Posted:
#176
Quote Originally Posted by K4ngur13:
just b/c of two days
just b/c of two days
yeah it could be the last two days.. or gamehunter's track record every gameday over the last 3 seasons
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MLB - Monday 4/5
Posted:
#177
Quote Originally Posted by OverUnders-Com:
I have the utmost respect for what GameHunter has written, for what he is doing and the fact that he shares his picks and thoughts with us. For every hater, I'm sure there are more appreciaters. I'm one of the latter.
I do have a couple of questions, however. This is directly for GameHunter or any of the other educated people in here who can answer this for me.
1. I wrote down on Sunday night GameHunter's picks for Monday, April 5. By the time I went to make my bets Monday morning at my online book (to avoid the 20-cent nightime line), the lines had changed dramatically. For example, GameHunter got the Rockies at +118. By the time I went to bet it, the Rockies were at -105. So I stayed away. This happened in all games except for the Cubs and Rockies. So I bet those two only. And, of course, I lost.
So the question is: What's the maximum variation in the current betting line to GameHunter's original line? If it's only a nickel off, I'd bet it. But what if it's moved 20 cents? Or 30 cents? When would I get off of it because I've lost too much value? Also, does it matter which way the line has moved -- in favor of the public or a reverse-line move?
Sorry, that was more than one question, but I'd really appreciate hearing some educated responses to this.
2. A much quicker question: I always have preferred to make my bets the same size. How important does GameHunter or (educated) others consider making different-sized unit bets? Obviously, he feels there's value or else he wouldn't post them. I suppose my question, which may not even be able to be answered, is: Would I still be successful simply making one-unit bets instead of, say. 1.25, etc? Or perhaps I'll be the guinea pig and we'll all find out together?
I appreciate any and all responses to this very long post.
Peace and best of luck at the books!
I have the utmost respect for what GameHunter has written, for what he is doing and the fact that he shares his picks and thoughts with us. For every hater, I'm sure there are more appreciaters. I'm one of the latter.
I do have a couple of questions, however. This is directly for GameHunter or any of the other educated people in here who can answer this for me.
1. I wrote down on Sunday night GameHunter's picks for Monday, April 5. By the time I went to make my bets Monday morning at my online book (to avoid the 20-cent nightime line), the lines had changed dramatically. For example, GameHunter got the Rockies at +118. By the time I went to bet it, the Rockies were at -105. So I stayed away. This happened in all games except for the Cubs and Rockies. So I bet those two only. And, of course, I lost.
So the question is: What's the maximum variation in the current betting line to GameHunter's original line? If it's only a nickel off, I'd bet it. But what if it's moved 20 cents? Or 30 cents? When would I get off of it because I've lost too much value? Also, does it matter which way the line has moved -- in favor of the public or a reverse-line move?
Sorry, that was more than one question, but I'd really appreciate hearing some educated responses to this.
2. A much quicker question: I always have preferred to make my bets the same size. How important does GameHunter or (educated) others consider making different-sized unit bets? Obviously, he feels there's value or else he wouldn't post them. I suppose my question, which may not even be able to be answered, is: Would I still be successful simply making one-unit bets instead of, say. 1.25, etc? Or perhaps I'll be the guinea pig and we'll all find out together?
I appreciate any and all responses to this very long post.
Peace and best of luck at the books!
Choosing a sportbook is very important. My plays were pretty close to GH's, off by a few cents.
0
2010 SEASON: 5-3, + 3.9525 UNITS
Posted:
#179
Quote Originally Posted by OverUnders-Com:
I have the utmost respect for what GameHunter has written, for what he is doing and the fact that he shares his picks and thoughts with us. For every hater, I'm sure there are more appreciaters. I'm one of the latter.
I do have a couple of questions, however. This is directly for GameHunter or any of the other educated people in here who can answer this for me.
1. I wrote down on Sunday night GameHunter's picks for Monday, April 5. By the time I went to make my bets Monday morning at my online book (to avoid the 20-cent nightime line), the lines had changed dramatically. For example, GameHunter got the Rockies at +118. By the time I went to bet it, the Rockies were at -105. So I stayed away. This happened in all games except for the Cubs and Rockies. So I bet those two only. And, of course, I lost.
So the question is: What's the maximum variation in the current betting line to GameHunter's original line? If it's only a nickel off, I'd bet it. But what if it's moved 20 cents? Or 30 cents? When would I get off of it because I've lost too much value? Also, does it matter which way the line has moved -- in favor of the public or a reverse-line move?
Sorry, that was more than one question, but I'd really appreciate hearing some educated responses to this.
2. A much quicker question: I always have preferred to make my bets the same size. How important does GameHunter or (educated) others consider making different-sized unit bets? Obviously, he feels there's value or else he wouldn't post them. I suppose my question, which may not even be able to be answered, is: Would I still be successful simply making one-unit bets instead of, say. 1.25, etc? Or perhaps I'll be the guinea pig and we'll all find out together?
I appreciate any and all responses to this very long post.
Peace and best of luck at the books!
I have the utmost respect for what GameHunter has written, for what he is doing and the fact that he shares his picks and thoughts with us. For every hater, I'm sure there are more appreciaters. I'm one of the latter.
I do have a couple of questions, however. This is directly for GameHunter or any of the other educated people in here who can answer this for me.
1. I wrote down on Sunday night GameHunter's picks for Monday, April 5. By the time I went to make my bets Monday morning at my online book (to avoid the 20-cent nightime line), the lines had changed dramatically. For example, GameHunter got the Rockies at +118. By the time I went to bet it, the Rockies were at -105. So I stayed away. This happened in all games except for the Cubs and Rockies. So I bet those two only. And, of course, I lost.
So the question is: What's the maximum variation in the current betting line to GameHunter's original line? If it's only a nickel off, I'd bet it. But what if it's moved 20 cents? Or 30 cents? When would I get off of it because I've lost too much value? Also, does it matter which way the line has moved -- in favor of the public or a reverse-line move?
Sorry, that was more than one question, but I'd really appreciate hearing some educated responses to this.
2. A much quicker question: I always have preferred to make my bets the same size. How important does GameHunter or (educated) others consider making different-sized unit bets? Obviously, he feels there's value or else he wouldn't post them. I suppose my question, which may not even be able to be answered, is: Would I still be successful simply making one-unit bets instead of, say. 1.25, etc? Or perhaps I'll be the guinea pig and we'll all find out together?
I appreciate any and all responses to this very long post.
Peace and best of luck at the books!
Thanks for the kind words.
You really should open an account at Matchbook. First off, the lines open up the night before. Secondly, the juice is nearly ZERO. When I posted the lines and my plays Sunday evening, every one of those lines was available; in fact, you could have gotten a better line than I did as I post lines that are between 3-4 cents worse than what I actually play at Matchbook. Also, I play different amounts on games for reasons and it is carefully thought out. For example, I played 1.25 units on the Padres at +178 yesterday. I don't need to risk as much on them in my model when they are such a huge dog. I don't need to risk as much on them as I do say on an even money game I like more.
0
what do we got today
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