Does anyone have stats on how many days a year all the chalk or all the dogs hit?

Question

Amazing when it happens -- parlay heavenz

bobmaloogatimesfive · Answer

Amazing when it happens -- parlay heavenz

henrymethbreath · Answer

just a second, I can try to dig it up, bob. no promises, though.what I will dig up would need some massaging, too. brb

bobmaloogatimesfive · Answer

Thanks Henry -- even the NFL pre-season and WNBA hit -- so wild!

henrymethbreath · Answer

also, there&#x27;s no way to predict this.so, let&#x27;s just look at this as a fun exercise in numbers.and by the way, the odds of all those hitting is their odds multiplied by each other.eg.for a 50/50 bet, with a 4 teams on a parlay, you have .5^2or .5x.5x.5x.5= 6.25% chance of hitting. today?.5^10 = 0.098% chance.

bobmaloogatimesfive · Answer

Music for the party!https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_ptkueHbFdU

bobmaloogatimesfive · Answer

Holy ballz -- 0.098% chanceHahaha -- and I did not play all chalk today either -- actually a 50/50 day for me -- but stoked that so many people made awesome cash -- good for the gambling world to beat the books!!!

henrymethbreath · Answer

good stuff! never heard it before. my browser crashe,d went and burned one and wrote down what I was thinking.

so this is a primitive look, which is why I say 'massaging' would help, like having a spreadsheet or some way to mince up this data.

https://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query?

output=default&sdql=F+and+date+and+s

eason%3D2014&submit=++S+D+Q+L+%21++

it appears as though favorites sweeping has happened twice this year prior to today.

F and date = 20140407 and season = 2014

SU:	6-0 (4.67, 100.0%)	avg line: -147.5 / 137.5	on / against: +$600 / -$600	ROI: +67.8% / -100.0%
OU:	3-3-0 (0.00, 50.0%)	avg total: 8.3	over / under: -$30 / -$25	ROI: -4.5% / -3.8%

	Runs	Hits	Errors	Walks	Strike Outs	Ground Balls	Fly Balls	Team LOB
Team	6.5	10.3	0.2	4.7	6.5	10.2	4.5	8.5
Opp	1.8	6.8	0.8	2.7	6.7	9.2	5.3	6.2

https://sportsdatabase.com/mlb/query?

sdql=F%20and%20date%20%3D%2020140407

%20and%20season%20%3D%202014&output=summary

and when the dodgers were in australia.

F and date = 20140322 and season = 2014

SU:	2-0 (2.00, 100.0%)	avg line: -140.0 / 130.0	on / against: +$200 / -$200	ROI: +71.4% / -100.0%
OU:	1-1-0 (1.00, 50.0%)	avg total: 7.0	over / under: -$10 / $0	ROI: -4.3% / 0.0%

	Runs	Hits	Errors	Walks	Strike Outs	Ground Balls	Fly Balls	Team LOB
Team	5.0	9.0	1.0	5.5	9.0	9.0	5.5	10.0
Opp	3.0	6.5	2.0	5.0	9.0	9.0	3.0	9.0

henrymethbreath · Answer

it&#x27;s a slightly better percentage than that, but the scale of the number gives you an idea.even if you converted all the odds from today&#x27;s games to break even win percentages, it&#x27;s a long way from 1%.

DavidGurney · Answer

Over the winter.I&#x27;ll check to see if there are any differences in the outcomes in fourth games and first games of series played on Thursday rather than on Sunday and Monday.

henrymethbreath · Answer

david, how are you?

DavidGurney · Answer

On that perfect day,the final line on at least varied from 5 Dimes opening line.

Th3Goat · Answer

MY guess on the season nothing looked up give or take 50/50

henrymethbreath · Answer

i&#x27;ve noticed that your posts have discrepencies from vegasinsider/wunderdog/covers/betonline which is how I correlate a line.sportsdatabase, I believe, from my experience, sdql pulls there&#x27;s from covers&#x27; opening/closing line, but I can&#x27;t say with certainty I know where the hell they get the final line they post. only my empirical observation.

henrymethbreath · Answer

to go with that, I&#x27;ve noticed SDQL will be time wise, slow on a line/total change.sometimes it&#x27;s instant, as I&#x27;m doing a set of queries, sometimes I&#x27;ll note the change, and the database total/side won&#x27;t be updated.It&#x27;s interesting to see that happen as I&#x27;m querying, though, that&#x27;s for sure.

henrymethbreath · Answer

to clarify this. perhaps there is no descrepancy whatsoever. if you&#x27;re noting the opening line and I&#x27;m adjusting my notes as the liens move, it&#x27;s obvious why the differences between our game odds exist.

bobmaloogatimesfive · Answer

Thanks again Henry -- figured that was like a passing comet -- I got to expect some dogs to bark today but who knows

Does anyone have stats on how many days a year all the chalk or all the dogs hit?

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