MLB 5/02/18

Question

5/02/18 &#xA;Opening Bankroll $10,000, P/L $ -1,941.40 / 30-37-3, ROI = -9.83% &#xA;Play 3% of bankroll, $242 FLAT, TODAY.&#xA;The bankroll play amount will now be adjusted Daily, I must let the snowball effect have its impact, depending on prior days results. Discipline is a key factor in sports wagering. &#xA;Note: Innings indicated on each play&#xA;F5- Rockies &#x2B;170, (Anderson/Darvish)&#xA;Way too much value here to pass up. Folks are betting the Cubs like it was two years ago, or that they &#x201C;have to hit their stride&#x201D; any minute now. That is another of those maybe, maybe not things. In the meantime, they are burning bettors cash and trying to put out the fire with the wind from their bats. They might just be fanning the flames.&#xA;FG- Padres-Giants OVER 8, &#x2B;105, (Richard/Holland)&#xA;Totals are always a matter of pitching/offense probability and neither of these guys has a very good chance of surviving with a great game. We have Guccione behind the plate, which is acceptable, but we also have a 13 to 16 mph wind out to left, which is dangerous for weak left-handed starters I have to against the low scoring tradition of AT&amp;T Park with a day game, the wind blowing out, and two weak starters taking the ball. &#xA;F5- Orioles &#x2B;130, (Bundy/Heaney)&#xA;I expect a bounce back performance from Bundy tonight and do not rate Heaney as particularly dangerous. I think we have a false favorite here and have to play for the bonus $.&#xA;BOL &#xA;There will be no more Streak Survivor or Contest action until I get this train back on the tracks.

KeyElement · Answer

5/02/18 &#xA;Opening Bankroll $10,000, P/L $ -1,941.40 / 30-37-3, ROI = -9.83% &#xA;Play 3% of bankroll, $242 FLAT, TODAY.&#xA;The bankroll play amount will now be adjusted Daily, I must let the snowball effect have its impact, depending on prior days results. Discipline is a key factor in sports wagering. &#xA;Note: Innings indicated on each play&#xA;F5- Rockies &#x2B;170, (Anderson/Darvish)&#xA;Way too much value here to pass up. Folks are betting the Cubs like it was two years ago, or that they &#x201C;have to hit their stride&#x201D; any minute now. That is another of those maybe, maybe not things. In the meantime, they are burning bettors cash and trying to put out the fire with the wind from their bats. They might just be fanning the flames.&#xA;FG- Padres-Giants OVER 8, &#x2B;105, (Richard/Holland)&#xA;Totals are always a matter of pitching/offense probability and neither of these guys has a very good chance of surviving with a great game. We have Guccione behind the plate, which is acceptable, but we also have a 13 to 16 mph wind out to left, which is dangerous for weak left-handed starters I have to against the low scoring tradition of AT&amp;T Park with a day game, the wind blowing out, and two weak starters taking the ball. &#xA;F5- Orioles &#x2B;130, (Bundy/Heaney)&#xA;I expect a bounce back performance from Bundy tonight and do not rate Heaney as particularly dangerous. I think we have a false favorite here and have to play for the bonus $.&#xA;BOL &#xA;There will be no more Streak Survivor or Contest action until I get this train back on the tracks.

KeyElement · Answer

FG- Padres-Giants OVER 8, -113, (Richard/Holland)&#xA;Sorry about the typo

avenue · Answer

bol pal

Magic-mike · Answer

BoL Key&#xA;Tailed your F5 under last night, was a beaut. Funny how the over hit. Will also be on Bundy, full game.

DAVIDN · Answer

GL today bud.

KeyElement · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by Magic-mike]Posted: 6 minutes ago "Quote" BoL Key Tailed your F5 under last night, was a beaut. Funny how the over hit. Will also be on Bundy, full game.[/Quote] That was funny, but the RS tying in the ninth almost insured the over. As a matter of strategy I should stick with 5 inning under and full game over. That way you have the limitation on inngs on your under, but the possibility of O.T. with the over. Both would have worked in that game. And, you only want an under because of the pitching matchup. Why rely on the bullpen to preserve it?&#xA;&#xA;Best question of the day: Why do I have to keep reminding myself of these things?

JEG53 · Answer

The answer is:Because Mr O is no longer around to remind you on 5 inning plays.

KeyElement · Answer

MrOPC / Vegas Gourmet has been gone a good 6 or 7 years now. Why can I remember both his monikers but not my own strategies? Dementia?

Omery · Answer

Bol Key

undermysac · Answer

Nicely done yesterday, and good job on avoiding my kiss of death on O&#x27;s full game by going 1st 5...

Chauster · Answer

Gl today KeyElement.

JEG53 · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by KeyElement]   MrOPC / Vegas Gourmet has been gone a good 6 or 7 years now. Why can I remember both his monikers but not my own strategies? Dementia? &#xD;&#xA;  [/Quote]The answer to that is in weeble thread from yesterdayI can do this all day,

mdelvalle · Answer

BOL

KyleQuick · Answer

Goodluck today Key.

tinfoils · Answer

Good luck Key!

mjm1012 · Answer

BOL

dcgmt · Answer

GL Key

Mananddogs · Answer

hello key, newbie here.&#xA; &#xA;Q:  when u say "Play 3% of bankroll, $242 FLAT, TODAY."....  are u saying "per bet"?  or that amount divided by total # of bets?  just wanna make sure for the future&#xA; &#xA;Best o&#x27;Luck!

KeyElement · Answer

For me that is per bet. No problem, honest question. Opinions very on the subject, and if I were a shotgun player with many bets per day (weebles) it would be a smaller percentage, but a narrow focus on a few high quality bets works for me.

undermysac · Answer

The Rockies are blowing up the Cubs like birthday balloons.

When we talked about the Darvish signing during the hotstove(all 4 of us) I said I didn't like Darvish in big time games. The guy has no stones.

It's the regular season, still early, but he blows. Trying to live up to a big contract? He's shaken. No stones.

I still remember a few articles where he mentioned not wanting to leave Texas before the Dodgers trade. He was comfortable where he lived, had many ties and other reasons.

Then he goes on to blow up the Dodgers chances for a title.

Now he's stinkin up Chicago. We will miss Jake Arrieta very soon. The stories will hit the press very soon just watch.

KeyElement · Answer

sac, I&#x27;ve had Darvish as a below average pitcher ever since he left Texas. I don&#x27;t know if it is emotional, like you say, or he just doesn&#x27;t have his best stuff anymore. What is amazing is folks are still running to the counter every time Darvish/Cubs is posted. This is not a 2016 version of either the Cubs or Darvish. That combination today carried a slightly below average rating (in my program) versus a lefty of 98 into this game, but the folks threw money at them and made them a big favorite.

KeyElement · Answer

BTW: the over in Frisco got there in the fourth. Things are looking up.

KeyElement · Answer

I could not figure out what you meant so I sent you a P.M. Pease enlighten me.

JEG53 · Answer

you have mail,congrats on the nice winning streak your on,that Balt.one is a hard one,had them last night and thought I was awesome when they tied it in 9th,of course I lost it soon after.

MLB 5/02/18

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