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It has come to this, my friends...

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Posts: 49

UglyKidJoe

MVP

Joined: Apr, 2005

Posts: 18552

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 3:50 PM ET #26

What if.... you fade yourself and you still lose? Then you're special.

That's when you go to Plan C.

Good luck.

1

tanis74

Veteran

Joined: May, 2018

Posts: 2510

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 3:54 PM ET #27

damnit Molina you old fart!

RISP with only 1 out, & you ground into DP you old fart!!!

LOL

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ParlayBuster

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2017

Posts: 2704

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 3:54 PM ET #28

Quote Originally Posted by tanis74:

Don't worry!

STL will come back & Win because this was my game of the day & Flaherty's been hot!!!

LOL

Well, I dumped my whole bankroll on MIL ML -280. So, thank you STL for the meaningless run. The ML dropped from -800.

MIL looks serious about winning this game.

STL looks like they are fat, happy, and satisfied.

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pburgh81

Prospect

Joined: Jan, 2019

Posts: 27

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 4:31 PM ET #29

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

I have been losing..badly...a 2 month streak ...similar to concavecapital and many others of you here...coincidence?...maybe, maybe not...but I posted this in his thread last night..."At some point radical ideas must be attempted......It is ..it must be...statistically impossible to lose at the rate you are describing...I believe you must consider some radical action...you must...pick your games just as you always do and then...Fade yourself...I know...this is very distasteful ...however...just look at the results...or rather, look at what the results would have been if you had been doing this for the last 3 months...The only BIG problem with this is maintaining your consistent, honest evaluation of your selections so that you get the "real" selections that you would have normally played...If you allow any of that "fade bias" to interfere...that is...if you allow the knowledge that you are going to play the opposite play....affect your initial selection in ANY WAY...it will spoil the selection...You know your routine...you know what you do as you cap the games...don't change it one iota...as a matter of fact...post your selections here on Covers as you always do just as you posted this one...Only then...you actually play the opposite...Radical ideas are required to break radical losing, my friend..."So, I am hereby implementing this plan...I will be posting my plays as I normally cap them...I will not be listing or stating that I am fading myself....BUT I WILL BE FADING MYSELF IF I EVEN WAGER AT ALL...For the rest of the season...This...should be interesting...

I'm with ya' man. I have come to absolutely LOATHE MLB. I am a handicapper. I dont bet off of gut or anything else other then statistical analysis and I havent been able to find ANY consistency on any type of bet in MLB. When the Under shows it goes Over, when the Over shows it goes Under, when I play a favorite they play like a dog, when I play a dog, they play like a dog. When I bet a pitcher props or Totals the same thing. When I play totals if I'm close, I'll lose by .5 of a run. STL was the play as well today for me and the Over. Of course MIL is gonna win and the total will stay Under.

0

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

I have been losing..badly...a 2 month streak ...similar to concavecapital and many others of you here...coincidence?...maybe, maybe not...but I posted this in his thread last night..."At some point radical ideas must be attempted......It is ..it must be...statistically impossible to lose at the rate you are describing...I believe you must consider some radical action...you must...pick your games just as you always do and then...Fade yourself...I know...this is very distasteful ...however...just look at the results...or rather, look at what the results would have been if you had been doing this for the last 3 months...The only BIG problem with this is maintaining your consistent, honest evaluation of your selections so that you get the "real" selections that you would have normally played...If you allow any of that "fade bias" to interfere...that is...if you allow the knowledge that you are going to play the opposite play....affect your initial selection in ANY WAY...it will spoil the selection...You know your routine...you know what you do as you cap the games...don't change it one iota...as a matter of fact...post your selections here on Covers as you always do just as you posted this one...Only then...you actually play the opposite...Radical ideas are required to break radical losing, my friend..."So, I am hereby implementing this plan...I will be posting my plays as I normally cap them...I will not be listing or stating that I am fading myself....BUT I WILL BE FADING MYSELF IF I EVEN WAGER AT ALL...For the rest of the season...This...should be interesting...

I'm with ya' man. I have come to absolutely LOATHE MLB. I am a handicapper. I dont bet off of gut or anything else other then statistical analysis and I havent been able to find ANY consistency on any type of bet in MLB. When the Under shows it goes Over, when the Over shows it goes Under, when I play a favorite they play like a dog, when I play a dog, they play like a dog. When I bet a pitcher props or Totals the same thing. When I play totals if I'm close, I'll lose by .5 of a run. STL was the play as well today for me and the Over. Of course MIL is gonna win and the total will stay Under.

MrBator

Legend

Joined: Apr, 2004

Posts: 50586

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 4:35 PM ET #30

Quote Originally Posted by UglyKidJoe:

What if.... you fade yourself and you still lose? Then you're special.

0

tanis74

Veteran

Joined: May, 2018

Posts: 2510

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 5:08 PM ET #31

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

I have been losing..badly...a 2 month streak ...similar to concavecapital and many others of you here...coincidence?...maybe, maybe not...but I posted this in his thread last night..."At some point radical ideas must be attempted......It is ..it must be...statistically impossible to lose at the rate you are describing...I believe you must consider some radical action...you must...pick your games just as you always do and then...Fade yourself...I know...this is very distasteful ...however...just look at the results...or rather, look at what the results would have been if you had been doing this for the last 3 months...The only BIG problem with this is maintaining your consistent, honest evaluation of your selections so that you get the "real" selections that you would have normally played...If you allow any of that "fade bias" to interfere...that is...if you allow the knowledge that you are going to play the opposite play....affect your initial selection in ANY WAY...it will spoil the selection...You know your routine...you know what you do as you cap the games...don't change it one iota...as a matter of fact...post your selections here on Covers as you always do just as you posted this one...Only then...you actually play the opposite...Radical ideas are required to break radical losing, my friend..."So, I am hereby implementing this plan...I will be posting my plays as I normally cap them...I will not be listing or stating that I am fading myself....BUT I WILL BE FADING MYSELF IF I EVEN WAGER AT ALL...For the rest of the season...This...should be interesting...

Thx Smacksmiter for posting this thread & allowing me to FADE myself at the last minute before pressing on the Cardinals ML wager button.

Not only did you save me from losing a Couple Large, but my return was actually Plus money with the Brewers.

I will continue to utilize your "Fade Thyself" system on my "game of the day" picks.

So far, I am 1-0 on your system with Brewers!

Thx again for starting my day off right & saving me at the last minute with your valuable info on your new system!

Lol

0

Quote Originally Posted by smacksmiter:

I have been losing..badly...a 2 month streak ...similar to concavecapital and many others of you here...coincidence?...maybe, maybe not...but I posted this in his thread last night..."At some point radical ideas must be attempted......It is ..it must be...statistically impossible to lose at the rate you are describing...I believe you must consider some radical action...you must...pick your games just as you always do and then...Fade yourself...I know...this is very distasteful ...however...just look at the results...or rather, look at what the results would have been if you had been doing this for the last 3 months...The only BIG problem with this is maintaining your consistent, honest evaluation of your selections so that you get the "real" selections that you would have normally played...If you allow any of that "fade bias" to interfere...that is...if you allow the knowledge that you are going to play the opposite play....affect your initial selection in ANY WAY...it will spoil the selection...You know your routine...you know what you do as you cap the games...don't change it one iota...as a matter of fact...post your selections here on Covers as you always do just as you posted this one...Only then...you actually play the opposite...Radical ideas are required to break radical losing, my friend..."So, I am hereby implementing this plan...I will be posting my plays as I normally cap them...I will not be listing or stating that I am fading myself....BUT I WILL BE FADING MYSELF IF I EVEN WAGER AT ALL...For the rest of the season...This...should be interesting...

Thx Smacksmiter for posting this thread & allowing me to FADE myself at the last minute before pressing on the Cardinals ML wager button.

Not only did you save me from losing a Couple Large, but my return was actually Plus money with the Brewers.

I will continue to utilize your "Fade Thyself" system on my "game of the day" picks.

So far, I am 1-0 on your system with Brewers!

Thx again for starting my day off right & saving me at the last minute with your valuable info on your new system!

Lol

ParlayBuster

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2017

Posts: 2704

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 5:13 PM ET #32

That MIL game was too predictable.

Hey, tanis74, sorry about yoiur Cardinals losing. It just wasn't their day.

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tanis74

Veteran

Joined: May, 2018

Posts: 2510

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 5:27 PM ET #33

Quote Originally Posted by ParlayBuster:

That MIL game was too predictable. Hey, tanis74, sorry about yoiur Cardinals losing. It just wasn't their day.

All good my friend!

I will swallow my pride with losing my "game of the day" in exchange for CASH MONEYYYYYYYY!!!

LOL

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ParlayBuster

Veteran

Joined: Jan, 2017

Posts: 2704

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 5:43 PM ET #34

Quote Originally Posted by tanis74:

All good my friend!

I will swallow my pride with losing my "game of the day" in exchange for CASH MONEYYYYYYYY!!!

LOL

0

The-Derks

Veteran

Joined: Jun, 2014

Posts: 2224

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 5:55 PM ET #35

You're allowed to take breaks. Gambling every single day isnt going to net you alot of profits.

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 6:21 PM ET #36

Quote Originally Posted by tanis74:

Thx Smacksmiter for posting this thread & allowing me to FADE myself at the last minute before pressing on the Cardinals ML wager button.

Not only did you save me from losing a Couple Large, but my return was actually Plus money with the Brewers.

I will continue to utilize your "Fade Thyself" system on my "game of the day" picks.

So far, I am 1-0 on your system with Brewers!

Thx again for starting my day off right & saving me at the last minute with your valuable info on your new system!

Lol

Fantastic mah man!!

Literally, if I had employed this strategy 3 months ago I would have won 20k instead of losing 20k...

I’m sticking with this as I’m convinced at this point that if I’m betting my own selections I’m going to lose...and I am certain I can replicate an honest capping pattern on my initial selections without bias...

Let’s go Mariners!!!

PM for the skinny on the down low

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 6:33 PM ET #37

Really liking Oakland -160 tonight so the play is KC Royals +150 for 5 units...

PM for the skinny on the down low

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cheeser

Veteran

Joined: May, 2008

Posts: 1432

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 6:36 PM ET #38

Man, i hate to be the bearer of bad news but if you can't pick winners on your own , you'll never win .I am retired , have been 10 yrs, & have plenty of time to study these games. I'm leaning to betting 60-70-% 1st 5 innings. At least that way you have a little hope of getting the goal the numbers suggest. Geaux Tigers .

pollockanesian

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tanis74

Veteran

Joined: May, 2018

Posts: 2510

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 6:44 PM ET #39

My 2nd "Fade Thyself" play(if I decide to tie my money down on a possible rain delay):

Chicago Scrubs ML @+110

Mets ML was my 2nd "game of the day" choice for me today. I hate the Chicago scrubs & everything points toward a Mets win tonight. Chicago sux on the road & Thor has been lights out recently. I also believe they're due for a win. Everything in my head is telling me to take the Mets ML. But I will go against my reasoning one more time today & FADE myself by taking the Chicago scrubs ML @+110!!!

Lets go!!!

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tanis74

Veteran

Joined: May, 2018

Posts: 2510

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 7:02 PM ET #40

nvm.... gonna pass... damn rain delay...

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 7:18 PM ET #41

Texas Rangers +148 at LA Angels -158...

Angels starting a AAA pitcher that the Rangers beat up pretty good not long ago...Trout out of the lineup tonight as is the 0 for 24 and 5 for 54 Rougned Odour for Texas...everything points to a nice dog winner and Texas gets the series split so....

Angels for 5 units

PM for the skinny on the down low

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 7:53 PM ET #42

Rangers a MLB worst .231 on the road now...

PM for the skinny on the down low

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 8:15 PM ET #43

Interesting information for the Rangers game tomorrow...this game with the Angels tonight will end late and the Rangers charter will not be getting back into Texas until 5am or 6am local time...

Then the Rangers have to play a Seattle team that finished their game today early and will be getting into Texas here later this evening...they will be in bed and well rested before the Rangers even arrive back in Texas...

PM for the skinny on the down low

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 10:15 PM ET #44

PM for the skinny on the down low

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concavecapital

Veteran

Joined: Sep, 2012

Posts: 4815

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 10:24 PM ET #45

Besta luck bro. I know I’m at rock bottom so I’m gonna try your fade thy self solution from here on out because absolutely not one thing is making any sense. You can completely disregard everything that has happened in the last two months because it is basically meaningless. Trends , who is doing what yada yada yada. The complete opposite will win out regardless if everything points the other way. It’s actually more comical than it is hurtful Now. The body is becoming completely numb and one of these days I surely will become impervious to pain . Expecting a negative result will only grow in my mind. If football doesn’t turn things around here , something scary is bound to happen. But at least it will be over. There will be no need to worry anymore

It’s been fifteen years since my pops said “ gambling is worse than any drug .” finally I see what the fuk he was yappin about after he hit 4 of a kind with a deuce kicker at the casino for 3K video slot.

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tanis74

Veteran

Joined: May, 2018

Posts: 2510

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 10:34 PM ET #46

I am a true believer now on your "FADY Thyself" system. I passed on the Mets game because I hate having my money tied down on a rain delay(well it didnt happen tonight but I didnt want to take a chance). Mets was my 2nd confjdent play of the day & look what happened. Cubs about to win! lol..

Its almost as if the sportsbooks put some kind of "spell" or "false advertising" on the lines....

I won't use this system for my tennis/wnba plays cuz I do well there, but I definitely will use it for baseball. You should create a new thread called "Fade thyself system" so everybody can see & keep track of how they're doing.

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Aug. 28, 2019 - 11:01 PM ET #47

Seattle... Loss... -5 units...

K.C. ... Winner...+7.5 units...

LA Angels pending...

My plan is already working...

PM for the skinny on the down low

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tanis74

Veteran

Joined: May, 2018

Posts: 2510

Posted: Aug. 29, 2019 - 1:27 PM ET #48

Full slate of tennis(US Open) & WNBA action today so I might skip today on your "Fade Thyself System). Might possibly take one at 7pm pst game since all the tennis/WNBA action will be done by then.

So far, I'm 1-0 on your system.

Lets go!!! an_boggienight

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smacksmiter

Banned

Joined: Dec, 2004

Posts: 14064

Posted: Aug. 29, 2019 - 2:47 PM ET #49

Angels without Trout...so bad...

...

1-2... -5.4 units...

I don’t feel special yet...

PM for the skinny on the down low

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