@chicubs09
"In your opinion who's a good follow right now?"
_____________________
No one....everyone's hit regression since the end of June to now. There are users that will be hot, but they're playing the full slate of daily games, and then will regress
I would probably target some good MLB team experts who have 55 wins on sides (and above) with their respective teams.
Example: Team Expert for Colorado, currently ranked 12th: Jims Flying Eagles
Their record on sides for Colorado is 68 - 32, which, let's face it...is pretty damn good up until this point of the season (68%).
I'd stay away from the Chi-Sox experts, because the juice is too damn high.
Another example: Team Expert for Milwaukee, currently ranked 4th is Ajay411, and their record for sides with Milwaukee is 63 - 32 which is a 66% clip.
The problem with these users is that they could go on a 4 game losing streak at any time, which is expected....but to hit above 65% for the year on sides with ONE team, and if you manage your bankroll, you could blindly tail these users as they have shown some luck? / insight into these specific teams.
This is not a foolproof plan, but I'm tracking and seeing how these experts do over the season and will gather more data next season, which will give me 3 season's worth of data on these team experts to see if there are any patterns.
My MLB regression theory was doing well until the end of June (I was in 12th place overall) when the majority of Interleague started, and then the whole leaderboard got destroyed for about 2 weeks, except for DeaconBlues, because they weren't putting in more than 3 - 4 picks daily.
I'm currently using another regression system, and will be tracking it for the whole of August. I'm trying to claw back to 10,000 Units in the contest over the next week and see how I go from there.
It's a real grind, MLB.
...
Hot Forum Topics
