Does anyone win in gambling especially mlb year after year

I would like to see some actual proof more of like a feel good story that u can actually make money sports betting for a living . No other jobs just sports betting 

@DefenseWinsSB

 Bro, just take a little time off!  You're a grown ass man, quit complaining we all go through Highs and lows and if you can't handle than play pickle ball

Vegas Dave 

Find God

Hulk_Hogan

It is quite simple to make money wagering on sports. Simply fade Brandon Lang. He is 23-42 and -$1,958 dimes in MLB this year. There is no handicapping involved. Here his his overall record over the past few years.

 

-Lang Past 11+ Years-
2024: NEGATIVE 3,116.5 DIMES (01/01/24 to 08/07/24)
2023: NEGATIVE 1,901.25 DIMES
2022: NEGATIVE 1,586.5 DIMES
2021: NEGATIVE 1,524.5 DIMES
2020: POSITIVE* 402.5 DIMES (*NOT A FULL YEAR DUE TO COVID)
2019: NEGATIVE 761.75 DIMES
2018: NEGATIVE 738 DIMES
2017: NEGATIVE 499.5 DIMES
2016: NEGATIVE 2,941.5 DIMES
2015: NEGATIVE 181 DIMES
2014: NEGATIVE 113.75 DIMES
2013: NEGATIVE 929 DIMES

@JacksonKevin

 You seriously felt the need to post on an old thread? Go play outside,,,

Forgot about poor Dave 

If They say they do their fucking lying OK maybe 10% of people on here actually make money doing this. Don’t kid  yourself me I lose so much fucking money. I wish I never started gambling over 50 yeras ago but  i am only down abiut 600 grand lol 

Gambling is best designated as a side hustle/hobby.

You can make money in MLB, you just gotta pick your spots, bet 1 game or so every few days, and money management.

The best way to make money on sports betting and baseball is to put the $100 per game you watch in a money box till the end of the season and see how much you made at the end of season when you crack it open. More tips from Gavlar tomorrow ??

bet when you have an edge. If there are 3 games in one day that are positive EV you have to bet all 3. If there are no bettable games for 3 weeks, you dont bet for 3 weeks. You can't bet or not bet based on a calendar and how many days have passed. JMHO

 

 

I have always been told the ones making money are the ones selling their picks, not from betting but from the idiots buying the picks, the pick selling they make is crazy

@barneybeans

I use an unsafe martingale historical theory data model that has worked with me just fine over the last 2 seasons. Nets me usually 3 - 4K a season with conservative bets.

And, make sure you can take a 10 game losing streak hit (minimum) at 2:1 odds to your bankroll.  :)

In MLB wager only on the 1st 5 innings

@davemsh

 

 Damn son got banned Go Yanks!

What he do?

@barneybeans

 

 No idea. Just realized his post on here was from August. Not sure if he got banned back then or recently 

Great contributor, good guy, good player, good angles. Probably said something bad about a US based sports book or something political - whatever the hot topics are these days. Probably shoulda rehab'd him for a week or two.

 

 

@barneybeans

 I agree

now don't go getting yourself banned...

 

 

 

OK so, to address this post - sorry if some of it seem more incoherent than my usual...

 

 

Sports illustrated article back in the early 80s I believe, might have been late 70s - about a guy who quit his job and moved his family to Vegas. Made over 100K USD a year betting baseball only. 100K back then is like 225K nowadays.

I recall that the secret sauce was laying juice based on starting pitchers.

I know, right?

But back then there was a mindset of the general public that games were a lot closer since there was a money line and not a point spread. Pitchers also went at least 7 and a third and often 8 innings. So no bull pen surprises, not a great need for a middle reliever.

Getting back to the money line thing: We've all heard "gambler guidelines" such as, "Take the dog at home for MNF". Another such was "take the +9 MLB dog at home", or, "I'll always take 9 at home" which is a reference to when lines outside of Vegas went to 5 - so 9-11 line mean the fav was laying 11 to 5 or -220 -and- the 9 dog was getting $9 on a $5 risk or +180.

Everyone took the +180 as no one wanted to lay -220. But the fact of the matter was, that the -220 fav had a 80% chance of winning if the starter went 7 or more innings, which is -400 on the probability conversion to ML.

So you were getting an 80% shot, -400 for only -220. Lay -220 to win 100 and cash on 8 out of 10 games. Do the math (OK, it's +$360).

There was another article, a general sports gambling article, back about 30 years ago that got published on a gambling website in the mid 1990s, and now it's down. It was by Sonny Reizner. I paraphrased it here on Covers but can't search here so I'll never find it.

Basically said the same thing about very high probability MLB matchups having a low line because the general public WAS too leery about laying such high numbers - back then.

 

Nowadays you see MLB -300 to -400 lines all the time and people lay that and the starter will probably get pulled after 5 innings or 90 pitches. That was unheard of back in the day, even with Seaver and then a Clemons or Pedro on the mound pitching late into the game. You could get these guys for -220 and they'd pitch 8, .9 WHIP 1 run ball. Win the game with only 4 runs of support. You'd see MLB totals of 6. And it would go under.

 

There was a lot of money to be made on MLB in the 1970 - 1990s.

 

So yes, I am answering in the past tense. The answer was a resounding yes. I started betting MLB in 1986 and made great money up until 1996. Then it was hit or miss until 2001. There were good spots to choose between 2001 to 2005. Since then it's been a long stretch of hit or miss and because of that I don't see anyone mastering MLB since then - consistently throughout the entire season.

 

The market is too sharp, too much information out there on the internet and the game is changing too much every 3-5 years. Not to mention juiced balls and so many rule changes. And as I previously mentioned starting pitchers getting pulled so early, pens screwing things up, the shift, now no shift, everyone throwing 100mph, no finesse, blowing their arms out after 50 pitches, batter swinging for the seats. There's a ton more variables causing endless unpredictability - and ya can't just take the dog because  every spread these days is > .20 cents unless you are low juice .08 offshore.

 

Continued in the next post...

 

 

...continued from last post

 

Lastly, back in the day you could bet anonymously in Vegas and spread your bets around better than you can today. It is so much easier to get limits slapped on you or cut off at the drop of a hat.

 

 

Anyone doing this thinking that they are going to make money is sorely mistaken. You can't - even if you pick every winner it will be tough to get down action, even if you throw in losers or give the house sides they need. Doesn't matter as they don't want to pay anyone.