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Guthrie is favored tomorrow

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Posted: #1
Opened -120.
 
I just hit about 7 different spots in Vegas on LAA+110
 
He is top 3 fade material  for me right now.
 
 
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Posted: #2
right there with yah man, i think the over is much stronger, much mjuch strong, if i can get a 9 or 9.5 this could be a total of the year type play for me.
 
im capping it to open at 10
 
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Posted: #3
It's 10.5 but I like the over too, O'sullivan is coming back down to earth. Got roughed up by Rays
 
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Posted: #4
Total is 10.5 O 20
 
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Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by MistakeHitter:

Opened -120.
 
I just hit about 7 different spots in Vegas on LAA+110
 
He is top 3 fade material  for me right now.
 

 

MH -- taking a day off today??

 
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Posted: #6
Quote Originally Posted by bunny651:

 

MH -- taking a day off today??

I had my first losing day in a long time yesterday and as a rule I take a day off after a losing day.  I'm not as sick as alot of you guys
 
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Posted: #7
Also bet CWS-125 trying to sweep on getaway day which is a cardinal sin but there pen is pitching lights out right now.
 
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Posted: #8
Sunday home favs.......
 
GL though hopefully I'm wrong and I'm not betting this game at all
 
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Posted: #9
Quote Originally Posted by chilitokid:

Sunday home favs.......
 
GL though hopefully I'm wrong and I'm not betting this game at all
LA/O's is 4 game series or I might lay off.  But I doubt it, I've made too much money fading guthrie.  
 
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Posted: #10
Add
 
CLEVELAND+140  I dont know why blackburn is favored this big???  Laffey has a 1.29 whip in his last 30 IP with 19 k and only 1 HR.
OVER 9(-15) STRO"S/BREWCREW     Looper
 
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Posted: #11
Quote Originally Posted by MistakeHitter:

Add
 
CLEVELAND+140  I dont know why blackburn is favored this big???  Laffey has a 1.29 whip in his last 30 IP with 19 k and only 1 HR.



Probably because of Laffey's home-away split, and the nagging believe that the Twins "can't" lose two inSubmit a row at home to the Indians.  I don't say the Twins should be huge faves, but probably reasonable for them to be (-) something.

 
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Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by runlines:



Probably because of Laffey's home-away split, and the nagging believe that the Twins "can't" lose two inSubmit a row at home to the Indians.  I don't say the Twins should be huge faves, but probably reasonable for them to be (-) something.

Blackburn 6ks and 4 HR in his last 23 IP.  He should be-120 at the MOST.  I think it has more to do with people not realizing Laffey's improvement
 
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Posted: #13
LAA
 
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Posted: #14
Congrats on the hugh win.
 
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Posted: #15
Yo MH, have you abandoned your strategy of only following line movement to make bets?
 
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Posted: #16
 
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by Rocksaki:

Yo MH, have you abandoned your strategy of only following line movement to make bets?

Hey I had LAA, Indians, over 9 brewers and cws possted in this thread, that aint bad

It's not so much line movement, it's when we think the books have made a line to attract attention to one side or when they dont move off a number even though they are getting hit hard that we try to roll with them.  And I'd like to come on here everyday and say there's a play but it just doesn't happen that often   Handicapping games(starting pitching in particular) is still where alot of our action goes. 

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