4/28/17
21-25-3, RoR +3.37% (vs 11/10 odds 54.2%)
Still on life support, but stabilizing.
Cubs, First 5
Innings, Run Line, -.5, +120, Arrieta /Pomeranz
Phillies, First 5 Innings, Money Line, +165, Eickhoff
/ Maeda
I
don’t know if you are aware of what the Cubs are doing to lefty starters, but
it ain’t pretty. A 4-1 (5-0 game) record for first 5 innings and an offensive
rating of 48.6, second only to the Brewers and a full 11 points higher than the
MLB average of 37.6.
If
you agree with me that the Phillies line is way too high, don’t go criticizing
the books for stupid or ignorant lines. They know their customers and their
customers not only took a bite of the high opening line, they pushed it up even
higher. As I type this the game line on the Dodgers is as high as -188 and I
don’t see how anyone can figure the Dodgers have a better than 63.3% chance of
winning. That is insane. The offenses
are comparable, no great shakes either way, but Eickhoff with a quality start
record of 3-1, is quite clearly superior to Maeda at 0-4. The Phillies are
10-4-2 versus right handed starters in the 5 inning game so far and the Dodgers
are 6-3-2, but who faces the superior starter today?
BOL
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