Hours away boys and girls. So I will be starting up once again what SemperFI and that other guy introduced us to and that is "playing the ML DOG in a series to avoid the sweep". Basically we wait for the series prices to come out. Once they come out we look for some juice DOGS that will must likely be a non favorite throughout every game for a series. So we play every underdog in the series til we win one. In short looking for the underdog team to avoid the sweep. If we win the 1st game of the series, that's it and we wait for the next series to start.
this is all about $$ management and increasing your wager on each game as you move forward on each of the series til you get that win. So the first wager is a single/normal wager and if the were to lose, we double up the wager on the second game and so forth. I do recall some serieswould/can go to the final game, but with the increase in wager it makes for a nice payout. Of course there is the chance of a sweep, but if one of our trusty fellas with all them stats can step up to the plate and show us that it was a lot less that a team would get swept compared to getting swept. This is obviously not for someone who needs action everyday. I may have 2,3,4 series starting the 1st game and all ML dogs may hit right away so we would then wait for the next series to start. Everyone once in awhile we may a team come out as a dog for the series and all of sudden come at as a fav for a game. If that happens we just adjust and play it accordingly or wait for the game. Once again $management is the key especially starting off the season as once the dust clears after a couple weeks we will see who are the teams to follow and the ones to avoid...GL and LET'S GO!!!!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hours away boys and girls. So I will be starting up once again what SemperFI and that other guy introduced us to and that is "playing the ML DOG in a series to avoid the sweep". Basically we wait for the series prices to come out. Once they come out we look for some juice DOGS that will must likely be a non favorite throughout every game for a series. So we play every underdog in the series til we win one. In short looking for the underdog team to avoid the sweep. If we win the 1st game of the series, that's it and we wait for the next series to start.
this is all about $$ management and increasing your wager on each game as you move forward on each of the series til you get that win. So the first wager is a single/normal wager and if the were to lose, we double up the wager on the second game and so forth. I do recall some serieswould/can go to the final game, but with the increase in wager it makes for a nice payout. Of course there is the chance of a sweep, but if one of our trusty fellas with all them stats can step up to the plate and show us that it was a lot less that a team would get swept compared to getting swept. This is obviously not for someone who needs action everyday. I may have 2,3,4 series starting the 1st game and all ML dogs may hit right away so we would then wait for the next series to start. Everyone once in awhile we may a team come out as a dog for the series and all of sudden come at as a fav for a game. If that happens we just adjust and play it accordingly or wait for the game. Once again $management is the key especially starting off the season as once the dust clears after a couple weeks we will see who are the teams to follow and the ones to avoid...GL and LET'S GO!!!!
Still under investigation....LoL man the concept was great, but they just got greedy and didn't follow the system they had established. Oh yea and ran off with a bunch of $$$$...
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Still under investigation....LoL man the concept was great, but they just got greedy and didn't follow the system they had established. Oh yea and ran off with a bunch of $$$$...
Thanks guys..have been around for a bit and once I discovered this "system" I loved it. It helps with $ management and you dontdon't have to jump from team to team on a daily basis. Of course we are just starting so tredti lightly til we see who teams to jump on are. And yes once in awhile we may have a pitching change in a series that will offer a favorite when the team had been pegged as a dog for the series..POSITIVE VIBES will bring POSITIVE $$$..LET'S GO!!!
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Thanks guys..have been around for a bit and once I discovered this "system" I loved it. It helps with $ management and you dontdon't have to jump from team to team on a daily basis. Of course we are just starting so tredti lightly til we see who teams to jump on are. And yes once in awhile we may have a pitching change in a series that will offer a favorite when the team had been pegged as a dog for the series..POSITIVE VIBES will bring POSITIVE $$$..LET'S GO!!!
this is the thread i was looking for as well. i've been following strategies like this for a couple years now and really like it!
i would love to take this discussion a bit further as to determining which series to play. i have been trying to come up with parameters myself, but struggle to find something that consistently seems to work.
do you solely look at the starting pitchers? do you look at last 7 day trends? the one stat that i really like to look at is OBP for the past 7 days. it gives me a good idea of what teams are swinging a hot bat and taking walks. the general rule i looked at was if the underdog has a higher OBP over the past 7 days than the favorite, the underdog is less likely to be swept. now i haven't ran years and years worth of data to see how this pans out, but it's just an observation i had from afar!
look forward to hearing input from all of you chasers out there!
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this is the thread i was looking for as well. i've been following strategies like this for a couple years now and really like it!
i would love to take this discussion a bit further as to determining which series to play. i have been trying to come up with parameters myself, but struggle to find something that consistently seems to work.
do you solely look at the starting pitchers? do you look at last 7 day trends? the one stat that i really like to look at is OBP for the past 7 days. it gives me a good idea of what teams are swinging a hot bat and taking walks. the general rule i looked at was if the underdog has a higher OBP over the past 7 days than the favorite, the underdog is less likely to be swept. now i haven't ran years and years worth of data to see how this pans out, but it's just an observation i had from afar!
look forward to hearing input from all of you chasers out there!
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