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Donnie Baseball 2012 Picks

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Posted: #751
Like the M's donnie
 
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Posted: #752
Josh Johnson may be an autofade all season long if they continue to toss this guy out there at comparable odds.

2-1 +1.08

pending 4/11:
Orioles / Red Sox Under 9.5 -120
Seattle Mariners -1 -107
 
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Posted: #753
Best of Luck.....
 
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Posted: #754

Hi Donnie

Congrats on a successful 2012. Would like to tail for the season am as green as they come when it comes to MLB (hoops is my game of choice)

My book has SEA -1.5 +140 wondering if I need to get exact line as you to follow ?

 

any help appreciated

 

thnx in advance

 
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Posted: #755
Say you bet 1 dollar a game, bet to win 1 dollar on seattle ml -155 or whatever your book gives you, and bet 1 to win 1.40 on the -1.5.

That way you're getting about a -107 price on the -1 run line.
 
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Posted: #756

so im placing 2 wagers ?

sea ml & the rl

 

 

 
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Posted: #757
Quote Originally Posted by kidvegas64:

so im placing 2 wagers ?

sea ml & the rl

 

 


well a lot of books have the option to bet -1, but even in these books it's still better to split your bet and create your own. yes your are placing two bets, to win 1x on the ml, and bet 1x on the -1.5 rl.

nice on the boston game as it sits right now at under 9 -110
 
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Posted: #758
eh, i said that wrong. i guess i would say you should bet .5x on the -1.5 rl and to win .5x on the ml. sorry about that.
 
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Posted: #759

no prob. Appreciate your feedback look forward to following you for the season. Best of luck !

 
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Posted: #760
Quote Originally Posted by Donnie_Baseball:

Josh Johnson may be an autofade all season long if they continue to toss this guy out there at comparable odds.

2-1 +1.08

pending 4/11:
Orioles / Red Sox Under 9.5 -120
Seattle Mariners -1 -107

Cleveland Indians -110
 
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Posted: #761
if you dont mind me asking db, what sportsbook do you use ?
 
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Posted: #762
Indians game no action, postponed due to rain.

I use 5dimes, bookmaker, and sportsbook.ag
 
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Posted: #763
3-2 +1.01
 
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Posted: #764
4/12:
New York Mets -1 +120

 
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Posted: #765
WITH U ON "NIESE" ON THE HILL!! 
 
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Posted: #766
Weather in low 30s tnite in Minn- not sure whom that favors
 
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Posted: #767

hey DB

So similiar line as yest from my book:

NYM RL -1.5 +150     ML -108

 

So 1/2 unit on ea ?

gl today

 
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Posted: #768
Quote Originally Posted by kidvegas64:

hey DB

So similiar line as yest from my book:

NYM RL -1.5 +150     ML -108

 

So 1/2 unit on ea ?

gl today

If you are looking to win say $100, the put $43.20 on the m/l to win $40 and $40 on r/l to win 60. So if they win by 1 run you win the m/l but lose the r/l , so you push.

 
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Posted: #769
thnx throbb appreciate feedback
 
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Posted: #770
Quote Originally Posted by kidvegas64:

hey DB

So similiar line as yest from my book:

NYM RL -1.5 +150     ML -108

 

So 1/2 unit on ea ?

gl today


eh had something typed out, i'll try my best to recreate it. dunno what's up with covers right now.

my unit is 300. i bet 300 on dogs, and to win 300 on faves.

i bet 150 to win 225 on the mets -1.5 at +150. i also bet 160.50 to win 150 on the mets at -107. so my bet is 310.50 to win 375 at -1.

if i bet a -150 team on the ml, and say the -1.5 rl was +140. i would bet 225 to win 150, and 150 to win 210 on the rl, giving me 375 to win 360 (about -104 on a -1 rl). 

i don't mind risking the extra 75 on top of my normal unit (25%) considering if i bet a -120 under, i'm risking 360. it's all gravy to me, and i'm just keeping track of 1u at a time to keep things simple.

best of luck.
 
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Posted: #771

got it. hope you dont mind me comparing lines til I get my head wrapped around baseball. once again excellent 2012-coming from solid analysis.

gl today

 
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Posted: #772
Quote Originally Posted by kidvegas64:

got it. hope you dont mind me comparing lines til I get my head wrapped around baseball. once again excellent 2012-coming from solid analysis.

gl today


not at all. most shops allow 10 cent lines on baseball odds these days, but a lot are on the 20 cent line system for totals and rls. I'd suggest getting a 5dimes account (or better yet, pinnacle if you're non us), otherwise you may get 3-5 cents worse lines than me on some plays even if you bet at the exact same time.
 
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Posted: #773

shall do. use the greek and can see diff in lines

 
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Posted: #774
Quote Originally Posted by Donnie_Baseball:

4/12:
New York Mets -1 +120


White Sox / Indians Under 7.5 -107
 
 
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Posted: #775
Quote Originally Posted by Donnie_Baseball:

4/12:
New York Mets -1 +120
White Sox / Indians Under 7.5 -107

Miami Marlins +112
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