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Mavin's MLB Contest

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Posted: #1676
Guys we have been in the red all 4 days in May  Time to turn this thing around
 
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Posted: #1677

Quote Originally Posted by MikeTizzy:

Hi big daddy, where do u see -120 reds with Latos?? Its at least -150 from what i see, sounds right there.

My Mistake. I copy and paste from yesterday game and didnt change the amount. The ML. I have is -142  I will change it.

 
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Posted: #1678
AshyLarryMP 51-46-2 -$71

DET Tigers ML -260

HOU Astros TT Under 3 -145

DET Tigers -.5 First 5 Innings -160


ALOT OF JUICE LAID TODAY BOYS!! but this is the only game all year i'll do this again i swear!!!i fully expect to go ATLEAST 2-0-1... even worse possible scenario i lose first 5, win ML and tie TT.. astros will not score 4 off verlander!! they didn't vs fister and porcello... 

i took -.5 over ML for value purposes as i feel tigers have to score1-2 off humber thru 5 for me to get this.. verlander might give up 1 fluke hr.. or else he should be on point..

once again! lotta juice and if it kills forum records IM SORRY AHEAD OF TIME!! but i've told myself 100 times im 100% willing to lay $260 to win $100 on verlander over the astros and phil humber... this is not the astros @yankees where astros magically stole one.. its verlander vs humber off a 17-2 win.. before that 17-2 win tigers looked sloppy and still won first 2 games.. 
  this game is exhibit A of why you don't lay the juice EVER if this DET ML loses.. today will be a test.. thank you!
 
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Posted: #1679

Bigdaddy86  7-10-1  -511

CIN Reds  ML -142

Again the Reds have the cubs number keep riding the streak!

 

PHI Phillies  ML-175

Like The Doc to shut down the Marlins bats today.

 

ARI Diamonbacks  ML-110

Kennedy is 3-0 with a 1.13ERA  at Petco Park and the Diamonbacks bats are coming to life.

 
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Posted: #1680
Quote Originally Posted by Bigdaddy86:

My Mistake. I copy and paste from yesterday game and didnt change the amount. The ML. I have is -142  I will change it.

I should say the ML I had when i picked the game this morning was -142

 
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Posted: #1681
cuben2006 26-19-3 +445$

PHI Phillies ML -180

Roy will shut down the marlins today
 
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Posted: #1682
Doc is getting ROCKED!
 
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Posted: #1683
thread hasn't been filled last couple days.. wonder if some people gave up.. we'll turn it around Big Daddy!  we just gotta have more discipline.. feel we got to stop betting things because of the great value and ask yourself, do i/would i you feel 100% confident betting $100+ on this game.. felt halladay was way too much juice today.. verlander warrants high prices, halladay doesn't lol..  
i know hindsight's 20/20 but reds ML seemed safe, as did bluejays in my opinion, wish i would of put them on but got blinded by verlander lol..hope the high juice don't bite me today if so never again.
 but April's over with, teams are settling in, i expect better #'s from us soon, we're already starting to see who's contenders and who's pretenders and what trends matter etc.
and i'm liking first 5 inning bets you either have a win/tie option..or if you do -.5 team only has to be up, as opposed to having to win the game by 2.. i know less innings to score, but you just bet the games you trust the starting pitcher your backing and at good value (-130 or less) or verlander haha... never 5 inning bet an inconsistent pitcher 

thanks for listening guys! just offering my thoughts not criticizing i promise! just bored lol..really really want all of us to be successful, and i dono i feel good bout my picks lately, on a little roll with musicmatt's help, musicmatt deserves a lot of praise, he's made a lot of money and takes time to help more than just me i know that, he knows what he's talking about..


good luck for the day men! and go tigers! hope i can see some more plays by people.. like doing my readings 
 
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Posted: #1684
adding

Under 7.5 SD Padres - ARI Diamondback
Kennedy at petco park has a very impressive low ERA


 
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Posted: #1685
Under 7.5 SD Padres - ARI Diamondbacks -105
 
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Posted: #1686
Anyone like Cain and the Giants to pull out a win today?  Ryu is good, looking at RL value...Giants -1.5 +185.
 
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Posted: #1687
giants game seems scary, i like giants but cain hasn't really shown any reason to back him lately, and ryu throwing well.. pagan out of lineup most likely for giants as well.. i lean under more than game.. but i honestly side with giants cause were missing pagan, they're probably missing adrian gonzalez along with hanley so their more depleted, and cain's due right??

and with my post earlier.. to add on sun-tues have always been tough.. for various reasons.. gonna keep it light these days
 
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Posted: #1688
thread hasn't been filled last couple days.. wonder if some people gave up.. we'll turn it around Big Daddy!  we just gotta have more discipline.. feel we got to stop betting things because of the great value and ask yourself, do i/would i you feel 100% confident betting $100+ on this game.. felt halladay was way too much juice today.. verlander warrants high prices, halladay doesn't lol..  
i know hindsight's 20/20 but reds ML seemed safe, as did bluejays in my opinion, wish i would of put them on but got blinded by verlander lol..hope the high juice don't bite me today if so never again.
 but April's over with, teams are settling in, i expect better #'s from us soon, we're already starting to see who's contenders and who's pretenders and what trends matter etc.
and i'm liking first 5 inning bets you either have a win/tie option..or if you do -.5 team only has to be up, as opposed to having to win the game by 2.. i know less innings to score, but you just bet the games you trust the starting pitcher your backing and at good value (-130 or less) or verlander haha... never 5 inning bet an inconsistent pitcher 

thanks for listening guys! just offering my thoughts not criticizing i promise! just bored lol..really really want all of us to be successful, and i dono i feel good bout my picks lately, on a little roll with musicmatt's help, musicmatt deserves a lot of praise, he's made a lot of money and takes time to help more than just me i know that, he knows what he's talking about..


good luck for the day men! and go tigers! hope i can see some more plays by people.. like doing my readings 
 
I almost pulled the trigger on ST Louis insted of Phillies. Halladay is not even close to what is used to be. The Phills will cost us some juice today  We need the Tigers to take care of business today
 
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Posted: #1689
whats to be afraid of, golf ball HUMBER?! and sorry big daddy! Doc blows man, anyone who tracks pitching metrics will tell u that. His pitch f/x is awful, bad velocity, crap movements, labors, inefficient innings. what do more do u need and u wanna back him at -180?!  Value was on Slowey and fish.
 
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Posted: #1690
Tigers covers the Over total by themselves. 
 
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Posted: #1691
Wow guys that was epic, Mr. Pedroia did u like that?! We back in the game after giving up 3 -1 lead, Butlers wins battle vs Reed!! now odds change completely, and KC has big edge late innings. Sox cant beat them, lost 25 out of last 40 to talented-laden Royals.
 
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Posted: #1692
Hekii, ill look into that game further and will sugesst anything if there's a great scenario that fits.
 
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Posted: #1693
Yup that Tigers game was a gift across the board.. vegas knew it -260 on a road team?? they were dreading paying people out 

with that said gifts from vegas are few and far between, won't be very many games/matchups like this one all year..

stay humble on the wins, and learn from the losses.. were 0-0 tomorrow.. GO GIANTS!
 
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Posted: #1694

Musicmatt1  61-33-3  +1907$

 

Under 7.5  KC Royals - CHI White Sox  -110

 

Under 7  PHI Phillies - MIA Marlins  -105

 

MIA Marlins  TT Under 3  -125


MikeTizzy 39-33-2  +724$

CLE Indians -1.5  +140  

KC Royals ML  -117

DET Tigers ML -260

cuben2006 26-19-3 +445$

PHI Phillies ML -180

Under 7.5 SD Padres - ARI Diamondbacks -105

natalieportman9 49-48 +316$

CLE Indians -1.5 +140

PHI Phillies -1.5 +115

KC Royals -1.5 +170

AshyLarryMP 51-46-2 -$71

DET Tigers ML -260

HOU Astros TT Under 3 -145

DET Tigers -.5 First 5 Innings -160

Bigdaddy86  7-10-1  -511

CIN Reds  ML -142

PHI Phillies  ML-175

ARI Diamonbacks  ML-110


 
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Posted: #1695

KCsFinest829 32-41-1 -836$

OAK Athletics ML +130

TOR Bluejays ML -150

CLE TT Over 4.5 -125

greengiants  36-46 -1048$

Under 8 NY Yankees - OAK Athletics -115

WAS Nationals -1 +123

MIL Brewers -1 +131
 
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Posted: #1696

whats to be afraid of, golf ball HUMBER?! and sorry big daddy! Doc blows man, anyone who tracks pitching metrics will tell u that. His pitch f/x is awful, bad velocity

Tizzy Fully noted about Doc. Will not make that mistake again

 
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Posted: #1697
ok im done, the only scenario with solid Value is

Over 7 for SF/LAD

Cain flyballs are jus leaving yard, and his stuff is not on, while Ryu has been great, After lookin thru giants lineup 1-9, they matchup well with some hot bats, did collect 10 hits vs him earlier. looks like alot of OBPs and low K's which is good in this game, with winds blowing out to left hard 23mph. Also LAD bullpen can help the over, they are not gettin much shutdown innings there. #2-7 in SF fairs well, and LAD has guys that does well with what Cain does, high pitch count, walks, and doesnt strike out much. Both pens gettin worked with many runners on these days. This is worth a 1-2u, thats what im going with. If Cain finds his magic, and duals with Ryu, back end pens are pretty good. But 7 is incredibly sharp to take under with any decent value. I wouldnt.

Had a super day all across board for me, MLB, NBA (4-0), NHL pendings but really strong reads. OTT takes 1-0 lead and should be under 5 total. Lets keep it going.
 
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Posted: #1698
another note: Sf and LAD, 2 of the poorer fielding teams in league, not much range, with errors to boot. That can add value to the lineups, stay on base, and get those pitch counts up.
 
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Posted: #1699
Quote Originally Posted by MikeTizzy:

ok im done, the only scenario with solid Value is

Over 7 for SF/LAD

Cain flyballs are jus leaving yard, and his stuff is not on, while Ryu has been great, After lookin thru giants lineup 1-9, they matchup well with some hot bats, did collect 10 hits vs him earlier. looks like alot of OBPs and low K's which is good in this game, with winds blowing out to left hard 23mph. Also LAD bullpen can help the over, they are not gettin much shutdown innings there. #2-7 in SF fairs well, and LAD has guys that does well with what Cain does, high pitch count, walks, and doesnt strike out much. Both pens gettin worked with many runners on these days. This is worth a 1-2u, thats what im going with. If Cain finds his magic, and duals with Ryu, back end pens are pretty good. But 7 is incredibly sharp to take under with any decent value. I wouldnt.

Had a super day all across board for me, MLB, NBA (4-0), NHL pendings but really strong reads. OTT takes 1-0 lead and should be under 5 total. Lets keep it going.


Thanks Tizzy!  I liked Giants on the ML and the over too.  Played small on ML, medium on the over with your analysis.
 
 
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Posted: #1700
wow u know whats stupid guys?! the lineups was out, Adrian Gonz was in for sure. Then when they play, it changes and he sits out. This rarely happens, but how stupid. Changes LAD middle order big time.
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