Fri (5/31) "The Good, the Bad, the Ugly"

The Good:

TB (-121)

Moore is 4-0 AWAY (8-0 overall) with a 2.40 ERA.   Kluber is 0-2 at HOME with a 4.85 ERA.  CLE has lost 4 of Kluber’s last 5 starts.  TB is 8-3 when FAVE AWAY.  TB took 2 of 3 last year in CLE and have taken 4 of the last 6 games in the series.

BOS (+100)

BOS has only won 3 of the last 10 games vs. NYY.  So why am I picking BOS?  2 of those 3 wins were when Lester was on the mound.  Lester has won 4 of his last 5 starts vs. NYY.  Sabathia has lost 3 of his last 5 starts vs. BOS and has only recorded 1 win in his last 7 starts.  NYY just got swept by NYM.  Lester is not the pitcher that they want to see right now.

The Bad:  Fading AWAY team in ARI/CHC, Cain (SF)/SF AWAY

CHC (-130)

The AWAY team has lost 9 of the last 10 in this series -- the only AWAY win was when CHC won in the most recent match-up.  ARI has lost 6 of Miley’s last 8 starts (4 of his last 5 AWAY, including losses to SD and MIA).  CHC won Garza’s last start and are coming off of a sweep.  Cubs are rolling.

STL (-150)

Cain has lost 3 of his last 5 starts vs. STL.  In his most recent match-up this past April, he allowed 9 ER – and that was at HOME.  Miller has already beaten SF, and that was AWAY.  STL has the best record in the MLB, and SF is just 9-15 AWAY.

The Ugly:  Fading CIN RL

PIT (+1.5) (-155)

PIT is 8-2 as a DOG HOME, but Rodriguez is 0-5 vs. CIN.  CIN is 7-4 as FAVE AWAY, but CIN has lost 2 of Cueto’s last 3 starts and 4 of their last 6 @ PIT.  So everything looks like a wash, except for this:  the PIT (+1.5) has hit in 8 of the last 9 match-ups.  CIN’s pitching has been shaky in their last 2 games already.  PIT just took 3 of 4 from the heavy hitting DET, and CIN just happens to have a similar road record as DET.