Posted:
#1
Twins/Mariners Over 9
Kyle Gibson (5.10 xFIP) and Christian Bergman (5.36 xFIP) are two of the worst starters on the board tonight. Not only do both pitchers have an xFIP in the 5's but they also have two of the worst bullpens in the MLB behind them. The Twins have given up 122 runs already this season which leads the majors and the Mariners have given up 110.
Neither offense could be confused as great but each pitcher caters to what the other team hits. For example, Kyle Gibson throws a sinker 42% of the time to right handed hitters and that will be a BIG problem for the Twins tonight. That is one pitch each right handed Mariner hits hard. The lefties in the lineup will see a 4 seam fastball and a sinker 60% of the time and they ALL hit those pitches well.
On the other side, Christian Bergman throws the 4 seam and a cutter about 65% of the time to righties and that could prove problematic against Sano and Dozier. The lefties will all feast on those same two pitches as well even though his splits say he has more trouble with righties, tonight the lefties will cause damage as well. They ALL hit the 4 seam and cutter at a nice clip.
Take this one with confidence.
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