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do you see what's i am seeing ?

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Posted: #76
I love this thread. I picture a rainman like 15 year old pounding away at his keyboard.
 
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Posted: #77
It reads like eargasm is counting on a daily regression to the mean. Unfortunately, each game is an independent event and is not tied to the previous day's games.
 
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Posted: #78
It reads like eargasm is counting on a daily regression to the mean. Unfortunately, each game is an independent event and is not tied to the previous day's games.
 
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Posted: #79
Ya this is not even a system, there is no set amount of dogs that have to win today... if all the favorites win in the morning, it's not like the favorites who play night games will say, shit lets tank this, no dogs have won today.  If you played this out for a larger sample size lets say for the entire season, no doubt you would lose a ton of money.  I'd quit this while you are ahead if the Jays win.
 
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Posted: #80
Houston, we have a problem!
 
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Posted: #81
Quote Originally Posted by winnerwinner99:

its blue jays....u type in broken english

who cares, I bet my check today is bigger than your check.  just joking my friend. I spend at  least  8 hours per day do in number crunching and others to come up the prediction. No time for english lesson. I only just got to know about baseball 3 weeks ago from a friend of mine. I didn't even know how the baseball rules or even how to bet, Don't drive with me blindly, drive with your wife and bet her too
 
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Posted: #82
Quote Originally Posted by eargasm:


who cares, I bet my check today is bigger than your check.  just joking my friend. I spend at  least  8 hours per day do in number crunching and others to come up the prediction. No time for english lesson. I only just got to know about baseball 3 weeks ago from a friend of mine. I didn't even know how the baseball rules or even how to bet, Don't drive with me blindly, drive with your wife and bet her too

Best advice I have ever read on this site!
 
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Posted: #83
Quote Originally Posted by txtechpika:

Ya this is not even a system, there is no set amount of dogs that have to win today... if all the favorites win in the morning, it's not like the favorites who play night games will say, shit lets tank this, no dogs have won today.  If you played this out for a larger sample size lets say for the entire season, no doubt you would lose a ton of money.  I'd quit this while you are ahead if the Jays win.

U should the previous threads. The system is not working all the time. The  window open for certain amount of time to take advantage. How long u may ask , maybe it last for few weeks.
I rather take a week of winning than the whole season maybe make some money or loose your ass like most people. Some people see ghost, some see just a bunch of number, but  I see money.
 
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Posted: #84
I don't believe this stuff that vegas oddmakers are some kind supergenius or masters of statistics and games. They make the odds based on who has the better players, potential, better record etc. All things that are available to us. They make money on the majority of the public who just blindly bet the big favs and lay on the big juice all the time and pay a high price and no nothing about money managment. If most of the players would play like the top cappers in this forums, things would be different.
 
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Posted: #85
Quote Originally Posted by BetCityOG:

I don't believe this stuff that vegas oddmakers are some kind supergenius or masters of statistics and games. They make the odds based on who has the better players, potential, better record etc. All things that are available to us. They make money on the majority of the public who just blindly bet the big favs and lay on the big juice all the time and pay a high price and no nothing about money managment. If most of the players would play like the top cappers in this forums, things would be different.


I just can't wrap my head around this thought process.  The people who make the odds are doing it for a multi-BILLION dollar industry.  If you don't think they'd chip off a few million dollars to hire the brightest statisticians, psychologists, athletic scouts, algorithm writers, and also use their pull to gain access to professional teams that we could only dream about, I think you're massively underestimating them.
 
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Posted: #86
Eargasm, you say you didn't even know about baseball until 3 weeks ago, enough said, quit while your ahead.
 
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Posted: #87
Quote Originally Posted by txtechpika:

Eargasm, you say you didn't even know about baseball until 3 weeks ago, enough said, quit while your ahead.


yes, it is  true, i am new. What so hard about baseball to learn. it's not about how smart you are or how stupid you are , Vegas will beat you not only financially, family, and your life. Only the person that " KNOW  HOW  "  will survive this game or anything else in life.. key word   KNOW HOW.  
 
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Posted: #88

goddamn quote button still doesn't work........

PASTEUR,

Dude, I'm serious,,,, you have got to be the most misinformed guy on this entire forum.......you're still convinced vegas knows more than anyone else about who is going to win any given game on any given day.

 
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Posted: #89
They can hire whoever statistician they want, that may give them a little edge, still they can't foresight the future. This game is not played by pre-programmed robots, but by people, and with that comes variables.
 
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Posted: #90
*might
 
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Posted: #91

Vegas hope is ALLWAYS that there is equal amount of players on both sides of ANY and ALL games. That is WHY the line moves throughout the day/week.

The JUICE is what keeps ALL those LIGHTS you see in Vegas aglow!!

 
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Posted: #92
7 winning dogs for today

1) blue Jay 
2) NY mets
3) cle indian
4) chi white sox
5) tam rays
6) chi cubs
7) Mn twin

8 favorite winning for today 

1) La dodgers  
2) cin reds       
3) STL cardinal
4) atl braves
4) Was national
5) SFO Giants
6) det tigers
7) LA angel
8) atl braves

3 wins out of 3 so far

 
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Posted: #93
Quote Originally Posted by Alien-1:

goddamn quote button still doesn't work........

PASTEUR,

Dude, I'm serious,,,, you have got to be the most misinformed guy on this entire forum.......you're still convinced vegas knows more than anyone else about who is going to win any given game on any given day.


no Vegas doesn't involved in every games, Only the game that have too bets or money on one side. All your statistics data will be out of window. It's like when the mob  see 20 millions on the street, are u he gonna just walking away . If you are the mob , what do u think the mob do ? he will take money and the juices and throw back some crumps to people like me
 
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Posted: #94
people , we are on the same side, lets make some money today and u can wait tomorrow about bashing me. We are only 1/5 of the way to haven.
 
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Posted: #95
vegas linemakers know WAY more than anyone on this site.....please to think that the second largest industry in the world that was founded by well lets say not the most stand up people around wouldnt have inside info has got to be the most naive thing i have ever heard
 
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Posted: #96
Quote Originally Posted by Daddydbol:

vegas linemakers know WAY more than anyone on this site.....please to think that the second largest industry in the world that was founded by well lets say not the most stand up people around wouldnt have inside info has got to be the most naive thing i have ever heard

you are absolutely right,  I am just a normal people, i am not  trying to to beat them. Nobody can,  I am just tag  along with them and pickup some crumps that left off along the way to their bank
 
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Posted: #97

eargasm..........you have NO IDEA what you are talking about !!

daddydbol......you think vegas is the second largest industry in the world........holy shit there are some ignorant people on this site

You're right about one thing, Vegas odds makers know more than most on this site BUT they  have no fucking clue who is going to cover ATS on any given sporting event.

 
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Posted: #98
Quote Originally Posted by Beckwith:


7 dogs won. CIN, SF, ATL, TEX, MIL, NYY, OAK, LAA (8) favorites won.

KC, NYM, BAL, PIT, MIA, COL, SEA (7) dogs won.

Don't know where you pulled 9 out of, but that's 2 off.

You are correct.
 
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Posted: #99
You got Atl. braves down twice on the fav list.  Good start.  Believe what you want, if you produce winners, that is all that matters!
 
 
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Posted: #100
Did you ever say which fav or dog how they are selected.  What are you using to choose which is the best fav or the best dog.  Starters, trends, home or away stats, grass field v artificial, nite game, day game, line ups, umps, or are you selecting through how the betting day is going.  Like mostly all favors win early so go mostly dogs late?  If this the selection process, I rather just fade Houston or do the chase like McShady and Semperfi or follow Key, Weebles, JFen, SJSharks, Sil1y, Nuggetmonster, HappyKane, UTfootball, etc.
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