@jesron1269 Damn Jerson..u gotta be a degenerate to be playing College Baseball...Do u know anything about these teams?
Yes I have causally followed them all season so that I could be in a position to play the College World Series. I explained why this time of the year is important to me. Not saying I am going to give lot of "locks" but I am saying my picks will be well researched, reasoned and not a tail for better or worse. BOL!
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Quote Originally Posted by davemsh:
@jesron1269 Damn Jerson..u gotta be a degenerate to be playing College Baseball...Do u know anything about these teams?
Yes I have causally followed them all season so that I could be in a position to play the College World Series. I explained why this time of the year is important to me. Not saying I am going to give lot of "locks" but I am saying my picks will be well researched, reasoned and not a tail for better or worse. BOL!
Matthews is very good - but he is pitching against Rhett Lowder (Wake) who went 14-0 in 16 starts this year with a 1.77 era with 125Ks in 101 innings pitched. Hes the next best pitcher in the tourney next to Skenes from LSU. Safe bet to parlay Wake and LSU game 1 since both teams can rake and are starting two future MLB starters. Stanford wont score enough for Wake.
I like TCU a lot game 1 too. Im going to parlay TCU, Wake, and LSU all -1.5 while taking those 3 plays all straight as well.
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@jesron1269
Matthews is very good - but he is pitching against Rhett Lowder (Wake) who went 14-0 in 16 starts this year with a 1.77 era with 125Ks in 101 innings pitched. Hes the next best pitcher in the tourney next to Skenes from LSU. Safe bet to parlay Wake and LSU game 1 since both teams can rake and are starting two future MLB starters. Stanford wont score enough for Wake.
I like TCU a lot game 1 too. Im going to parlay TCU, Wake, and LSU all -1.5 while taking those 3 plays all straight as well.
This is a case in which I think if you like TCU you play the run line at +105 or if you like Oral Roberts you play the ML at +140. No sense in playing the +1.5 because TCU wins big or Oral Roberts wins outright. From what I can tell between these two.
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This is a case in which I think if you like TCU you play the run line at +105 or if you like Oral Roberts you play the ML at +140. No sense in playing the +1.5 because TCU wins big or Oral Roberts wins outright. From what I can tell between these two.
Neither team has superior starting pitching. Maybe 1-2 guys max they rely on. Even those guys aren't true top prospects. All of them look like they been roughed up against top competition. So the over 12.5 looks very much in play. I just hate playing an over in the 1st game of the CWS as it seems everyone is a little tight. They loosen up as the games go on.
So my lean is still the same I had coming in Oral Roberts +140 for a few hundred and see how it goes. I also played the +2500 future for Oral Roberts. What do you all see? Plan to bet on?
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Neither team has superior starting pitching. Maybe 1-2 guys max they rely on. Even those guys aren't true top prospects. All of them look like they been roughed up against top competition. So the over 12.5 looks very much in play. I just hate playing an over in the 1st game of the CWS as it seems everyone is a little tight. They loosen up as the games go on.
So my lean is still the same I had coming in Oral Roberts +140 for a few hundred and see how it goes. I also played the +2500 future for Oral Roberts. What do you all see? Plan to bet on?
If it matters Oral Roberts has historically dominated the matchup with TCU but the last ten games TCU is 8-2 SU. Also a decent role player (not a starter and not a huge impact player) transfered from TCU to Oral Roberts before the start of the season. Not sure if that angle means anything to anyone. It doesn't to me. BOL!
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If it matters Oral Roberts has historically dominated the matchup with TCU but the last ten games TCU is 8-2 SU. Also a decent role player (not a starter and not a huge impact player) transfered from TCU to Oral Roberts before the start of the season. Not sure if that angle means anything to anyone. It doesn't to me. BOL!
Thanks much for this thread jesron! I haven't followed college bases closely but plan on following the CWS and maybe reach a comfort level enough to bet. I thought I read, fwiw, the wind was blowing in in Omaha... Not sure how much this does or doesn't factor in on today's possible over/under plays.
Again thanks for the posts and information! BOL
Champion of gambling mediocrity... this is one heck of a long marathon!
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@jesron1269
Thanks much for this thread jesron! I haven't followed college bases closely but plan on following the CWS and maybe reach a comfort level enough to bet. I thought I read, fwiw, the wind was blowing in in Omaha... Not sure how much this does or doesn't factor in on today's possible over/under plays.
@jesron1269 Thanks much for this thread jesron! I haven't followed college bases closely but plan on following the CWS and maybe reach a comfort level enough to bet. I thought I read, fwiw, the wind was blowing in in Omaha... Not sure how much this does or doesn't factor in on today's possible over/under plays. Again thanks for the posts and information! BOL
I have a friend that is at the park right now and he confirms indeed the wind is blowing in but at that stadium (and the Midwest in general) that can change in a minute. As mentioned by David in another thread this stadium is large and spacious so fly ball pitchers pitching into a head wind in this big stadium will be good at the moment.
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Quote Originally Posted by svac:
@jesron1269 Thanks much for this thread jesron! I haven't followed college bases closely but plan on following the CWS and maybe reach a comfort level enough to bet. I thought I read, fwiw, the wind was blowing in in Omaha... Not sure how much this does or doesn't factor in on today's possible over/under plays. Again thanks for the posts and information! BOL
I have a friend that is at the park right now and he confirms indeed the wind is blowing in but at that stadium (and the Midwest in general) that can change in a minute. As mentioned by David in another thread this stadium is large and spacious so fly ball pitchers pitching into a head wind in this big stadium will be good at the moment.
At the moment, I’m playing oral Roberts +145 (I think that’s the number I got) as well as Virginia +105.
take a look at how tcu won their regionals and super regionals. They had exceptional hitting - and hit a tremendous number of home runs - even from players who hadn’t hit but 1 or 2 hr all season long. I’m of the opinion that will not happen at td ameritrade. The park is massive. 335 in the corners and 405 to center field. They’ll have to “earn” everything against the best defensive team in the country.
similar perspective on uva and Florida - gators took the super regional with the long ball and didn’t manufacture runs. Virginia is not a big home run hitting team and manufactures the majority of their runs. I feel like this park plays in favor of the hoos.
I think wake is going to route Stanford - merely because I think offensively they are the best team in the world series - lsu second to them. I’ll play the run line for wise forest here.
lastly, I’ll be playing Tennessee +1.5 vs LSU (I expect lsu will still make it to the semi finals and play wake forest; however, something tells me skenes will be held for the game against wake forest). If no skenes, they think the lsu vs tennessee is a coin flip The LSU pitching staff has been pedestrian this season / their bullpen has blown so many games. Offensively, LSU is loaded but constantly having to outscore opponents eventually catches up to you. I think the value for Tennessee +1.5 at -120 has the best value in all games on the board the next two days.
fwiw: my semi-finals I have Florida vs Virginia (gators out of the losers bracket) and wake and lsu (lsu from the losers bracket) Wake Forest vs Virginia in the finals. Best of luck to everyone!
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At the moment, I’m playing oral Roberts +145 (I think that’s the number I got) as well as Virginia +105.
take a look at how tcu won their regionals and super regionals. They had exceptional hitting - and hit a tremendous number of home runs - even from players who hadn’t hit but 1 or 2 hr all season long. I’m of the opinion that will not happen at td ameritrade. The park is massive. 335 in the corners and 405 to center field. They’ll have to “earn” everything against the best defensive team in the country.
similar perspective on uva and Florida - gators took the super regional with the long ball and didn’t manufacture runs. Virginia is not a big home run hitting team and manufactures the majority of their runs. I feel like this park plays in favor of the hoos.
I think wake is going to route Stanford - merely because I think offensively they are the best team in the world series - lsu second to them. I’ll play the run line for wise forest here.
lastly, I’ll be playing Tennessee +1.5 vs LSU (I expect lsu will still make it to the semi finals and play wake forest; however, something tells me skenes will be held for the game against wake forest). If no skenes, they think the lsu vs tennessee is a coin flip The LSU pitching staff has been pedestrian this season / their bullpen has blown so many games. Offensively, LSU is loaded but constantly having to outscore opponents eventually catches up to you. I think the value for Tennessee +1.5 at -120 has the best value in all games on the board the next two days.
fwiw: my semi-finals I have Florida vs Virginia (gators out of the losers bracket) and wake and lsu (lsu from the losers bracket) Wake Forest vs Virginia in the finals. Best of luck to everyone!
At the moment, I’m playing oral Roberts +145 (I think that’s the number I got) as well as Virginia +105. take a look at how tcu won their regionals and super regionals. They had exceptional hitting - and hit a tremendous number of home runs - even from players who hadn’t hit but 1 or 2 hr all season long. I’m of the opinion that will not happen at td ameritrade. The park is massive. 335 in the corners and 405 to center field. They’ll have to “earn” everything against the best defensive team in the country. similar perspective on uva and Florida - gators took the super regional with the long ball and didn’t manufacture runs. Virginia is not a big home run hitting team and manufactures the majority of their runs. I feel like this park plays in favor of the hoos. I think wake is going to route Stanford - merely because I think offensively they are the best team in the world series - lsu second to them. I’ll play the run line for wise forest here. lastly, I’ll be playing Tennessee +1.5 vs LSU (I expect lsu will still make it to the semi finals and play wake forest; however, something tells me skenes will be held for the game against wake forest). If no skenes, they think the lsu vs tennessee is a coin flip The LSU pitching staff has been pedestrian this season / their bullpen has blown so many games. Offensively, LSU is loaded but constantly having to outscore opponents eventually catches up to you. I think the value for Tennessee +1.5 at -120 has the best value in all games on the board the next two days. fwiw: my semi-finals I have Florida vs Virginia (gators out of the losers bracket) and wake and lsu (lsu from the losers bracket) Wake Forest vs Virginia in the finals. Best of luck to everyone!
Great break down David. Lets see how it shakes out. You have any future bets or just playing it game by game?
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Quote Originally Posted by David97824:
At the moment, I’m playing oral Roberts +145 (I think that’s the number I got) as well as Virginia +105. take a look at how tcu won their regionals and super regionals. They had exceptional hitting - and hit a tremendous number of home runs - even from players who hadn’t hit but 1 or 2 hr all season long. I’m of the opinion that will not happen at td ameritrade. The park is massive. 335 in the corners and 405 to center field. They’ll have to “earn” everything against the best defensive team in the country. similar perspective on uva and Florida - gators took the super regional with the long ball and didn’t manufacture runs. Virginia is not a big home run hitting team and manufactures the majority of their runs. I feel like this park plays in favor of the hoos. I think wake is going to route Stanford - merely because I think offensively they are the best team in the world series - lsu second to them. I’ll play the run line for wise forest here. lastly, I’ll be playing Tennessee +1.5 vs LSU (I expect lsu will still make it to the semi finals and play wake forest; however, something tells me skenes will be held for the game against wake forest). If no skenes, they think the lsu vs tennessee is a coin flip The LSU pitching staff has been pedestrian this season / their bullpen has blown so many games. Offensively, LSU is loaded but constantly having to outscore opponents eventually catches up to you. I think the value for Tennessee +1.5 at -120 has the best value in all games on the board the next two days. fwiw: my semi-finals I have Florida vs Virginia (gators out of the losers bracket) and wake and lsu (lsu from the losers bracket) Wake Forest vs Virginia in the finals. Best of luck to everyone!
Great break down David. Lets see how it shakes out. You have any future bets or just playing it game by game?
Taking TCU -1.5 today. They’ve blessed me the whole way so I’ll continue to ride them. BOL JR
Well like I said if OR doesn't win I see TCU covering the RL easily so good play. Kinda insane to lay -180 in this spot but they can win too. So we will see.
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Quote Originally Posted by hahasonny:
Taking TCU -1.5 today. They’ve blessed me the whole way so I’ll continue to ride them. BOL JR
Well like I said if OR doesn't win I see TCU covering the RL easily so good play. Kinda insane to lay -180 in this spot but they can win too. So we will see.
ORU defense looking stout and the TCU bats look dead. They had one nice swing in the first inning - would’ve been out in most parks but not at ameritrade. ORU outhitting TCU 4-1 through 3 innings. That said, ORU playing with fire falling behind in the count to every hitter.
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ORU defense looking stout and the TCU bats look dead. They had one nice swing in the first inning - would’ve been out in most parks but not at ameritrade. ORU outhitting TCU 4-1 through 3 innings. That said, ORU playing with fire falling behind in the count to every hitter.
Not sure how comfortable I am with the lead off double. The dude can’t ever get ahead in the count. He’s falling behind and then put balls over the middle of the plate. Here’s to hoping first in relief can get ahead and keep them off balance… their bats have been pretty silent most of the game.
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@jesron1269
Not sure how comfortable I am with the lead off double. The dude can’t ever get ahead in the count. He’s falling behind and then put balls over the middle of the plate. Here’s to hoping first in relief can get ahead and keep them off balance… their bats have been pretty silent most of the game.
They’ve had chances. They’ve had runners in scoring position multiple times. Just not getting the big hits. End of day, they’ve outplayed TCU thus far. Those “hot” tcu bats go cold when you’re playing in a massive ball park.
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@Glccskippy
They’ve had chances. They’ve had runners in scoring position multiple times. Just not getting the big hits. End of day, they’ve outplayed TCU thus far. Those “hot” tcu bats go cold when you’re playing in a massive ball park.
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