Lynn is a very serviceable, solid SP. However, this group of HOU players are hitting .338 & slugging .978 against him. Lynn didn’t face HOU last year but in his last 3 starts against them (all in HOU) he went 3.2, 4 & 5.2 innings and gave up 5, 6 & 9 ER in those starts. You have to go back to May 2019 when he last had a quality start against the ‘stros. He also hasn’t exactly been great in his first start of the season. Barring coming back from an injury, his last 3 season opening starts have gone 4.2, 5.2 & 4 innings and given up 12 ER’s.
Houston lost their opener and will be primed for a little revenge and the trends against Lynn make these solid bets.
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Overall W/L 5-3; +3.05 units
1st 5 RL: 1-0; +1.05 units
Full game ML: 1-1; +0.85 units
O/U: 2-0; +2.00 units
1st 5 O/U: 0-1; -1.00 units
Player Props: 1-1; +0.15 units
Today:
Lance Lynn U17.5 outs recorded (-105)
Lance Lynn O2.5 ER (+120)
Lynn is a very serviceable, solid SP. However, this group of HOU players are hitting .338 & slugging .978 against him. Lynn didn’t face HOU last year but in his last 3 starts against them (all in HOU) he went 3.2, 4 & 5.2 innings and gave up 5, 6 & 9 ER in those starts. You have to go back to May 2019 when he last had a quality start against the ‘stros. He also hasn’t exactly been great in his first start of the season. Barring coming back from an injury, his last 3 season opening starts have gone 4.2, 5.2 & 4 innings and given up 12 ER’s.
Houston lost their opener and will be primed for a little revenge and the trends against Lynn make these solid bets.
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