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MLB 4/7/17

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Views: 6151
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Rookie
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Posted: #26
Bol key
 
Veteran
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Posted: #27
BOL key
 
Rookie
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Posted: #28
Quote Originally Posted by JuiceBook:

I caught pneumonia after looking at Key's RoR

It's pretty hard to "catch" pneumonia..lol
 
Legend
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Posted: #29

Good luck Key!

 
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Posted: #30
Happy Birthday Key,GL today,
 
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Posted: #31
Quote Originally Posted by JEG53:

Happy Birthday Key,GL today,
  ain't mine, but thanx anyway 
Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
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Posted: #32
Bol
 
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Posted: #33
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

  ain't mine, but thanx anyway 



 
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Posted: #34
I just wanted to see if I could get you a bunch of BD wishes.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #35
BOL Key
 
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Posted: #36
The write-ups for  your picks don't make sense.

Basically you're picking the weaker team because the stronger team can't win all the time?

No wonder your precious "RoR" stands at a minus all day everyday, every year.
 
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Posted: #37
Quote Originally Posted by fadeORdie:

The write-ups for  your picks don't make sense.

Basically you're picking the weaker team because the stronger team can't win all the time?

No wonder your precious "RoR" stands at a minus all day everyday, every year.

"That's not how it works. That's not how any of this works."

The point is to take advantage of coin flip wagers (ones in which your research tells you that you have a 50/50 chance of winning) but are getting big odds in your favor. Do that often enough, and you watch your RoR grow. If you play poker, you'll understand. 
 
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Posted: #38
Quote Originally Posted by casheasy:


"That's not how it works. That's not how any of this works."

The point is to take advantage of coin flip wagers (ones in which your research tells you that you have a 50/50 chance of winning) but are getting big odds in your favor. Do that often enough, and you watch your RoR grow. If you play poker, you'll understand. 


New to this forum and US sports betting. I broadly agree with what you said above, however why do you guys use Return on Risk rather than Return on Investment? I have a few other questions regarding money management and would like to see a discussion on it. Anyone know of any threads on Covers?
 
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Posted: #39
Quote Originally Posted by fadeORdie:

The write-ups for  your picks don't make sense.

Basically you're picking the weaker team because the stronger team can't win all the time?

No wonder your precious "RoR" stands at a minus all day everyday, every year.

Wow. A veteran and still not grown out of juvenile trolling with 'provocative' conclusions. Sad enough for a newbie but for you....?
 
Captain
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Posted: #40
Happy Birthday Key !!!  just helping out JEG

I completely agree that DBacks is the play today!!
 
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Posted: #41
Quote Originally Posted by K1W1R:



New to this forum and US sports betting. I broadly agree with what you said above, however why do you guys use Return on Risk rather than Return on Investment? I have a few other questions regarding money management and would like to see a discussion on it. Anyone know of any threads on Covers?
Moot point. The meaning is identical and regardless of what we call it the result is the same thing. When you make an investment in anything (business or sports) you put money at risk. Use whichever term you like.


Now and then even a BLIND squirrel can find an acorn
 
Captain
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Posted: #42
I liked both of those plays, Key. Just missed on the Reds F5.

I expected the dbacks to keep it close (Tomlin prone to the long ball and not much of a swing and miss guy)... so I took the over on 10 (sounds high, but I capped 12.4 runs).

Good luck, bud. Glad you're back for another marathon and sharing your picks for free.
 
Captain
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Posted: #43
Quote Originally Posted by KeyElement:

Moot point. The meaning is identical and regardless of what we call it the result is the same thing. When you make an investment in anything (business or sports) you put money at risk. Use whichever term you like.




Agree. However, most folks put their beginning bankroll in the denominator and inflate their rolling performance (i.e., don't account how much money they stood to lose at any given point in consideration).
 
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Posted: #44
The point is - no one cares about value, + ev, etc.
If you don't pick a winner - you're going to be broke.
 
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Posted: #45
here we go again. excitement, entertainment and cash! you are the best and I thank you for your friendship and yes, the super winning selections.right here with you key . Us old timers can pace this marathon.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #46
Nice hit on d backs!
Look forward to Saturday plays



 
 
Prospect
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Posted: #47
I bet on NHL and MLB only. Baseball is by far the most profitable sport there is because of all that was said above. We have to remember the best team in baseball will usually only win 60% of its games. The worst team in baseball will still win 40% of its games. These percentages get much further apart in the NHL. In baseball you can have mush more success betting on underdogs due to the above, the way I look at any game to begin with is basically that either team has a shot to win. I bet on lines only and leave emotion completely out of it. I try to identify weak lines and go from there to pitching matchups and momentum and then offensive production. Anyways the point is that a guy like Key will always be more profitable than a guy who plays big juice favorites on the ML or bets -1.5 lines at even money. Instead of bashing people on here, you should learn from others. Last I checked this was not a chatroom, it's a place to find stats and intelligent thoughts from others. 
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