLAYOFFS! We need his pitcher breakdowns
 
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Posted: #195

With all the pressure on these teams in the pennant race I wont chase the under. Look what happened to SEA/LAA chase. 5 errors! That was as close to a lock as just about any other chase and the shit hit the fan! Angels pitching has been bad at times just like most teams.

Kershaw was reported to have a sore hip and now he is supposedly fine.  Dodger Stadium weather today-HOT! Sat-HOTTER! Sun- can you say BLISTERING!!! HR's are not conducive to unders!

 
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Posted: #196
Good luck to all..Thanks for all the info...
 
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Posted: #197

I would never come back if I followed that policy.

BOL everyone

 
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Posted: #198
Proceed with caution this time of the year when chasing against Houston Riceboi. I have lost huge money betting against them in Sept. 
 
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Posted: #199
gbpackman - high of 86 today in LA, predicted high of 84 tomorrow...and will be in the 60s throughout tonight's game. I hope this is helpful.
 
 
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Posted: #200
Quote Originally Posted by PTOTOUR:

Proceed with caution this time of the year when chasing against Houston Riceboi. I have lost huge money betting against them in Sept. 


They've never swept anyone in sept. nor anyone on the road for that matter. Not sure what you're talking about here.
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