Posted:
#1
2010 SEASON: 0-0, + 0.00 UNITSYESTERDAY: N/A Before I start, I want to do some housekeeping.
First off, I have done well every season in baseball since
joining Covers, but that means ABSOLUTELY nothing when it comes to a new season.
Like any good team in sports, I too can have a losing season. There are no
guarantees. If you choose to tail, that is your choice, but I don't want to hear
about it if you lose money. I bet real money and I can assure you, it's a lot
more than a majority of the posters here so if you lose tailing, I can assure
you I lost a lot of money too.
I do not know when I will post everyday. Each day it depends
on my schedule. I use Matchbook. This season I will do my best to post my plays a few cents
worse than the lines I get (i.e., if I get +120, I may list it at +117) so I
don't need to hear whining and complaining that people can't get the same lines
I get. If you use a 10 cent or 20 cent line, you definitely won't get the same
lines I get and you need to look in the mirror and ask yourself why you play at
such a ridiculous place. If one bank was offering interest at 10% and the other
at 2%, would you choose the 2% bank?
I will not have time for writeups on a regular basis and also
won't be able to answer questions on a regular basis as this is very time
consuming for me. So if I do not respond to a question, please understand it is
nothing personal. In addition, if I don't play a game on any given day, I don't feel strongly about it so my opinion isn't necessary so don't feel the need to ask. However, feel free to share your insight on a sharp play you see and bring it to my attention and to others.
I probably won't play too many 5 inning lines or team totals because the markets are not that liquid and it's difficult to get down for large
amounts.
My plays are always with listed pitchers.
When I bet a unit, if I bet on the underdog, it means I am
RISKING 1 unit. If I bet the favorite, it means I will win 1 unit and am risking
1 unit multiplied by the line.
If you're interest in my betting baseball betting philosophies
and haven't read it yet, take a look at: https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=27&sub=100694358
If my friends here want to do me a service, you guys deal with
the haters and bashers that will surface in my daily threads. I am going to do
my best to ignore them.
Remember it's a marathon and not a sprint. If I lose early it
won't sidetrack me. If I win a lot early, it won't change the way I
play.
I wish everyone a great and successful baseball season.
Happy Easter and Happy Passover to everyone!
Let's get the season started!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Let's get the season started!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
RED SOX -115 (1.5 UNITS) - Call it a
bet based upon personal trainers and personal training regimens. CC Sabathia has
traditionally been a bit of a slow starter. At 290 pounds, it probably takes him
time to shed some of the winter blubber to hit his best stride as the heat of
summer shrinks him down to size and condition. In the last four seasons, his
first start of the year has not been pretty. Last season in his opener he lasted
4 innings and allowed 8 hits and 6 earned runs while failing to strike anyone
out while walking 5. In his 2008 opener, he lasted 5 innings and allowed 6 hits
and 5 earned runs while striking out 7 with 3 walks. In the last 4 seasons'
opening starts, he has thrown 17 1/3 innings and allowed 25 hits, 17 earned runs
and had a 12:10 K:BB ratio for an 8.83 ERA and a 2.02 WHIP. He really didn't
look all that effective in spring training throwing 18 2/3 innings allowing 24
hits, 15 earned runs with a 15:8 K:BB ratio and a 7.23 ERA. I watched one of his
recent starts, and his ball didn't have the normal zip and break that I am
accustomed to seeing from CC. In his L2 spring starts, he didn't show much
improvement throwing 10 innings and allowing 12 hits and 7 earned runs for a
6.30 ERA. Meanwhile Josh Beckett has consistently started seasons strongly. In 5
of the last 6 years, in Beckett's first start of the season, he allowed 1 or
less runs. Last year, he was outstanding in the opener throwing 7 innings of 1
run ball allowing just 2 hits with 10 K's and 3 walks. In the last 6 years, in
his first start of the season, Beckett has tossed 36 2/3 innings and allowed
just 20 hits, 9 earned runs, had a 41:18 K:BB ratio for a 2.21 ERA and 1.04
WHIP. Beckett was solid this spring throwing 19 1/3 innings and allowing 17 hits and 8 earned runs (3/72 ERA) while compiling a 22:5 K:BB ratio. In his L2 spring starts, he was effective and continued to show improvement, throwing 11 innings and allowing 9 hits and 3 earned runs with an outstanding 17:3 K:BB ratio. Obviously Fenway will be buzzing and the crowd will be energized and the
line seems fair for a play on the Red Sox to start out the season on the right
foot.
0
BOL tonight and to the season
, been waiting for the new season and your plays GH, Best of Luck 
GL GH
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