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CHASE THE DOG...VOL.46

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Posted: #26

MY TOTAL OF THE MONTH.......McSHADY IS THE TOTAL KING BUT I LOVE THE STULTS/KENNEDY GAME UNDER 9.5 TONIGHT.  

BOTH HAVE HAD GREAT OBA AND WHIP TOTALS IN THE LAST 30 DAYS AND I HAVE THIS GAME AT 6.5.  iA 3 RUN DELTA IS HUGE...GOOD LUCK BOYS!I 

 
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Posted: #27
McShsy,
Should we play houston and colo +1.5 RL?
 
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Posted: #28
GOOD LUCK BOYS 
 
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Posted: #29
Thanks for clearing that up McShady . Now lets get some winners guys .
 
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Posted: #30

What were mcshady final plays? Balt under

 
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Posted: #31
I picked over pit, didn't know about the winds.
If you guys really like that line as much as I do, I encourage score in the first, yes.
+115 is a lot better than -120

Bol all.
 
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Posted: #32
Quote Originally Posted by semperfi19:

MY TOTAL OF THE MONTH.......McSHADY IS THE TOTAL KING BUT I LOVE THE STULTS/KENNEDY GAME UNDER 9.5 TONIGHT.  

BOTH HAVE HAD GREAT OBA AND WHIP TOTALS IN THE LAST 30 DAYS AND I HAVE THIS GAME AT 6.5.  iA 3 RUN DELTA IS HUGE...GOOD LUCK BOYS!I 


No Bookie is safe when this guy is on duty! Great call. I played it based on starters but all totals cashed!
 
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Posted: #33
GREAT NIGHT SHADY!!!!   I hammered the O's Under, the SF over,  with the DBacks under in a RR parlay plus played them all straight for a hundo each.  I love it when my winning night has a comma in it!!!!   Thanks Bro!!  Back to work on my chases now.     
 
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Posted: #34
The wizards on they job as usual, good stuff semper and mcshady
 
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Posted: #35
MARLINS ,TWINS WINNERS LAST NIGHT.  ROYALS AND PADS IN GAME 2 TODAY.....DON'T KNOW IF I WILL CONTINUE METS CHASE.....WILL ADVISE. 
 
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Posted: #36
STAYING WITH THE A's LEAN FOR GAME 2
 
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Posted: #37
SEMPER.. Im glad you brought up the DBACKS total last night. I was gonna lay a big # on AZ -1 and took ur total instead
 
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Posted: #38

My pleasure my man.   I never really looked at totals until recently.  So I just started looking at my pitching totals vs the Vegas Line and then looking for a Delta gretaer or equal to 2.   

Last night's plays where SF Over , I had a 9 on that and it was a posted 7 . Thhen the D-Backs I had at 6.5.   All other games where within 1.5.   I had the O's/M's at 6.5, but I played it because you are the totals KING!!!.  

 
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Posted: #39
Cant rem who broke down the GIANTS total, but nice work. Keep doing it...
 
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Posted: #40
I know what you mean. Last year I kept using the # to pick a DOG win, when it just took some tweeking to pull some totals. Its nice to have options than force a play.

For anyone that hasnt been around. Sempers's data is heavily weighted on PITCHERS. And my data is heavily weighted on HITTERS. Together we try and find they best mismatches out there.
 
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Posted: #41
My guy does not take F5 plays but it would probably be a better bet since I base 95% of all my numbers on the starters. It would take the bullpen guess work out of the equation.   Right now I just add a flat  2.5 to 3.5 to every game depending on the bullpen or location.    
 
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Posted: #42

mjnorman..my pitching formula agrres with you, only fly in the ointment is that the POT SMOKER has posted .229 OBA in the last 30 games, however his OBA is still high at 1.40 so he is still putting guys on base.   Francis is giving up a hit to 1 out of every 3 batters at a .333 clip.   He is awful.

IT WAS MJNORMAN..who broke it down for us, then I just went to work from there.  Thanks MJ

 
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Posted: #43
Im trying to find a way to play these double headers today
 
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Posted: #44
Quote Originally Posted by McShady:

Im trying to find a way to play these double headers today

meaning. Im still waiting on line for both G1's
 
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Posted: #45
Thanks all for the picks and insight. First year betting MLB with much losing and learning, but finally starting to put some streaks together.

Went SF/COL O7 (2nd game chase) and SF TT over 4 (thanks McShady and Semper)
SD/ARI U 9.5
BAL/SEA U 7

MIL 1H and SF TT O4 Parlay
MIL / COL O 7 / SD U 9.5 Parlay

All winners yesterday for +39.4 units ($10/unit), YTD all sports mostly MLB down a lot.

BOL everyone.
 
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Posted: #46

Thanks Semper and McShady.

 Reds -1.5 hit yesterday. So done there. I like the Padres to still get one win and same for the Rangers. Would love your insight.

Kershaw cleared to pitch. Has a nerve problem in his hip when he throws. Can't be very effective.

Are the Dodgers ready to throw in the towel?

 
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Posted: #47
Line finally out:
984
1Nationals(Washington)Zimme...
-152-1.5 (+145)u8 (-115)
 
954
2Nationals(Washington)Lannan -112-1.5 (+175)
u8 (-115
 
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Posted: #48
i think im alone chasing astros on a road trip following a surprising series win over contending philly. 

missing mcshady and semper gem regularly but props to you guys for consistently providing winners. good job 
 
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Posted: #49
Nice job Semper and McShady! Wish I would have gotten Semper's total of the month. I already had it at 2 units because I had found it at multiple sources but would have gone more knowing Semper was on it! Parlayed with Milw so that was good.

The total of the day won with SD/Ariz under 9.5 and the record as posted here is 25-19-1, 7-15-1 and 2-0.

Today's total is Col/SF under 7. Play or fade!

Glad everyone has gotten back together now and hopefully on the same thread! I should have realized many people are probably using phones or tablets instead of PC's and don't copy and paste the links and save as a browser bookmark to access covers the way I do. I was the only one left in the old thread! Weird. Live and learn for me!

 
 
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Posted: #50

SEMPER TODAY:

PADRES, ROYALS GAME 2.   Staying with A's Lean as well.

PADS   +115

A's +145  with Anderson!  I know they face Verly but that is a nice dog.  Possible Under play here as well.

ROYALS   +140

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