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Give me a good reason not to bet the over in the pads/cards game

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Posted: #1
Just checked the numbers on these two teams
08/16/09 @ STL L 5-7 L 151 O 9
08/15/09 @ STL L 4-7 L 190 O 9
08/14/09 @ STL L 2-9 L 188 O 7.5
Three games all overs why should this game be any different.
12 runs game one
11 runs game two
11 runs game three
yet the line is set at 7 1/2
Pineiero and Stauffer are not exactly shut down pitchers.
Or should I play the square play and bet cards laying 1/2
I am really torn I think I am leaning over the numbers dicktate an over wager yet I know the cards bats can go cold and the pads are not exatcly an offensive machine.
What is your play give some reasons what I should do
 
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Posted: #2
because this is being played in Petco.  a pitchers stadium.
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by cogenman:

because this is being played in Petco.  a pitchers stadium.
Don't buy that reason but thank you anyway
 
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Posted: #4
because the wind is below in at 10 mph.
It's nothing crazy but it's one "con" to betting the OVER.
 
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Posted: #5
i got 460 to win 400 on the over 7.5 I need this one.
 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by jsmoove:

i got 460 to win 400 on the over 7.5 I need this one.
I might pull the triger on this one
 
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Posted: #7
After looking into this one, I'm with you on the OVER.
Let's get this one fellas. 
 
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Posted: #8
"I cant" so Gl with your play bro
 
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Posted: #9
This is a play for me OVER 7 1/2 CARDS/PADS
GOODLUCK AND HEAR IS TOO A BUNCH OF RUNS HOPE IT OVER EARLY
 
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Posted: #10
My numbers are showing 65-75% on the over, yet the 7.5 has been juiced a decent amount but not moved up to the whole number 8. I like the over myself (Stauffer is terrible), but it's just something to think about...
 
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Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by bronxdude:

Don't buy that reason but thank you anyway

 

 

You don't buy that reason?  I sure do!  Under 7.5 for me.  Tim Stauffer isn't the huge stiff he's made out to be.

 
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Posted: #12
No reason this line should be 7.5. Screams Under to me.
 
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Posted: #13
Quote Originally Posted by MrBator:

 

 

You don't buy that reason?  I sure do!  Under 7.5 for me.  Tim Stauffer isn't the huge stiff he's made out to be.



Not a stiff, but he's not the same pitcher the Pods drafted #4 overall (which was more of a signability pick if my memory serves me correctly). The kid has very solid command, but he missed all of '08 with a shoulder injury and it usually takes a year for command to come back full circle...if it ever does. He has decent secondary pitches and a fastball that is passable, but I really think it's too early to expect him to shut down an offense like STL. His WHIP throughout the minors has been fairly subpar and it's still pretty subpar right now, albeit with a very small sample size.
 
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Posted: #14
OK here we go over for me. Will be following this game pitch by pitch . Like I said I hope this is done early.
Respect your opinion Mr. B but one of us will win. This stadium cannot hold all the singles doubles,triples and walks we shall see. 
 
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Posted: #15

Quote Originally Posted by andy88c:



Not a stiff, but he's not the same pitcher the Pods drafted #4 overall (which was more of a signability pick if my memory serves me correctly). The kid has very solid command, but he missed all of '08 with a shoulder injury and it usually takes a year for command to come back full circle...if it ever does. He has decent secondary pitches and a fastball that is passable, but I really think it's too early to expect him to shut down an offense like STL.

 

 

No need to shut them down.  He can lose, 5-1.

 

 
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Posted: #16
Quote Originally Posted by andy88c:

My numbers are showing 65-75% on the over, yet the 7.5 has been juiced a decent amount but not moved up to the whole number 8. I like the over myself (Stauffer is terrible), but it's just something to think about...
Let's get this over andy
 
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Posted: #17
Or he can lose 7-1
 
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Posted: #18
I'm on STL RL -1 lol...so both of those sound good to me. Like I said MrB, I still don't trust Stauffer and I love fading pitchers on fairly short juice when I can.

BOL to both of you...although only one can win.
 
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Posted: #19
Chris Guccione 
 
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Posted: #20
The reason is because it is the Pads.
 
I like the Cards Over 4.
 
 
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Posted: #21

I guess it may be worth a small play.(The Over)

 

Good Luck.

 
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Posted: #22
I need the cards to complete my 4 teamer, lets do this st lou!!!!
 
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Posted: #23
GRAND SLAM RYAN WOOOHOO 4 MORE RUNS WAT A BIG HR!!@
 
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Posted: #24
So now Bator is on the Under 3.5 with 8.5 innings to go. Sorry man. BOL either way.
 
 
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Posted: #25
Well that was easy.
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