Bored at work on a slow Friday. So here are my thoughts on this game:
1) Phillies need this game. Holding onto the 3rd WC spot by the short hairs, and there are only 7 games left in their season.
2) Phillies are 13-2 straight up ML vs Nats this year so far, and 10-5 covering on the RL
3) Phillies have outscored Nats 102-52 on the season, and hit Nats pitching at a .274 clip......Nats only hit .238 at home, and have the worst home record in MLB
4) Phillies have lost 5 straight
5) Fedde has only pitched against the Phils once this season, 3 weeks ago, and he couldn't get out of the 4th inning. In general he is ripe for beatings.
6) Falter is no ace, has seen the Nats twice, although the Phils won both of those games, it was definitely NOT because of him, he is in no way helping my decision.
7) Nats have had more AB vs LHP than any other MLB team in 2022. They are middle of the pack with a .246 AVG vs LHP, but only have 19 AB on the entire team vs Falter, whereas this Phils team has seen Fedde over 100 times between all the players.
From a spot perspective, I naturally like the Phils. Losing streaks end, and I would imagine they have to come into this game with some sort of urgency. I am not comfortable laying -220 with Bailey Falter on the mound, so I am gonna take the RL -1.5 @ -118. Phils have covered the RL vs Nats in 10 of 15 games this year. Seems reasonable. Lets see what happens.
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