Thats why in MLB you can have a 48% success rate and still be on the positive side.
48% in any other sport... you're in limbo.
The secret to making money in MLB is riding out "value" plays, grind out the season by playing 8-10 games per day. In the long run, you might have a 375-388 record but you'll still be making money, granted that most of those "value" plays are underdogs and small faves.
You cannot play 8-10 NBA or NFL games per day like you can in MLB, i think.
48% in the NHL can work out great for you as well, Kane.
Are you serious? So essentially, I need not look for value in any sort in a line or what my line for a specific game might be - I just need to blindly throw money down on a team that I like.
Horrific information on so many levels.
read quote #47
dcmc -
The above quote is yours (quote #47). This was a decent thing for you to say & I agree with it. For me, there's no use in betting (any sport) unless there's reasonable value involved.
However, the first post you made didn't talk about value. It talked about just picking a team you like (without looking at the line) and betting them - and that's what I disagree with. Let's say the Indians are playing in New York. The line comes out at NY -290 Cleveland +250. Lets say that NY has been on an offensive tear by scoring 6 runs in their last 5 games, while the Indians have scored only 5 runs total in their last 5 games. Let's say that I watched both of those teams on TV throughout the week and I was highly impressed with the Yanks, and I thought the Indians were playing at a Little League level.
So, due to your theory of liking a team and betting them, I should take the Yankees because I'm liking what they're doing, but I shouldn't even look at the line. And that there, is what I will not do - ever. It makes no sense. There is no value in blindly betting on anything.
59% to 41% is not "pretty close. In a season of 2130 games, that 18% makes up a 437 game difference.
I don't know about you....but I don't consider 437 games "pretty close"
with the spread if correct this should result in 50-50...its not straight up.....in baseball there is no spread there are odds, which is where VALUE comes in......it means if the yankees at home should beat the royals 7 of every 10 times u will have to lay a little more than 2 to one on them each time they play at the stadium.....this is a simple view but should work.....
Established in 1995,
People who think you have a 50/50 chance just because its a 2 horse race
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